$QQQ - So far it's holding above the support at 700. In order to bounce to the top of the range(728) it would have to trade above 715(gap). Next week, there's still a chance that instead of a bounce we will see a washout to 680 which is near the 200 day MA, and only then bounce.
$AVGO - Price is less than 5% away from the 100 week MA, a key long term moving average which it last hit at the April 2025 low. I expect it to bottom there and then we'll see if it's able to make a new ATH in 2027 or a bear market is already underway.
$BTC - The close above the 20 DMA on Wednesday was reversed yesterday, so a new high for Q4 will probably not happen anytime soon. Notice that it hasn't closed below the lower BB since June, so a close below the lower BB will confirm that a decline into late November is underway.
$MU - It's doing better than I expected. While SOXX basically hit its 200 day MA yesterday Micron was nowhere near doing that. If it made short term low yesterday, which is a big if, it could bounce to the 100 day MA that's currently at 973 in early November.
While tech is suffering, with $SPX it's business as usual. It has not even broken the monthly pivot at 7647. As I noted on Sunday with regards to the disconnection between QQQ and SOX, this even bigger disconnection between SPX and SOX is similar to past action from late 1995.
$QQQ was demolished today and has almost reached the horizontal support at 700. I think it's likely to bottom here and have a big bounce off 700 but if it closes below 700, the next downside target would be the monthly support at 681. We'll find out tomorrow.
$META - Today's action has confirmed that it made an intermediate term top on Sep 24. The next support is gap support at 638 but it's probably headed lower into the 2nd half of November. Overall, it's a continuation of the price mess of the last 52 weeks. no clear pattern here.
$SPCX opened the day with the biggest gap up since it started trading on June 12. Until now it has left behind only 2 daily gaps: on June 16, the day of the all time high, and on August 4. Both gaps were filled the following day. Will this time be different?
$SOXX has broken the September low. The next downside target is either the 200 day MA at 471 or the July low at 464. After hitting the target range(464-471) we're likely to see a bounce into the mid term elections on November 3.
@DonDurrett@TheMorder37@savinfamily The rally into the January top was parabolic so I have no idea what "breaking down" means in that context. Going into the 1980 top it rallied from 365 to 873 in 3 months. You know when it broke below 365? In February 1982, 2 years after the top.
$QQQ was up 1.06% today but closed below the 50 day MA. Even if it closes above the 50 day MA tomorrow it would still be a counter trend bounce and the next upside target would be the 20 day MA. On other hand, if it reverses lower tomorrow the next downside target would be 700.
$META has declined from late September to yesterday's low. The weekly low at the September high was 679. Yesterday's low didn't break 679 which keeps it in a position to make a new 52 week high post earnings. If it closes the week below 679 an intermediate term top would be in.
$BTC will close above the 20 day MA. The last time that happened it led to a new multi month high, so this close above the 20 day MA will probably lead to a new high for October as well, maybe around 90K.
So far $TSLA is having a big up week before earnings and it's bumping again into the yearly pivot(387.60). If it closes the week above it the rally will continue into early November. On the other hand, a bearish reversal here will lead to a decline into the 2nd half of November.
$SPCX opened the day with the biggest gap up since it started trading on June 12. Until now it has left behind only 2 daily gaps: on June 16, the day of the all time high, and on August 4. Both gaps were filled the following day. Will this time be different?
$QQQ - When it closed below the 50 day MA in Q1 price stayed in a trading range for a month and a half before breaking down in late March. It's possible the same thing will happen from now until early November, with the trading range being 700-726 this time. Time will tell.