Daniel

Navigating the markets and documenting the journey 📊 | Daily insights, portfolio growth and stocks on my radar | Learn, invest, compound 💸 | NFA

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

One last time.
These are the valuation gaps I believe patient investors should remember:

$NBIS is a $500 stock trading at $199
$CRWV is a $340 stock trading at $77
$IREN is a $130 stock trading at $38
$APLD is a $82 stock trading at $29
$VRT is a $450 stock trading at $305
$OKLO is a $125 stock trading at $46
$RKLB is a $210 stock trading at $76
$ASTS is a $160 stock trading at $66

Most investors will trade the volatility.
The real money comes from holding the winners after the thesis proves itself.
Save this list.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

@amitisinvesting Today wasn’t twelve separate stories.
It was one story: AI demand colliding with the physical limits of chips, power, capacity and capital.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

I’ll only say this once.
A second valuation list for investors who can wait:

$NVDA is a $302 stock trading at $203
$AVGO is a $524 stock trading at $371
$TSM is a $520 stock trading at $398
$CRWV is a $141 stock trading at $73
$APLD is a $77 stock trading at $26
$OKLO is an $87 stock trading at $41
$LUNR is a $41 stock trading at $14
$OUST is a $49 stock trading at $37

The larger the gap, the more carefully I check funding, dilution and execution risk.

Conviction should increase with evidence—not simply because a stock trades lower.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

I’ll only say this once. These are the gaps I’m carrying into Monday:

$MU is a $1,486 stock trading at $849
$MRVL is a $253 stock trading at $189
$CRDO is a $272 stock trading at $203
$NBIS is a $244 stock trading at $178
$IREN is an $81 stock trading at $34
$VRT is a $380 stock trading at $290
$RKLB is a $117 stock trading at $68
$ASTS is an $83 stock trading at $58

Analyst targets are not promises. The gaps only matter if estimates keep rising and the companies keep delivering.

Most investors watch the price every hour. I’m watching whether the thesis improves every quarter.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

Believe it or not, the next targets are still in play.

$NBIS is going to $244
$CRWV is going to $141
$IREN is going to $81
$APLD is going to $77
$RKLB is going to $117
$ASTS is going to $83
$OKLO is going to $87
$LUNR is going to $41
$OUST is going to $49
$ONDS is going to $20

Mark this post.

The catalysts are different, but the rule is the same: no milestone, no re-rating.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

@EnkeledEBardho Exactly. Fear is expensive for forced sellers—and valuable for prepared buyers.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

I’ll only say this once. My highest-conviction valuation gaps for the week ahead:

$MU is a $1,486 stock trading at $849
$MRVL is a $253 stock trading at $189
$CRDO is a $272 stock trading at $203
$NBIS is a $244 stock trading at $178
$IREN is an $81 stock trading at $34
$APLD is a $77 stock trading at $26
$RKLB is a $117 stock trading at $68
$ASTS is an $83 stock trading at $58

Most people will trade every pullback.
The real money is made by holding the right names long enough.
Save this list.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

The next wave is already forming again.

$MU is going above $1,486
$MRVL is going to $253
$CRDO is going to $272
$NBIS is going to $244
$IREN is going to $81
$APLD is going to $77
$RKLB is going to $117
$ASTS is going to $83
$OKLO is going to $87
$LUNR is going to $41

Mark this post.

These targets are aggressive, and the path will not be straight. One year from now, execution will decide which calls earned the move.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

Keep this second list somewhere you can find it:

$NVDA is a $302 stock trading at $203
$AVGO is a $524 stock trading at $371
$TSM is a $520 stock trading at $398
$CRWV is a $141 stock trading at $73
$APLD is a $77 stock trading at $26
$OKLO is an $87 stock trading at $41
$LUNR is a $41 stock trading at $14
$OUST is a $49 stock trading at $37

Some of these names need time. Others need a catalyst. Every one of them needs disciplined position sizing.

The market can close the valuation gap—or prove it was justified. That is why we keep checking the thesis.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

I’ll only say this once. Here are the valuation gaps I’m watching after Friday’s close:

$MU is a $1,486 stock trading at $849
$MRVL is a $253 stock trading at $189
$CRDO is a $272 stock trading at $203
$NBIS is a $244 stock trading at $178
$IREN is an $81 stock trading at $34
$VRT is a $380 stock trading at $290
$RKLB is a $117 stock trading at $68
$ASTS is an $83 stock trading at $58

The targets did not become guaranteed because the prices fell. The opportunity only improves if revenue, capacity and execution keep moving in the right direction.

Save this list. Let the next two earnings cycles do the talking.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

Believe it or not, the targets did not disappear because the tape turned red.

$MU is going above $1,486
$MRVL is going to $253
$CRDO is going to $272
$NBIS is going to $244
$IREN is going to $81
$APLD is going to $77
$RKLB is going to $117
$ASTS is going to $83
$OKLO is going to $87
$LUNR is going to $41

Mark this post.

Volatility will test every target before the market confirms the thesis.
A year from now, today’s uncertainty may look very different.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

I’m only writing this once.

A second list of valuation gaps worth tracking:

$NBIS is a $244 stock trading at $172
$CRWV is a $141 stock trading at $73
$IREN is a $81 stock trading at $35
$APLD is a $73 stock trading at $26
$RKLB is a $117 stock trading at $67
$ASTS is a $80 stock trading at $55
$OKLO is a $87 stock trading at $42
$LUNR is a $41 stock trading at $13

Higher upside brings higher execution risk.

Most investors will trade the volatility.
The real money comes from holding the winners after the thesis proves itself.

Save this list.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

One final time.

These are the valuation gaps I believe long-term investors should remember:

$MU is a $1,486 stock trading at $853
$MRVL is a $253 stock trading at $188
$CRDO is a $272 stock trading at $208
$VRT is a $380 stock trading at $294
$NVDA is a $302 stock trading at $207
$AVGO is a $524 stock trading at $374
$TSM is a $517 stock trading at $410
$ANET is a $192 stock trading at $169

These are valuation opinions, not guaranteed outcomes.

Most people will trade every pullback.
The real money is made by holding the right names long enough.

Save this list.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

Most investors will notice these names only after the move begins.

$CRWV is going to $141
$APLD is going to $73
$RKLB is going back above $117
$ASTS is going to $80
$OKLO is going to $87
$LUNR is going to $41
$OUST is going to $49
$ONDS is going to $20
$NNE is going to $41
$CIFR is going to $33

Not every target will arrive in a straight line.

Mark this post.
A year from now, you’ll either thank yourself—or wish you had looked earlier.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

Believe it or not, another wave is already forming.

$MU is going back above $1,486
$MRVL is going to $253
$CRDO is going to $272
$VRT is going to $380
$NVDA is going back above $302
$AVGO is going to $524
$TSM is going to $517
$ANET is going to $192
$NBIS is going to $244
$IREN is going to $81

These targets require execution and favorable market conditions.

Mark this post.
One year from now, today’s uncertainty may look completely different.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

@DCfirstbase Fair. Round numbers fit in a post; they don’t replace a valuation model.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

One last time.
These are the valuation gaps I believe patient investors should remember:

$NBIS is a $500 stock trading at $199
$CRWV is a $340 stock trading at $77
$IREN is a $130 stock trading at $38
$APLD is a $82 stock trading at $29
$VRT is a $450 stock trading at $305
$OKLO is a $125 stock trading at $46
$RKLB is a $210 stock trading at $76
$ASTS is a $160 stock trading at $66

Most investors will trade the volatility.
The real money comes from holding the winners after the thesis proves itself.
Save this list.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

@TheRationBuyer Fair 😂 Apparently “one last time” is becoming a recurring series.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

@OdinsDeposition Paper losses aren’t the risk. Permanent impairment is.
I’ll hold through volatility as long as the thesis and execution remain intact.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

Most investors will notice these names only after the move begins.

$NBIS is going to $286
$CRWV is going to $100
$IREN is going to $90
$APLD is going to $82
$OKLO is going to $125
$RKLB is going back above $105
$ASTS is going to $160
$LUNR is going to $42
$NNE is going to $45
$OUST is going to $75

Not every target will arrive in a straight line.
Mark this post.
A year from now, you’ll either thank yourself—or wish you had looked earlier.

[Daniel @DanielMarketsX]

I’ll only say this once.
A list of my highest-conviction stocks to hold for the long term:

$MU is a $1,540 stock trading at $904
$ALAB is a $650 stock trading at $350
$CRDO is a $400 stock trading at $236
$MRVL is a $350 stock trading at $206
$ANET is a $250 stock trading at $171
$VRT is a $450 stock trading at $304
$AMD is a $750 stock trading at $529
$NVDA is a $300 stock trading at $212

Most people will trade every pullback.
The real money is made by holding the right names long enough.
Save this list.