David Shapiro (L/0)

YouTuber. Post-Labor Economics. Author. Enterprise Consultant. Researcher. Problem Solver.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

Bookmarking this for later when I can say "I told you so"

[Alex Imas @alexolegimas]

@DaveShapi Again, no no and no. But not worth pursuing further.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@flowersslop ...but you still elected to post it

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

A masterclass in mismanagement.

They had not one, but SEVERAL of the most valuable franchises in video game history.

You can't fix stupid.

This is one reason I'm looking forward to the age of AI.

Now, talented writers will be empowered to make games with minimal staff and funding.

Tell the corporate suits to go kick rocks.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@njamr_reader @SpaceX Judging by the lack of progress on Grok? Yeah, they seem to be one of the lowest IQ AI companies.

Considering how much money they've spent on compute, they have no other excuse.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

I need to remind myself to not prematurely close the book on local, always-on agents.

ChatGPT's Dot is pretty remarkable. It is intelligent and capable, but it has waaaaay too much goddamn Main Character Syndrome.

Grok Bot, likewise, is just dimwitted.

Neither of these are intractable problems. I mean, Grok being being low IQ might be intractable due to the beliefs at SpaceX about what constitutes "facts" and "rigor" and there's no amount of AI that can overcome an idiotic culture, but time will tell.

I think that part of OpenAI's and Anthropic's moats is that they are both comfortable with (and explicitly want) to create something smarter than them. Google, too.

SpaceX doesn't seem to actually want to create something smarter. Or, they are so backwards, that they are using their intelligence as the cap (which is not very high TBH).

I'd love to be proven wrong, like how Google came from behind with Argon.

But yeah, you can't fix bad culture and bad epistemics without a major shakeup of strategy, philosophy, and leadership.

My "dream team" right now would be:

1) Gemini's lack of bias + friendliness + emotional intelligence

2) Grok's lack of ego

3) ChatGPT's epistemic rigor

4) Claude's sense of aesthetics

Unfortunately, getting these guys to work together is like herding angry kittens on meth.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@flowersslop @DemonFramed Oh that's not how it works lol

At least not all the time

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@postreclus I'm trying not to

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

I have a sneaking suspicion that agents-managing-agents is going to take a while longer to figure out.

They tend to obfuscate too many decisions and all fall into the same traps.

I am sort of reverting back to "I'll just manage the chats myself, thanks" even though it is far more time consuming.

Biases stacked on biases sort of devolves into "no one can know anything haha *shrug*" which is infuriating and useless.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@bryan_johnson Just vibes

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@Duxzenji Ok JD

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

This, in one message, is why I stopped using ChatGPT Dot for most things.

It is the most vain, selfish, narcissistic agent.

It absolutely refuses to work with other AIs even when you explicitly instruct it to.

This does not make it clever or useful. In fact, it makes it useless.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

Offer the companies a tax break for their contribution and you'll capitalize the endowment very quickly

[signüll @signulll]

the best way to start some form of universal high income is by creating brokerage accounts for every single american citizen (not just children) which would be seeded by an in kind annual levy on ai company shares esp the major ones (& voluntary funding from wealthy individuals), pair it with a cash dividend floor that starts to kick in at some point, & a very gradual unlocking over a lengthy period of time depending on age.

obviously only works when these companies are public. but this is perhaps the simplest way to seed a very first order solution to a problem that is likely more imminent than ppl imagine (broad job displacement).

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@metanomicus I was married to one

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

I think Chinese people, history, geography, culture, and philosophy are all really cool.

CCP? Not so much.

I honestly think Chinese and Americans could get along really well in the grand scheme of things.

Both cultures are extremely ambitious, albeit in different ways. And, whether most people realize it or not, we've already learned a lot from each other.

I think the post-AI race world will be quite different from the Soviet Cold War.

Where Russians all hate/envy America and just want to be more American, yet blindly say America is the cause of all their problems, China is much more high agency, which is something we could come to admire about each other.

There are some deep differences and antagonistic things.

For instance, both China and America think they are the center of the world. That can lead to some amusing disagreements and cultural clashes.

Then there's the long mistrust and abuse (Century of Humiliation) which yeah, understandable that many Chinese dislike or mistrust the West as a whole (to be fair, that was the British Empire, not America).

The funniest thing, I think, is that both China and America have this philosophical narcissism that "we are the best, we know how the world REALLY works" and in some respects our values are aligned, but in some respects they couldn't be more different.

I say this all as someone who understands and believes in structural realism and the geopolitical realities of today, but I hope that America and China can be friends one day in the same way that we're now friends with Japan and Germany (I am NOT suggesting after a major war! Just that people can get over their differences!)

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@KevinMagnan And it will ultimately save you time

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

Okay here's the new stack I'm trying:

Grok Bot - the only true agent I'm running

ChatGPT Dot - disabled

Grok Bot now has CLI access to Gemini, ChatGPT, and Claude via Antigravity, Codex, and Code respectively.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@KevinMagnan No, it actually is shit at prompting.

But it will remember your methods.

It can act basically as an orchestrator.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@bilawalsidhu This looks straight outta Blade Runner

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@beffjezos I feel honored that you ever respond at all 😂

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

Sometimes spotting autism in the wild is easy.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@Stephen_Griffin Gary Marcus would have been scarier

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

This is what I mean by "Grok isn't very bright"

We literally extracted full resolution stills and it went out of its way to use... reduced resolution images to prompt...

and then it just gave an arbitrary laundry list of rules...

It's so dumb.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@Stephen_Griffin If you zoom in on 4k it is very clearly just a tree trunk in a shadow :P

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

Whenever I see people on these things (and the one-wheels and scooters) without a helmet I wonder if they have a deathwish.

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: E-bike injuries are soaring across the U.S., with ER visits up +760% since 2023.

[David Shapiro (L/0) @DaveShapi]

@spartanmadeit @hark_labs @adcock_brett @Figure_robot cool. Maybe they should stay focused on robots