Dr. PC7 🥷🏽

Medical Doctor,Prediction Analyst,AI CPP,Lead BD @QwertiAI

Building the TPC community

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

Prediction markets for beginners

Prediction markets let you trade on what you think will happen, not just price charts.

Instead of asking
“Will this go up?”
you ask
“Will this event happen?”

Examples:
• Team wins a match
• Candidate wins an election
• Project launches before a date

You’re trading probability.

What does “¢ (cents)” mean?

Each market is priced from 0c to 100c.

• 100c = 100% chance
• 50c = 50% chance
• 20c = 20% chance

If you buy at 30c and later sell at 60c,
you doubled your money.

Simple.

How a newbie should use prediction markets:

Start with events you already understand.

Don’t overthink.
Don’t trade everything.
Pick clear situations.

Ask yourself:
• Is this being underpriced?
• Is the crowd too emotional?
• Do I have better info or logic?

If yes → trade.
If no → skip.

Sports as a case study

Sports are great for beginners because:
• Clear rules
• Fast outcomes
• Lots of public bias

Example:
• A strong team loses 1 game
• Market overreacts
• Odds drop too low

That’s opportunity.

You’re not betting on vibes
you’re betting on probability correcting itself.

Politics as a case study

Politics is slower but powerful.

Markets move on:
• Polls
• Headlines
• Narratives
• Emotions

Often:
• Fear brings mispricing
• Confidence brings overpriced odds

The edge comes from patience and calm thinking, not hot takes.

Market resolving (important):

Every prediction market has a resolution condition.

That means:
• When the event ends
• Who decides the outcome
• What counts as “Yes” or “No”

Always read this.

Many beginners lose money by trading a market
they don’t fully understand.

BIG lesson: You don’t need to stay till the end

This is where most people get it wrong.

You do NOT need to wait for resolution to make profit.

You can:
• Buy low
• Let sentiment change
• Sell higher
• Exit early

Professional traders care about:
price movement not waiting till the end

Final mindset (TD;LR)

Prediction markets reward:
• Clarity
• Patience
• Discipline

They punish:
• Emotions
• Overconfidence
• All in behavior

Think in probabilities.
Take profits when you have them.
Live to trade the next market.

That’s how you win.

Winners win , Get Bizzy .

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

@Kelvinoyibo I did not

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

@ImozemhePeniel Referencing

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

@UnscriptedPnL Rip to
The guy in the 3rd frame

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

@CodeXBT @vegabet 29,3,7

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

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[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

@Kelvinoyibo Not me

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

@He_Lennn @builtfromnotin My question too
How much will one spend to do this

[Dr. PC7 🥷🏽 @DRPC777]

@walsxbt

[Route 2 FI @Route2FI]

Been looking at @clickoptions_ai's Futures without liquidation now that they've launched, and the idea looks very interesting. Each contract is a deep in-the-money option with a fixed expiry, so it moves almost one for one with price and there's no liquidation price.

You see the fee (0.01% per side) and the full funding to expiry before you open. On BTC yesterday it was 29x for tomorrow and 14x for 11 days out.

At 29x a perp gets liquidated by a 3.45% move and you're out for good. With options, that move hurts just as much on paper, but you're still in the trade if price comes back before expiry. 1 in 5 liquidated 29x BTC longs were in profit 3 days later.

The catch is that every contract expires, so staying in longer means new funding, and leverage drops on longer dates. You can still lose money if price goes against you and stays there.

[Inmortal @inmortalcrypto]

I think futures without liquidation could be the "next big thing" for traders

I will try it out and tell you my thoughts about it

It's been a while since someone made a tool for us, so props to @clickoptions_ai