๐งต What I track every day to understand crypto:
๐ต DXY
๐บ๐ธ US10Y
๐ข๏ธ Oil
๐ก Gold
๐ Nasdaq
๐ง Liquidity
โฟ BTC
โฆ๏ธ ETH
I don't chase candles.
I track the forces behind them.
Follow if you want daily macro + crypto market analysis.
Since the Fed Hike & Clarity lows, $BTC has taken in $2B+ in Spot ETF flows in just a few trading days.
This + shorts getting squeezed has been fuel for this recent $10K+ price rally.
Crypto cooling off after this week's rally ๐
$BTC ~$84.5K (-2%)
$ETH ~$2,680 (-2.4%)
$SOL ~$115 (-1.5%)
$XRP ~$1.53 (-2%)
BTC ran into resistance near $87K again, with higher rates and a stronger dollar adding pressure. Bulls need a clean break above $87K to keep momentum going.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto
Most people enter crypto looking for 100x gains and leave because they canโt stomach a 20% drawdown.
The edge in this market isnโt finding hidden gemsโitโs risk management and emotional discipline.
Protect your capital first. The upside takes care of itself.
Most crypto traders watch BTC.
Very few watch what is happening to the dollar. ๐
And that's a mistake.
When analyzing BTC, I watch this macro chain:
๐ต DXY
โ
๐บ๐ธ US10Y yields
โ
๐ง Liquidity
โ
๐ Nasdaq
โ
โฟ Bitcoin
Right now, the setup is interesting:
๐ Nasdaq โ record highs
๐ข๏ธ Oil โ below $100
๐บ๐ธ 10Y โ ~4.96%, still near 5%
โฟ BTC โ recently broke above $86K
The key question:
Can risk assets keep rising while yields remain elevated?
If yields begin falling alongside a softer dollar, the liquidity backdrop could become increasingly important for BTC.
But if yields push back toward 5%+ and the dollar strengthens, crypto could face renewed pressure.
Don't just watch the Bitcoin candle.
Watch the macro behind it.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Macro #Liquidity
๐ MARKETS TODAY โ Sept 23, 2026
Markets are being pulled by 4 major forces:
๐บ๐ธ US: Nasdaq closed at another record high, while S&P 500/Dow were softer. US futures are broadly flat ahead of fresh economic data.
๐ข๏ธ Oil: Crude is easing as reports point to improving Middle East supply flows. Brent is back below $100 โ a key inflation signal for markets.
๐ต Dollar: DXY has climbed above 100.7 to a ~2-month high as markets price a more hawkish Fed outlook.
๐บ๐ธ๐จ๐ณ TrumpโXi: Markets are watching the upcoming US-China meeting, with trade tensions and the possibility of extending the tariff truce in focus.
๐ฎ๐ท Iran/Hormuz: Any progressโor breakdownโin US-Iran talks could rapidly move oil, inflation expectations, bonds and risk assets.
๐ค AI: Fresh optimism around AI demand continues supporting global technology shares.
Key market setup:
Oil โ + AI optimism โ risk assets supported
Dollar โ + hawkish Fed โ liquidity pressure
Iran/Hormuz + TrumpโXi โ headline volatility
#Markets #Macro #Stocks #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed #Oil #Gold #AI
๐ BTC/USDT (4H) โ $85,844 (โ0.42%)
Broke out of the 76Kโ80K range, spiked to ~88K, now cooling off near resistance.
๐ Levels:
Resistance: 87Kโ88K
Support: 81.8K โ 80K
Fed speakers today (10:05/10:20 ET) are the wildcard โ hawkish tone could pull BTC toward 81.8K support; easing Iran/oil tensions favor holding above it.
Not financial advice ๐
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto
๐ BTC/USDT (4H) โ $85,844 (โ0.42%)
Broke out of the 76Kโ80K range, spiked to ~88K, now cooling off near resistance.
๐ Levels:
Resistance: 87Kโ88K
Support: 81.8K โ 80K
Fed speakers today (10:05/10:20 ET) are the wildcard โ hawkish tone could pull BTC toward 81.8K support; easing Iran/oil tensions favor holding above it.
Not financial advice ๐
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto
๐ MARKETS TODAY โ Sept 23, 2026
Markets are being pulled by 4 major forces:
๐บ๐ธ US: Nasdaq closed at another record high, while S&P 500/Dow were softer. US futures are broadly flat ahead of fresh economic data.
๐ข๏ธ Oil: Crude is easing as reports point to improving Middle East supply flows. Brent is back below $100 โ a key inflation signal for markets.
๐ต Dollar: DXY has climbed above 100.7 to a ~2-month high as markets price a more hawkish Fed outlook.
๐บ๐ธ๐จ๐ณ TrumpโXi: Markets are watching the upcoming US-China meeting, with trade tensions and the possibility of extending the tariff truce in focus.
๐ฎ๐ท Iran/Hormuz: Any progressโor breakdownโin US-Iran talks could rapidly move oil, inflation expectations, bonds and risk assets.
๐ค AI: Fresh optimism around AI demand continues supporting global technology shares.
Key market setup:
Oil โ + AI optimism โ risk assets supported
Dollar โ + hawkish Fed โ liquidity pressure
Iran/Hormuz + TrumpโXi โ headline volatility
#Markets #Macro #Stocks #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed #Oil #Gold #AI
๐จ MACRO ALERT: TRUMP BACKS US DIESEL EXPORT BAN
Trump says he supports restricting ๐บ๐ธ diesel exports as US fuel prices hit record levels.
But this could create a major global energy-market shock:
๐บ๐ธ Less US diesel exports
โ ๐ tighter global supply
โ ๐ข๏ธ higher international fuel prices
โ ๐ inflation pressure
โ ๐ potentially higher-for-longer rates
โ โ ๏ธ tougher liquidity backdrop for BTC & risk assets
The key question now:
Does the US actually impose a full or partial ban?
The administration says it's studying the options.
US diesel exports reached roughly 1.6M barrels/day in August, making the US a major supplier to Europe and Latin America.
Watch: Oil โ inflation โ Treasury yields โ USD โ BTC.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Macro #Oil #Trump #Inflation #FederalReserve
๐จ BTC OPTIONS EXPIRY
~$14.4B in BTC options expire Sept. 25 at 08:00 UTC โ one of the largest quarterly expiries of 2026.
๐ Key levels:
โข $70K โ major OI
โข $85K / $90K โ large call concentration
โข ~$72K โ reported max-pain zone
Expect volatility + hedging flows around expiry. Expiry itself doesn't determine direction.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Options
๐จ BIG MACRO + CRYPTO DEVELOPMENT
The ECB just opened a new bridge between traditional finance and blockchain.
And this could matter far more than today's Bitcoin candle. ๐งต๐
7/
For crypto traders, watch three themes:
๐น Tokenized Treasuries & bonds
๐น Stablecoins / digital settlement
๐น Institutional blockchain infrastructure
These could become bigger narratives than speculative altcoin cycles.