David Spratt

Research Director, Safe Climate Australia. Personal tweets. Blog:

[David Spratt @djspratt]

Authoritarianism is undermining #climate action – and time is running out as warming accelerates and tipping points draw near. But as globalisation fades, national governments must assert their role in leading a climate emergency response:
https://t.co/LzencTXeNy @johnmenadue. Briefing paper: https://t.co/flsytTkPLy @BreakthroughCCR

[David Spratt @djspratt]

Trigger warning/warming: “A major El Niño is under way, forecast to peak near +4.0 °C in Nov 2026” and “This year is on track for 1.63°C ±0.05°C above preindustrial.” https://t.co/xMPd8hubRW #Climate

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.

[Climate Watcher 🔥 @pmagn]

Here we go..

Corn and wheat prices jump to highest prices in more than three years

https://t.co/ePWiNdjMJc

[Geoffrey Lean @GeoffreyLean]

Ominous news. Permafrost melting has accelerated since the turn of the century, a big study of 156 sites worldwide has shown. 90% of high mountain regions are affected. Rising temperatures are blamed and runaway climate change could ensue.

https://t.co/z9fyD1eGLU

[Christine Milne AO @ChristineMilne]

When Labor Cabinet signs off on new coal and gas, they should be shown this.

[Peter🌲Brannen @PeterBrannen1]

24% of the global population, or 2 billion people, will experience a month of heat that exceeds human tolerance under 3°C of warming https://t.co/2jU3fiYYEO

[James Edward Hansen @DrJamesEHansen]

The El Nino is off the charts. Can people see the real issue and accept the implications? We may be getting closer. See the Bigger Problem – https://t.co/rsyLt8z4XS
Also available on Substack:
https://t.co/lqgU6bog2i

[David Spratt @djspratt]

Pearls&Irritations today:  The coming super El Niño will intensify heat, drought, fire and crop losses across Australia and Asia, while fertiliser shortages raise the risk of a wider food crisis.
https://t.co/WpHReME364 @johnmenadue #climate

[David Spratt @djspratt]

Global heating on steroids! Zeke Hausfather (via Washington Post) is projecting 1.76C warming for 2027. https://t.co/VoBeqRhfT3

[David Spratt @djspratt]

July 2026 was nominally the 2nd warmest July on record, with a global average of 1.56 ± 0.09 °C (2.80 ± 0.15 °F) above the 1850–1900 average — the first month of 2026 to exceed 1.5 °C — behind only July 2023 and effectively tied with July 2024. https://t.co/yDHph3eGOw

[Zeke Hausfather @hausfath]

With all August model runs now in (except for SINTEX-F), we now expect this year's El Niño event to peak sometime between October and December at a stunning 4C in the Niño3.4 region.

To see all the latest numbers, check out the Climate Dashboard (link below)

[David Spratt @djspratt]

@onlyskypace 100

[Ben Noll @BenNollWeather]

Breaking: El Niño strength forecasts have just taken another step higher.

The new ECMWF outlook shows the event peaking near +4.0˚C in December — obliterating the previous record.

This will have sweeping implications on global climate patterns from late this year into 2027.

[David Spratt @djspratt]

@CarbonBrief @hausfath Isn’t that what James Hansen was saying months ago? Once again, a great scientist who some in the current research community want to diss, will be right once more!

[Derek Thompson @DKThomp]

Marvelous examination of how to spot 2026-era AI writing, via the Economist

- AI likes long sentences with less punctuation; “and” is its most overused word
- relatedly, lists of three things, which drives up use of "and" as well
- polysyllabic adjectives: “significant”, “increasingly”
- scientific jargon ("rate-limiting," “parameter”)
- nominalizations (making nouns from verbs: eg, “expansion” from “expand”)
- ofc, everyone's favorite: "it's not X, it's Y"

[Geoffrey Lean @GeoffreyLean]

Climate change made the huge Spanish wildfires at least 20 times more likely, scientists conclude. Just the latest study to have linked heatwaves and wildfires to global heating. Causes of ignition vary, but the underlying conditions are crucial.

https://t.co/wjUyWZ0W5B

[David Spratt @djspratt]

@ProfStrachan In the long run each one degree Celsius results in 10-20 metres of sea level rise. Cooling back to Holocene conditions is only path to protecting coastlines.

[MEER @MEERsrm]

CO₂ emissions are only part of the story. The critical question is how much warming they trigger. @djspratt explains climate sensitivity—and why understanding it is essential to understanding our future.
#climatechange #climateaction #climatesensitivity #warming #MEER

[David Spratt @djspratt]

2/2 “Whatever short-term income fossil fuel exports generate is overwhelmed by the deaths, destruction & decline in human security caused by accelerating climate disruption, costs that will continue accumulating for decades and be borne by communities and future generations.”

[David Spratt @djspratt]

Strong stand by Adm. Chris Barrie in keynote address to the Clean Energy Summit in Sydney today. “Disordered and delusionary thinking” as ex-ADF chief calls out Australian Government’s climate hypocrisy. https://t.co/nasmgamIG7 1/2