Reason and analytics in Dallas

MBA-Finance. Slightly to right of center but not crazy. Agnostic but not anti-religious. Science, geopolitics, politics, economics, and public health.

[Reason and analytics in Dallas @DallasAnalytics]

Michael Avenatti just told me to go f*ck myself.. Yes, this really happened.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇦🇷🇨🇴 Milei is going full beast mode after the right-wing win in Colombia:

“The Lion and the Tiger roar in Latin America”

He declared that there’s “no turning back” from freedom.

The "pink wave" of gray-haired commies is getting scrubbed off the map right now.

GOOD FUCKING RIDDANCE!

Source: @JMilei / Writer: Claudio

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇨🇴 Big reports of voter coercion in Colombia today.

Armed groups were allegedly forcing rural locals to vote for Iván Cepeda, a left-wing senator and activist.

People claimed they were being bused to polls under threat.

Weird way to run a democracy.

Writer: Daniyal

[Secretary Marco Rubio @SecRubio]

Just spoke to Colombian President-Elect @ABDELAESPRIELLA to congratulate him on his electoral victory.

The Trump Administration looks forward to working closely with your incoming administration to advance regional security cooperation, end illegal immigration to the United States, and strengthen our economic ties.

Colombia's best days are ahead.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇨🇴🇮🇱 Colombia's president says Israel hacked the election

Gustavo Petro has rejected the result, claiming the electoral software was compromised and that changes to the registry's servers point to manipulation.

His technical flag: E14 forms, the official tally sheets polling officials are supposed to sign, are going up unsigned. He wants those tables challenged on the spot.

Then the big one. Petro says Israel is behind the alleged breach, and he's calling for a full recount and a forensic audit of the system while urging calm and national dialogue.

The catch is he's shown no evidence, and it all lands right after his side lost.

Trump-backed outsider Abelardo de la Espriella edged Petro's chosen heir Iván Cepeda 49.6% to 48.6%, denying the left a second term.

A leftist president crying foreign sabotage the moment the vote slips away, with nothing to back it, the audit he wants will either prove him right or bury him.

Source: @petrogustavo , TABZ ( Telegram) / Writer: Daniyal

[OSINTdefender @sentdefender]

Colombian President Gustavo Petro declares the results of the ongoing Presidential Runoff Election to be invalid, following the loss of left-wing ruling party candidate Iván Cepeda and close win of Trump-backed far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella. Petro claims that polling data and software was “compromised” by Israel, requesting an investigation into irregularities by the Rama Judicial.

[Polymarket Sports @PolymarketSport]

🚨The USA and Iran COULD play each other in the round of 16 of the World Cup

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

After a peak of 15 tankers sailing through the Strait of Hormuz, the number is back to 3 today.

My base case is the same as in recent months: the problems in the Strait of Hormuz will last much longer than consensus thinks.

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

*US 10Y YIELDS RISE 5BPS AS CASH TRADING RETURNS FROM HOLIDAY

[Seyed Abbas Araghchi @araghchi]

Tireless Pakistani and Qatari mediation has delivered major progress to end Lebanon War. Oil and petrochem exports are waived, blockade lifted, some frozen assets released, and major reconstruction & development plan launched for Iran.

1st real test: Lebanon deconfliction cell

[Barak Ravid @BarakRavid]

🇶🇦🇵🇰🇺🇸🇮🇷In a joint statement at the end of the Lake Lucerne summit, the mediators - Qatar and Pakistan - said "encouraging progress has been made" during the 18 hours of negotiations.
👍👎The mediators said the U.S. and Iran agreed to establish a High Level Committee, which will provide political oversight to the negotiation in addition to working groups focused on nuclear, sanctions, and a monitoring and dispute resolution group.
🗺️Qatar and Pakistan said the U.S. and Iran agreed on 'a roadmap" for reaching a final deal within 60 days..
🚢The parties agreed to establish a "communication line" regarding the situation in the strait of Hormuz that will operate as long as negotiations continue, in order "to avoid incidents and miscommunication with the aim of safe passage for commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz", the mediators said in the statement.
🇱🇧The U.S. and Iran also agreed to create a "de-confliction cell" together with Lebanon and the mediators "to ensure the adherence of the termination of military operations in Lebanon"

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Syria 'Unwilling, Unprepared' To Attack Lebanon & Deal With Hezbollah Despite US Pressure https://t.co/4gAh6zRoQh

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

QATAR FACTORY EXPLOSION INJURES 54, 18 MISSING: AFP

[Steve Robinson @SteveRob]

It’s getting harder to dismiss the connection between NGOs/USAID and Democrat campaigns.

[Trey Yingst @TreyYingst]

UPDATE: The Iranians remain in Switzerland, and talks continue at this hour, a U.S. diplomat told Fox News.

“Negotiations have been going in earnest all day,” the diplomat added. “Robust discussions on all elements of the nuclear deal are ongoing.”

Some of the discussions are focused on clarifying the confusing messaging surrounding the Strait of Hormuz to ensure it will remain open.

[OSINTdefender @sentdefender]

U.S. President Donald J. Trump has threatened to resume combat operations against Iran, if they fail to reign in their principal proxy in the region, Lebanese Hezbollah.

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

IRANIAN NEGOTIATORS STILL ENGAGED IN US TALKS: PEOPLE FAMILIAR

[Astral🛸 @The_Astral_]

Ross Coulthart is hearing rumors that a prominent figure involved in the UAP transparency effort may be under consideration for a role in the Trump administration. 👀

Who do you think it is?

[Astral🛸 @The_Astral_]

Ross Coulthart addresses Michael Shermer’s recent posts about David Grusch and argues that sworn testimony is considered evidence.

Shermer posted today that he’s open to an interview on Reality Check.

[Reason and analytics in Dallas @DallasAnalytics]

@pavelibarrameda @JeremyCorbell Citing Corbell makes you less credible

[🇺🇸 Mike Davis 🇺🇸 @mrddmia]

You were awfully quiet about 250,000 girls getting raped by Muslims.

Fuck off, Keir.