Monster earnings delivery from $MSFT, and now the chart is forcing the issue.
Knocking right on the door of Weekly Ichimoku Cloud resistance. Reclaiming this zone on the weekly candle shifts the macro regime right back into full expansion mode.
Positioned long. Watching the weekly close closely. 💻📈
$MSFT weekly RSI divergence is finally locked in.
Price is holding the macro support line beautifully, while momentum is aggressively curling up. The risk-to-reward here for a long position is heavily skewed in our favor.
Still one of my top tech picks for a reason.
$MSFT weekly RSI divergence is finally locked in.
Price is holding the macro support line beautifully, while momentum is aggressively curling up. The risk-to-reward here for a long position is heavily skewed in our favor.
Still one of my top tech picks for a reason.
@amitisinvesting Volatility into Sept and Oct is the easy call. What happens after depends less on who wins and more on whether it produces gridlock. History says gridlock melts up, since Wall Street prices in nothing radical happening either way.
This nails it, and today’s presser proved it live. Inflation elevated, employment stable, three of Warsh’s own FOMC members voted to hike. He still held.
Asked point blank why, he gave word salad about markets pricing things in real time. Never answered.
You don’t dodge the most important question in the room unless the honest answer is one you can’t say out loud.
Watch how Warsh handles the most important question in the room: why not raise rates when inflation is elevated, employment is stable, and three of your own FOMC members just voted to hike?
He doesn't answer it. Gives word salad about markets pricing things in real time and moves on.
That's the tell. If you can't be straight about why you're holding, you can't be trusted to actually deliver 2%.
They're trapped. Raise rates and you expose how addicted this economy is to cheap money. Hold, and inflation never gets back to target. There's no clean way out of this.
$SPX $QQQ $SPY
Still stand by this from October. Warsh in the chair now proves the point: this Fed isn't playing defense on inflation, it's playing defense on the system. Priority one is making sure 2008 never happens again, everything else is secondary.
That's why 2% inflation is basically dead unless rates actually move higher, and this Fed has zero appetite for that.
When Powell’s gone in 2026, expect a chair who cares less about inflation and more about elections.
Rate cuts, liquidity, and the mother of all melt-ups incoming. 🐂🔥
$SPX $QQQ $NVDA won’t just rise… they’ll melt up!
Since everyone is tweeting and buying $MU $SNDK, I’m getting cautious.
Half of these investors have no idea what’s about to happen from June to October.
They will learn a big lesson. That’s why average prices matter A LOT. If you have a bad entry, your room of margin is thin.
KOSPI rejected by the Ichimoku Cloud today.
South Korean market is under pressure and that's a problem for semis. Samsung and $SKHY are the canary in the coal mine.
Today's US semi strength doesn't erase the danger.
Leveraged liquidations are still happening. The May and June momentum is not fully back yet.
$MSFT weekly RSI divergence is finally locked in.
Price is holding the macro support line beautifully, while momentum is aggressively curling up. The risk-to-reward here for a long position is heavily skewed in our favor.
Still one of my top tech picks for a reason.
Lower highs locked in on $QQQ as we head straight into August volatility.
The daily structure is telling you everything you need to know: momentum is fading and buyers are losing steam at key resistance.
Volatility season is loading. Protect your capital and wait for clear market structure. ⚠️
$MU had amazing earnings but here’s the catch 👇
86% gross margin is as good as it can get. Any disappointment in next earnings can upset the investors big time.
That’s why I bought heavily under $500, not at $1200.
Risks are much elevated even though current trend is still bullish. Let’s follow the first rule of trading, never lose money!
$DUOL Bollinger Bands are tightening up significantly.
- 20% short interest
- Above the daily Ichimoku Cloud
- $400 million approved stock buybacks
Short squeeze potential is real.
$TEM parked at $42 into Thursday earnings.
- Sitting right on the 0.236 fib
- Momentum died the day $PSNL acquisition hit the tape
- Cloud above thick and red, no lift yet
Hold $42, this stabilizes. Lose it, $22 is the next fibonacci support.
$ORCL benefits most from this headline.
Nvidia guaranteeing $250B for OpenAI’s Ohio data center takes pressure off Oracle’s debt story. That’s the sentiment shift bulls have been waiting for. Still, these deals can fall apart. Watching closely, not chasing.
$AVGO
Down to 381.92 this week while the average analyst target says $532. Correction phase doing its job, shaking out weak hands. Post-midterms melt-up is coming, and $AVGO is positioned beautifully for it.
Baillie Gifford owns 10% of $DUOL
Know what else they got in early on?
Amazon (2003), Tesla (2013, under $8), Nvidia (2016).
While the market asked “when does this go bust,” they asked “what if this actually works.”
Now they’re asking the same question about $DUOL.
Massive bearish divergence on the $INTC weekly chart.
The higher price goes, the weaker the momentum gets. Buyers are completely exhausted here.
> Earnings drop Thursday, July 23rd.
If structure breaks, that prior $74 cycle peak is the first major downside target we revisit.