If you're building NFL DFS lineups the same way you were 3 years ago, you might be leaving a lot of EV on the table.
We reviewed this season's DraftKings Milly Maker winners, compared them against historical data dating back to 2022, and found some patterns worth paying attention to.
Some are counterintuitive. All are actionable.
Let's get into it. 🧵
SWEEEEEEP!! @DFSArmy
Cam Spencer OVER 6.5 points✅
De’Anthony Melton OVER 10.5 Pts+Reb✅
Fred VanVleet OVER 19.5 PRA✅
Get tomorrow’s slips ➡️ https://t.co/2ymgwOtzey
#PrizePicks#NBA
Want to compete with the sharks in NFL DFS?
Stop making the same mistakes as the rest of the field. So much of 2022's advice has proved to be rubbish.
44,931 top-100 tournament lineups revealed some interesting patterns:
1) Stop playing underdog defenses.
2) Stop chasing cheap RBs on bad offenses.
3) Stop blindly fading chalk.
Sometimes the biggest edge isn't finding the next sleeper.
It's knowing what NOT to play.
One of the easiest ways to sabotage an NFL DFS lineup?
Punting RB just to make the salary work.
In our study of 34,856 top-100 large-field lineups, fewer than 5% used an RB under $4,500.
Cheap isn't the same as value. Make the role earn the roster spot.
@deonta24217049 Ummm…Google Sheets does it for free.
I can upload hundreds of lineups, I can merge contests, edit, and even randomize lineups inside the sheet before uploading templates back to both sites.
Did you ask in Discord? It’s one of our most common questions.
Want to stop just entering DFS contests and start actually winning them?
It starts by changing your question from "Who do I play?" to "Why am I playing them?"
Shift your mindset, shift your results.
At DFS Army, we bridge that gap:
⚡️ For the busy days: 1-click optimized lineups to get you competitive fast.
🧠 For the winning edge: Elite education and tools to teach you how to build like a pro.
👇 Links to our tools and strategy channels in the replies.
@DraftEdgeIO Randomness also matters. We can target the game properly and a busted coverage gets a WR3 into the mix instantly.
We can’t control everything. We can only trim the fat off what doesn’t work and make lineups with better and better chances of winning.
“Stack your quarterback.”
Almost everybody playing NFL DFS has heard this advice.
But knowing you should stack is different from understanding how many players to pair with your QB, who those players should be, and when the rest of the lineup needs another correlated piece.
We dug into the data. ⤵️