๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐น๐ ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฃ๐ผ๐น๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น๐ฝ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐บ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ฒ๐๐
I want to share a strategy with you that will let you make money every day on price gaps in the order book
Basically, this is just arbitrage using limit orders
๐๐ฒ๐โ๐ ๐ด๐ผ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ฏ๐ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฝ:
Our main task is to find liquid markets with a spread in the order book of more than 3โ5 cents per share and place ourselves in the order book on the outcome that is the most likely
This strategy is better suited for people with a smaller bankroll, but that doesnโt mean that if your bankroll is over $1,000 you should close this tweet and scroll on
It all depends on your appetite
Iโll show a few trades with different spreads and different percentages
Main rules for this strategy:
- ๐๐ถ๐พ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐
This is both your enemy and your friend
The more liquid the event is, the smaller the spread, but the faster trades get filled
Less liquid events, on the other hand, will have a bigger spread, but the time between buying a share and selling it becomes longer
We need a golden middle ground
- ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ
Ideally, look for markets with an expiration date more than 3 days away. This gives you time for your limit order to fill on the buy side, and time to sell your limit order as well
- ๐ฆ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ
I look for markets with at least a 3โ5 cent spread per share
- ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐น๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ๐น๐ ๐ผ๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ
Example: https://t.co/qkv2PW4aBM
The spread on this event is 8 cents, and if you remove the first limit buy order on NO, then itโs a full 20 cents
The probability of the NO outcome is 84%
Vol is $129k
So we place a limit buy order on NO and simply wait for it to get filled
As soon as the limit order is filled, we list the shares for sale with a limit order as well, using the 8 cent spread
The second example is even more liquid
https://t.co/tdctz5jmXg
The volume here is even higher
The spread is from 13 to 18 cents per share
There is some uncertainty on this market right now, but thanks to the higher volume we can catch the spread quickly and exit the event fast
To search for events, you can use any trading terminal, I use @StandDOTtrade
In the Discover tab, we set the filter for spreads from 3 to 5 cents, as shown in the screenshot
Are you ready to catch the juiciest spreads?
This isnโt the first time Iโve mentioned this strategy, but now Iโve made a full breakdown of it
If you want to dive even deeper and see my profitable screenshots, Iโll leave links to my articles under this tweet. In those articles I show everything using my own examples
If this tweet was useful to you, make sure to leave your thoughts - It really means a lot to me
The best filter for finding the most unusual trades
this is the one i find 99% of my most interesting setups with
and the main thing is i check it 24/7
everyone looks at the high volume markets:
> politics, sports, crypto, elections
if thats all you look at, youre missing a massive layer of opportunities
my filter excludes the mainstream:
> sports, geopolitics, up/down, elections, politics, bitcoin, oil, eurovision, aliens, hantavirus
and keeps:
> new wallets only (account age <60d)
> real bets only (>$100)
> position concentration >70% (wallet went deep on a single market with conviction)
> pnl > -$10k (filters out dead balance)
this is exactly the filter that lets me find wallets created in may with one single $20k bet on the microstrategy sells any bitcoin market
or how we found the unusual bets on mexico's interest rate
one wallet, one bet on a single narrative, no other trades
all of this is long tail
not on twitter, not in the news
this is where the people who actually know something sit
- open parity
- click my filter
- see what showed up overnight in concentrated fresh wallets
direct filter link below
@Deestar this is genuinely one of the most interesting and actually working strategies
i wonโt even wish you luck because you wonโt need it
youโre gonna make money on this, iโm sure