Leonardo

I model public companies so you don't have to. Weekly valuations, clean and transparent. Not investment advice.

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

@pdicarlotrader $ORCL

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

$AVGO 🎯 $790.58 in 2029

📈 Revenue +50%/yr, above the 24.9% 10Y CAGR on accelerating AI/custom demand from hyperscalers
📊 Margins expand to 65%. Operating leverage as AI chip volumes scale
🔒 Exit P/E 22, below current 32.8x. Premium compresses as growth normalizes

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

$GOOGL 🎯 Target: $438 in 2.4y

My assumptions:
📈 Revenue +20%/yr above 10yr historical avg 18.3%. Betting on Cloud + AI monetization.
📊 Margins 33% above 5yr avg 22.6%, roughly in line with last year's 32.1%.
🔒 Exit P/E 23x below 1yr 27.3x, in line with 10yr avg 24.3x.

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

$ORCL 🎯Target: $267.07 in 2.9y

📈Revenue +30%/yr — nearly 2x the 17.3% 1yr avg, well above 5yr (10.7%) & 10yr (6.2%)
📊Margins 35% — below both 1yr (43.6%) & 5yr (46.9%) historic avg
🔓Exit P/E 16x — below 1yr (28.4x), 5yr (21.5x) & 10yr (18.1x)
+111.3% return, 29.7%/yr IRR

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

$AMZN 🎯 Target: $332.82 in 2.5y (+34.6% / ~12.8% a year)

My assumptions:
📈Revenue +13.5%/yr — in line with 5y trend.
📊 Margins 15% — up from 10.8%, AWS + ads leverage.
🔒 Exit P/E 27x — well below 5y avg (50.9x).
Not financial advice!

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

$TER🎯Target: $539 in 2.5y
My assumptions:
📈Revenue +29%/yr above consensus. Bet on Teradyne's semiconductor test & robotics demand
📉Margins 33% above historic avg, operating leverage from higher volumes
🔒Exit P/E 35x above historic, premium for AI-driven test equipment growth

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

$META 🎯 Target: $945 in 2.5y (+72% / ~24% a year)
My assumptions:
📈 Revenue +24%/yr — above consensus. Betting on Meta's AI monetization.
📉 Margins 30% — below avg, heavy investment phase ahead.
🔒 Exit P/E 20x — below historic. No re-rating needed.

Not financial advice!

[Leonardo @DCF_Diaries]

$META 🎯 Target: $945 in 2.5y (+72% / ~24% a year)
My assumptions:
📈 Revenue +24%/yr — above consensus. Betting on Meta's AI monetization.
📉 Margins 30% — below avg, heavy investment phase ahead.
🔒 Exit P/E 20x — below historic. No re-rating needed.

Not financial advice!