@akarlin I see where you're coming from but the final outcome of this thinking (in light of middle income countries crashing in fertility at the same time) is just global Sub-Saharan Africa though.
@Jamesnewc1892 Russia had oil and gas to muddle its way through.
Russia also subsidized Belarus, which used cheap Russian oil and it maintained state control to keep its Soviet era factories running
@MesoAnglic My hot take about Italy is that if Mussolini didn't side with the axis he'd be remembered like Franco/Park. A anticommunist strongman who industrialized his country. Fascist Italy was kinda normal
Emigration as a % of population growth from 1850-1911 was;
- 62% for Italy
- 66% for the UK
- 50% for Sweden
This helped quite a lot as a pressure valve
A lot of multinational businesses found it easier to operate in Suharto's regime than a democratic Indonesia. When corruption is so centralized it essentially becomes a tax and is very predictable.
Afterwards they had to deal with various other authorities
@n30n5223434 If the KMT won the civil war, I wonder how relationship between China and Japan would look in absence of cold war stuff and China having a political trajectory like SK/Taiwan
I think Japan would have similar to German guilt over WW2 and be constantly apologizing.
@MesoAnglic Just generally, a China that was governed by typical corrupt strongmen aligned with business interests (Suharto, Park, etc) post WW2 is a very underrated timeline.
@MesoAnglic In theory the biggest beneficiary of China being such a basket case from 1947-1980 should have been India.
Otherwise in a more "normal" 20th Century Chinese TV slop would be the default 3rd world media probably
@heaeolik The Pandemic
Post-2015 fertility collapse
China shock 2
Current energy shock
Economic growth concentrated in richer countries
More or less the end of development economics as a module. Poorer countries are basically hopeless now
The pandemic derailed the growth trajectories of quite a few fast growing economies right when they were starting to accelerate.
In some cases, e.g The Philippines, it may be permanent
@ConwaySmallz@akarlin Subhuman, U4U was established by Biden. Trump made it harder for Ukrainians because in his magical worldview South African whites are more in danger
https://t.co/CP5uTaSQ6B
The historical reverence for the elderly was due to how rare they were and due to low life expectancy.
In a population with a very low median age, most humans wouldn't have lived through many events. A 70 year old in comparison would effectively be a living archive in comparison