History Repeats: IPOs and Market Tops
SpaceX is set to launch at a $1.75T valuation, making it the largest IPO in history. The closest comparison is Saudi Aramco at $1.70T, which went public just 10 weeks before the COVID crash in 2020. And Aramco is far from the only mega IPO that appeared near a major market top. Always remember that the largest IPOs in history tend to arrive when optimism and euphoria is extreme, and investors are willing to pay almost any price. This is just one more indicator that we are at the Stock Market top.
I've already seen people discussing loans to buy SpaceX. I've seen people with zero experience talking about it. The mass is buying, and we always know how this ends. Will I buy SpaceX? Absolutely! But let the crowd buy first, let the price crash, and thats where I am going to buy, and I promise you, I will be buying lower than on launch day.
Stock Market 1973: The Crash that Started after the Embargo was lifted
Instead of Reading you can simply listen to this report: https://t.co/Ici4KM6QMP
Do you know that the biggest Stock Market crash since the great depression happened after the Oil Embargo was lifted, and not during the Oil Embargo ? The lesson from 1973–1974 is much darker. The biggest crash did not happen during the oil embargo. The biggest crash started after the embargo was lifted, exactly when everyone thought the crisis was over.
1. THE EMBARGO WAS ONLY THE FIRST SHOCKA: An oil embargo simply means oil supply is restricted or blocked from reaching the market. In 1973 when the Oil Embargo was announced, The S&P 500 dropped roughly 20% after the embargo started. Most people think that was the real damage. Wrong. That was only the first shockwave
2. THE REAL DAMAGE CAME AFTER “THE WORST IS OVER”: The oil embargo officially ended in March 1974. This should have been bullish. The crisis was supposedly over, oil flows were expected to normalize. Instead, the opposite happened. From the moment the embargo was lifted, the S&P 500 entered the real collapse and crashed 40% in the following weeks. This is the part almost nobody understands: the crash did not happen because the embargo was still active. The crash happened because the damage had already infected the economy.
3. THE MARKET PRICED THE DAMAGE: The embargo ending did not magically erase the damage that was created during those months. That is why the market crashed after the “good news.” The headline was bullish, but the economy underneath was already broken. Even more shocking: oil did not collapse after the embargo ended. Over the following years, oil continued to rally massively, more than 300%, not because of a classic modern short squeeze, but because of a brutal supply squeeze, inflation, and a full repricing of energy.
4. IS HISTORY REPEATING?: In 1973, only around 5–7% of global oil demand was affected for roughly 5 months, and the result was one of the worst stock market crashes since the Great Depression. Today, a much larger share of global oil flows has been under pressure for months, while the S&P 500 is making new highs and investors are once again pricing in a soft landing, same as in 1974! And yet, the real crash can begin after everyone thinks the worst is behind us.
THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVICE AND EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY
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I GOT LIQUIDATED ☠️☠️☠️
LESSONS I HAVE LEARNED
Just like every professional trader, I have lost a lot of money trading.
In some occasions I LOST $100K IN A SINGLE TRADE! 👀☠️
Painful af, but that’s part of the game!
What I am remembering today is the day I was scalping BTC last year! One 15min candle easily gives me a $7k-$12k, meaning my eyes are glued to the screen from start to finish!
I remember short scalping during the entire day with great gains on that day, and decide to get one 5min green candle in a long scalp, before returning to my shorts! Oh dear 😅
I injected $60k and decided to go to the loo before adding the SL! The green candle never came and the move downward was fast & aggressive!
By the time I got back to my seat, there was $3k left and within 3min the entire position was liquidated 😭😭😭☠️😂
There are 3 lessons I’ve learned on that day!
1. Don’t trade too much in a single day! Over confidence will destroy you
2. If is in a downtrend, focus on short! Uptrend focus on long! Greed will make you feel a Wonder Woman/ Super Man, able to get all the up moves & all the down moves! Don’t trust that feeling! Don’t be an idiot like I was!
3. SL is the first thing I add to a position! It’s what save us, so it must be prioritised! And most importantly, keep moving it into profit with every new candle 🕯️
TRADE is a game!
LIQUIDATION is a lesson!
GREED is a tough obstacle!
DISCIPLINE makes you win 🏆
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Three shifts are defining the next generation of #financialinfrastructure: settlement moving from batch to continuous, siloed systems becoming interoperable, and manual processes becoming programmable.
2026 is when it stops being a roadmap and starts being operational: https://t.co/126YaEbRLa
#Programmability #Settlement #Interoperability
It is June 4th
We are in our 4th year
And there are 4 days left on our Buy 1 Get 4 promo
One $100K purchase gets you $300,000 in total funding
The universe is trying to tell you something 🏆
#Bitcoin: How many times have I said the crash starts from the 80–85k region?
How many times have I called for shorts in this region?
How many Sunday Reports have I published and explained it?
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I won’t always make ACCURATE MACRO PREDICTIONS or win all the leverage trades I share, but when I make a mistake, I’m upfront, I say I was wrong & I share my losses!
I am not married to any bias, I’m simply sharing what I see!
I DONT NEED YOUR MONEY, that’s why I don’t have a Paid Group or subscriptions to sell to you/No Copy Trading/No Telegram/No Discord and No DMs!
REMEMBER: I don’t need to share my views & my charts! But I always make time to share all my findings for FREE selflessly!
So please BE Kind! 🙏
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