Daniel Nielsen

Private investor with 10+ years of experience | eToro Popular Investor | Sharing insights on stocks, ETFs & personal finance | Based in Denmark 🇩🇰

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

SpaceX just filed for the largest IPO in history — $1.75 trillion 🚀

Here's what the S-1 actually tells us:

1/ The headline: SpaceX lists on Nasdaq June 12 under ticker SPCX. Raising up to $75B at a ~$1.75T valuation. Nearly 3x Saudi Aramco's 2019 record. Biggest IPO ever, full stop.

2/ The revenue: $18.7B in 2025. Solid. But the company posted a ~$4.9B net loss for the year. The legacy business — rockets + Starlink — is profitable. The losses are coming from the xAI/AI segment.

3/ The valuation math: ~95-116x trailing revenue. For context, most mega-cap tech trades at 5-15x. You're not paying for what SpaceX earns. You're paying for Starlink at scale, Mars, and AI — a decade out.

4/ The control structure: Musk holds 85.1% of voting power through Class B shares. Public investors get Class A — one vote each. You'd own a piece. You'd have almost no say.

5/ The Mars clause: Musk was granted 1 billion performance shares in January. Vesting condition? A permanent 1-million-person colony on Mars. That's not a comp package. That's a mission statement written into the equity.

6/ The mechanical tailwind: SPCX qualifies for Nasdaq-100 fast-entry after 15 trading days. That triggers forced buying from index ETFs — structural demand regardless of fundamentals.

The key question isn't "is SpaceX a great company?" — it clearly is.

It's "are you buying a business, or buying a story priced for perfection?"

My take: generational company, brutal entry price. I don't chase day-1 IPO pops — the first months are usually where the volatility lives. I'll watch how it trades before deciding if it fits the strategy.

Bullish on the mission. Cautious on the multiple.

#SpaceX #IPO #Stocks #Investing #Nasdaq #Markets #eToro

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

Two AI headlines. Same day. Completely opposite stories.

📈 Intel +20% after-hours
• Revenue: $13.58B vs $12.42B expected
• EPS: $0.29 vs $0.01 expected
• Data center AI division +22% YoY
• Deals with Google, Elon Musk's Terafab, Tesla

CEO: "The CPU is reinserting itself as the indispensable foundation of the AI era."

📉 Meta laying off 8,000 people — 10% of workforce
• Cuts begin May 20
• 6,000 open roles scrapped entirely
• Reason: needs the money for AI investment instead

The market will cheer both.

Intel: earnings beat = buy signal.
Meta: cost cuts = higher margins = buy signal.

And I get it. As an investor, efficiency matters.

But I keep asking the same question:

What do the 8,000 people do next?

AI is the biggest opportunity of our generation. I genuinely believe that.

But if we're not careful, we end up with a tiny group capturing all the value at the top — and an entire workforce that never gets to contribute.

That's not a distant risk. It's happening now.

Bullish on AI. Worried about the side effects.

#Intel #Meta #AI #Investing #TechEarnings #Jobs #Markets

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

BREAKING: Iran declares the Strait of Hormuz "completely open" for commercial vessels.

Markets reacted instantly:

📈 S&P 500 → ALL-TIME HIGH
📈 Nasdaq → ALL-TIME HIGH
📉 WTI crude -12% to ~$83
📉 Brent -11% to ~$88
📉 Heating oil futures -13%

This is the reverse of the entire trade that played out over the last 7 weeks:

❌ Oil spike → inflation fear → rate cut delays → stock pressure
✅ Oil crash → inflation cools → rate cuts back on table → stocks rip

Crucial nuance: Trump says the US naval blockade remains "in full force" until a peace deal is signed. This is not over — but the direction has shifted dramatically.

Ceasefire expires April 21. Negotiations resuming. Watch that date.

I'm staying in my positions. This is the rally I was positioned for.

#Iran #Hormuz #Oil #Markets #Investing #SP500 #eToro

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

Bank earnings week is here. Here's what I'm watching 🏦

Goldman crushed it yesterday:
✅ Revenue $17.2B (2nd highest ever)
✅ EPS $17.55 vs $16.49 expected
✅ Record equities trading revenue

Today: JPMorgan, Citi, Wells Fargo

The 3 numbers that matter:

1⁄ Net Interest Income — are higher rates still helping margins?

2⁄ Loan loss provisions — are they bracing for defaults? A spike here is a warning signal.

3⁄ CEO guidance language — Jamie Dimon will say something important about Iran + the economy. He always does.

The big story beneath the numbers:
Volatility is GOOD for bank trading desks. The Iran conflict + tariff chaos = record trading revenues at Goldman.

Irony: the macro chaos that worries investors is literally making Wall Street richer.

Watching closely today. Will update.

#Banking #Earnings #JPMorgan #GoldmanSachs #Investing #Markets

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

Trump just announced a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

Here's what this means for your portfolio 🧵

1/ The Strait of Hormuz carries ~20% of global oil supply. Closing it is not a minor event.

2/ Oil is already up 7%+ this morning. Brent crude back above $104. This is inflationary — full stop.

3/ Higher oil = higher inflation = Fed delays rate cuts (again). Bond markets are repricing right now.

4/ Last week markets rallied 3.6% on ceasefire hopes. This morning futures are down 1%+. That's the volatility cycle we're in.

5/ This week is also Q1 earnings season. Goldman, JPMorgan, Citi, Wells Fargo all report. Strong earnings could offset geopolitical fear — or get buried by it.

6/ My positioning: I'm staying in my momentum strategy. Not adding oil exposure now — that trade was two weeks ago. Watching energy names I already hold.

7/ The key question isn't "should I sell" — it's "does this change the 2-3 year thesis for my positions?"

For most quality companies: no.

Stay patient. 🇺🇸🇮🇷☠️

#Investing #Markets #Oil #Iran #Hormuz #Stocks #eToro

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

Trimming my portfolio in real time. Here's my thinking 🧵

The Iran conflict just triggered the biggest oil supply shock in history.
Brent crude up 40%+ since the fighting started. The Strait of Hormuz — 20% of global oil — effectively closed.
This changes things.
Here's what I'm actually doing with my money right now 👇
Selling: Positions with negative momentum where I don't see a near-term reversal. No point holding something that's trending the wrong way in this environment.

Raising cash: Not because cash is safe — inflation will eat it. But because dry powder = options.

Buying: Companies with low conflict exposure, or those that quietly benefit from exactly this kind of macro environment.

Not panicking. Not pretending nothing is happening either.
Markets historically recover 3–6 months post-conflict. But which stocks recover fastest matters more than ever right now.

What's your move?
🔴 Going cash
🟡 Holding steady
🟢 Rotating into energy/defense
🔵 Buying the dip

Drop it below 👇

#investing #stockmarket #eToro #Oilprices #popularinvestor

Not financial advice. Always do your own research.

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

Novo Nordisk drops 16% today, do you have them in your portefolio? 📊

#Stocks #buythedip #Novonordisk

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@LeandinhoDK Står desværre på samtlige nyhedsmedier nu 😭😭

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@DennisJensen11 @OddsEkspertdk 😍

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@LeandinhoDK Ja jeg sad og lavede byg selv på Kambi, lige da klokken slog 15:00 steg FCM sejr til 1,93 og -1 steg fra 2,75 til 3,25 indenfor få sekunder 😄

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@DBetdk Virkelig god værdi! Tjek linket ud og læs mere om kampagnen 👏

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@LeandinhoDK @SpilXperten Hvad er dit take på den situation omkring 40. Minut? Bolden er på vej udover sidelinjen og den Tjekkiske spiller har ingen chance for at nå den men vælger at gå i ryggen på manden og skubbe ham ud i banden. Hensynsløst og farligt bør vel give gult? 🤔

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@iGE_UK Spread betting launch 5 days ago, and 5 hit in a row! 🔥🔥

No way it will be 6 in a row 🤔

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@kuerten77 @kuerten77 Har du en e-mail eller lign. Man kan skrive til dig på? Har interesse i at præsentere dig for et projekt hvor jeg ønsker dig som tennis ekspert. Har fulgt dig i 4-5 år efterhånden med god succes.

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@LeandinhoDK @rockstar_13_ Vildeste dart kamp jeg har set meget længe! Synd der skulle findes en taber af den kamp! 🎯🔥

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@LeandinhoDK Hold nu kæft cashpoint og danskespil er en joke! 😂

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@LeandinhoDK 365 gav odds 1,8 på Kuss inden dagens etape 😵

[Daniel Nielsen @Danielvnielsen]

@tipperenDK @__CryptoViking_ @JesperK7 @9graver @Tahi_Adam Daniel1994 og tak for fed konkurrence 🔥