Deepak Chavan

Independent Market Analyst

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

The Big Shock: India’s fertilizer import bill saw a sharp jump of 60.75% in FY26, increasing from $10.2 billion to $16.4 billion. Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, cumulative exports and imports data for FY 2025-26 (April to March).

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

As per USDA FAS data, India’s soybean oil consumption is expected to reach 7.26 million tonnes in 2026–27, showing a growth of more than 40% in just three years.
Imports continue to dominate, meeting over 77% of total consumption in 2026–27.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

In India and Bangladesh, there is an onion supply glut, so farmers are unable to recover their costs. In Gulf countries, shortage has pushed prices very high. Geopolitical factors are hitting both farmers and consumers hard…

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

According to Central Government data released today, India ranks first in dry onion production worldwide, contributing nearly 25% of total output. Most of this production comes from Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, and Gujarat.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

RBI report says tractor retail sales grew 28.8% in Q3 of 2025‑26, showing farmers’ strong demand for mechanization.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

The Ministry of Petroleum has stated that 72 Lakh Metric Tonnes of surplus FCI rice will be used for ethanol production in ESY 2025‑26.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

After the recent US–India trade deal, USA Maize DDGS is again in discussion for India. As per end users, at ₹28/kg it is not suitable for premium poultry feed due to lower amino acids & higher fibre vs soya. It works in average feed. If soya goes above ₹50–52/kg, DDGS is viable

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

As per USDA data, India’s maize consumption increased from 3 crore tons to 4.4 crore tons, a rise of 46% over the four-year period from 2021/22 to 2025/26. Ethanol demand has remained a crucial factor behind this sharp increase.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

India’s onion production has increased from 232.6 lakh tons in 2017–18 to 307.8 lakh tons in 2024–25, showing a growth of 32%. But during the same period, per-hectare productivity has declined from 18.1 tons/ha to 15.6 tons/ha, a fall of 14%.
Source : Agriculture Ministry

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

India was the top buyer, accounting for 67% of Australia’s chickpea exports in 2024/25.
Source - ABS

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

For the second year in a row, farmers in Maharashtra are facing record high costs to grow rabi onion seedlings. Heavy rains have damaged nurseries again, and both seed prices and nursery maintenance expenses have shot up due to bad weather.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

According to the Ministry of Commerce, 5.77 lakh tonnes of onions were exported during the April to August period of the current financial year.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

According to USDA data, Brazil alone is estimated to produce 40% of the world's soybean output in 2025–26.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

In 2024, India’s share in global turmeric exports was 66%.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

As per the Central Spices Board, India exported 1.76 lakh tonnes of turmeric in the last financial year, worth 341 million US dollars.
Out of this, Maharashtra alone contributed 155 million dollars, which is 45% of the total export value.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

https://t.co/GKq08lEwSO

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

@SushantJ9999

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

USDA shows India's maize yield in 2025 at 3.78 tonnes per hectare, up 47% compared with 2.56 tonnes per hectare in 2016.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

@SuryadevaraRam8 Agree with your personal experience. USDA has given national averages for all three seasons - Kharif, Rabi, Summer.

[Deepak Chavan @DBChavan]

Bangladesh: The Business Standard reports that onion prices rose by up to 24% in one week, reaching Tk 75–Tk 85 per kilogram at retail in Dhaka.