Interesting shift in this week’s model:
Top picks are NOT big tech.
DECK, CF, NVR — all outside the usual hype names.
Signal right now:
→ fundamentals > momentum
One of our worst picks:
ADBE −43%
Here’s what the model missed:
• Multiple expansion was too aggressive
• Margins started compressing
• Valuation wasn’t justified
This is exactly what we’re fixing now.
We picked INTC at $24
It’s now at $50 (+108%)
Not luck.
It ranked #1 in our model because:
• High FCF yield
• Improving ROE
• Undervalued vs peers
128 picks tracked → +12.7% avg return (vs S&P +7.9%)
Building this in public ↓
https://t.co/PdGrf6dJ1Y