David Thompson

Engineer, data junkie, annoying regular at Ace of Spades

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

The one thing I really should quit doing is assuming Democrats aren't stupid.

I really thought they would have enough sense to hold their fire and not be so obvious with the cheating, since they didn't need it.

But nope. They just did it anyway using statistical improbable (borderling on impossible) scenario. Making it obvious that they are cheating.

Maybe they can do this without consequence, but they just exposed themselves to high risk that they didn't need to.

For no gain, since they were going to get a Bass win anyway.

To be clear, for the outcome that occurred to happen with votes that were all cast before election day, with no knowledge of the election day totals, had a probability of less than 1%. What drove the percentage particularly low is how few votes Bass is getting with the mailin votes "returned on election day"

However, if you know exactly how many votes are needed, then the "results" are what you need to move Raman to 2nd place.

You have to be some kind of special stupid to believe this wasn't stolen.

And they've been doing this for many years in CA. But this is so blatant that it introduces risk to their machine. And it was a risk they didn't need to take.

Dumb.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@Twopointoh14 @sethjlevy Put another way, Dems need to hold all 4 tossups that they currently have plus win 11 seats currently held by Republicans.

In a D+2 (at best) year.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@earlyvotedata I KNEW that name was familiar!

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@catturd2 True story...

My very bright son didn't want to go to college, even though he could easily have gotten a computer science degree.

He decided to become a plumber.

One summer spent in Florida attics and suddenly he decided getting back into IT was a good idea 😂

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@DefiantLs Amazing how they all forget that 72% of them voted for him 2 weeks prior.

There was nothing new that came out during that 2 weeks that we all didn't already know.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@reddit_lies Imagine being married to her

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@earlyvotedata Whatley just finished visiting all 100 counties. I think he is well known in the state.

His campaign to this point has been a retail one, rather than media.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@Brick_Suit Definitely both

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@sethjlevy That looks like deflation to me. Am I reading that chart wrong?

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@FreddyLA7 @earlyvotedata I'm just so happy that he is back. I was legit depressed for a day realizing that the haters had chased him off.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@SuitablePolitic Interesting to me is this puts massive pressure on the GCC to get on board for neutering Iran as fast as possible.

The US cover comes at a price.

I assume that if you transit without US protection it is probably free.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

So Iran decided to go Leroy Jenkins...

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@MizDonna69 Seems unlikely. Former head of RNC and NCGOP. Trump hand picked him.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@earlyvotedata I live here and always forget our primary is so late.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@earlyvotedata She's right about most things.

This isn't one of them. 😂

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@sethjlevy @SuitablePolitic I'm torn on which way I want this to go.

Iran publicly bends the knee.

-or-

The long awaited bridges and power plant day

🤷‍♂️

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@socrateehees @TonerousHyus I was going to mention the same thing. As soon as I read that stupidity, I tuned out.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@thegreatreset26 100% mail in ballots. Pretty confident Kotek will win it.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

@FaringForwards @AceofSpadesHQ My teacher read it outloud to my 3rd grade class. We had no problems.

[David Thompson @Dave_in_Fla]

In my perfect world he goes on a 24 hour bender on Monday, doesn't file the paperwork, then hops on a sailboat and leaves giving everyone the finger as he heads over the horizon.

I can't tell you how hilarious and appropriate it would be for the Democrats to be stuck with a candidate on the ballot who just went MIA.