kenji

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Hey American Baseball fans
How may strikes does it take to be called "OUT?" bitcoin:native @MLB

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

Strategy has acquired 34,164 BTC for ~$2.54 billion at ~$74,395 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 9.5% YTD 2026. As of 4/19/2026, we hodl 815,061 $BTC acquired for ~$61.56 billion at ~$75,527 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC https://t.co/ifGXjMeIZH

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Note to cryptomaniacs
I find it amusing when I read on X chatter that charting does not work on an asset like Bitcoin.🤣
Actually, Bitcoin obeys the rules of classical charting (Schabacker, Edwards/Magee) better than most markets
What you think does not matter to me
$BTC

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

The Banana is splitting
This is a Horn
Richard W. Schabacker wrote about this in his 1934 book
$BTC
https://t.co/F2gFFp7sxj

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Yet another sell signal in Bitcoin as a bear channel has been completed. Remember that charts can always morph. Price needs to reclaim $93k to negate $BTC

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

58k to $62k is where I think it is going $BTC
If it does not go there I will NOT be ashamed, so I do not need to see you trolls screen shot this in the future
I am wrong 50% of the time. It does not bother me to be wrong

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Bitcoin investors, do you know:

1. Bull cycles have experienced exponential decay
2. BTC's bull cycles have undergone parabolic advances
3. The violation of previous parabolas have all declined <80%
4. The current parabolic advance has been violated

20% of ATH = $25,240

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

My own personal opinion
The U.S. govt should engineer a sharp price decline, forcing Saylor into liquidation
Then the U.S. govt can stock up on BTC to back up the $USD as a reserve currency
I think driving price to $30k would do the trick

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Do others besides me find it a bit awkward intellectually/emotionally when you hold contrary positions in accounts designed to trade different systems/time frames?
As an investor I have owned Bitcoin for years
As a swing trader I am now short $BTC futures based on megaphone

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

In 1977 Soybeans formed a broadening top and then declined 50% in value
Bitcoin today is forming a similar pattern. A 50% decline in $BTC will put $MSTR underwater
Whether I am right or wrong, you have to admit this old guy has the gonads to make big calls

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Many of you have asked whenever I have posted the Banana Chart why I had the red frown face posted on Oct 5. Have you figured it out yet? The was the date I predicted long ago to be the top in Bitcoin based on my own unique understanding of the cycles. Unfortunately I did not go short - but I am actually honest enough to tell you this unlike the BS artists on X and YouTube

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

Nothing is easy, otherwise everyone else would have done it already.😆

[Rose 🌹 @rosycutee2]

#BTC

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

It's altcoin season

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Hey @scottmelker
If Bitcoin can regain the broken parabolic slope then $BTC is on target to reach the bull market cycle top in the $125k to $150K level by Aug/Sep 2025, then a 50%+ correction

[CoinDesk @CoinDesk]

Monday blues once again gripped crypto traders as major tokens slumped 10%, $BTC traded near $82,000 and the crypto fear and greed index hit a multi-year low, indicating 'extreme fear' among investors. By @shauryamalwa.

https://t.co/Ux9DEp3t1h

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

1. Market completes double top
2. Top retested by pennant
3. Pennant completed, confirms bearish chart
Bitcoin $BTC
Don't shoot the messenger
Price must recapture #2 to turn positive

[CoinDesk @CoinDesk]

President Trump announced the establishment of a U.S. Crypto Reserve which will include $XRP, $ADA and $SOL tokens.

@nikhileshde reports
https://t.co/qIgeagNTtg

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Preface: What I am saying here will completely confuse those of you who are single narrative dogmatic investors.
I am a Bayesian open at the same time to multiple narratives
I've forecast $135k +/-$15k for BTC in 2025
But, as a Bayesian I still assign possibility that BTC is constructing a massive top for a 50%+ decline
Do I hedge my bets based on Bayesian priors -- of course I do. Being aware of risks comes from being a 50-yr career trader

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Alt season????
Make no doubt about it, Cardano $ADAUSD has bottomed for a grand bull market
Blue check mark only so no rude trolls