David Arthur

Tr@der, Gold and $ilver buyer, Gold @nd Forex tr@ding, $tock m@rket, Bitcoin

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

Dow Jones: 2026 vs. 2007⚠️

The chart below compares today’s market to that of 2007 the pattern formation just before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) hit.

That period witnessed significant consequences and permanently changed the financial environment.

Now we appear to have a replica, yet in a different and arguably more toxic environment that combines three major problematic economic and technical factors.

Some would call it the perfect storm.

Scary?

You decide.

She's beautiful.🦢

[Ole S Hansen @Ole_S_Hansen]

Global container freight rates have surged 81% since the outbreak of the Middle East war, with prices on the key China–US routes more than doubling as longer sailing distances, higher fuel costs, and supply chain disruptions continue to strain capacity.

Last week, the Drewry World Container Index jumped 22.6% to a one-year high of USD 3,433 per 40-foot container. The sharpest increases were recorded on transpacific and Asia–North Europe routes, where carriers have successfully pushed through higher rates amid strong demand, war-related surcharges, and ongoing vessel diversions around the Cape of Good Hope.

The latest surge also reflects a rush by shippers to secure capacity ahead of peak-season surcharges due to take effect later this month. With normal shipping patterns yet to be restored and energy costs remaining elevated, freight markets continue to signal that the economic impact of the Middle East disruption extends well beyond the energy sector.

[Graddhy - Commodities TA+Cycles @graddhybpc]

Been posting that this ratio was bottoming. And with silver´s huge move lately, it broke out above blue line.
Next big silver move starts at blue backtest.

As been saying - these market opportunities are extremely rare, maybe once or twice in a lifetime, so make the most of it.

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Silver is consolidating after a sharp pullback, with price holding above a key support region inside a broad descending channel.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

The K-Shaped Economy:

U.S. corporations are keeping the largest share of national income since 1950, while the share going to workers hit an all-time low.

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

MORGAN STANLEY'S WILSON CALLS FRIDAY U.S. SELLOFF A "HEALTHY RESET"

$SPY $QQQ $SOXX

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

⚠️Investors in South Korea use MORE LEVERAGE than ever:

Margin loans in South Korea surged to a record ~$24.7 billion (38 trillion won) on May 29, up +39% from ~$17.8 billion (27.3 trillion won) at end-2025.

Margin debt in South Korea has more than DOUBLED over the last 12 months.

This figure likely understates the full picture, as many stock-backed loans are recorded under different categories or extended by smaller lenders outside the official reporting scope.

Moreover, margin loans carry annual interest rates of 7% to 9%, meaning if stock prices fall, brokerages can forcibly liquidate positions to recover their loans, setting the stage for a rapid and self-reinforcing selloff.

Leverage this extreme can turn a market correction into a margin call cascade. And it looks like it already happened on Friday and Monday.

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Gold still remains inside a large symmetrical triangle.

[Ole S Hansen @Ole_S_Hansen]

#Gold has been trending lower since mid-April amid an energy-driven inflation scare. Following Friday's stronger-than-expected US jobs report and a broader deterioration in risk sentiment that also weighed on equities, bullion closed below its 200-day moving average for the first time since October 2023.

For now, a combination of resilient economic growth, elevated inflation expectations, higher bond yields, a stronger dollar, and growing speculation that the Federal Reserve may need to raise rates in 2026 has created a challenging environment for gold, overshadowing the longer-term supportive themes of central bank buying, fiscal concerns, and geopolitical uncertainty.

Attention now turns to the USD 4,100–4,075 support zone, which marks both the March correction low and the 38.2% retracement of the 2022–2026 rally. Resistance: 4,432 (200-DMA), 4,490 (recent high) and 4,635 (channel resistance).

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

The oil price roller-coaster continues:
After surging as much as 5% earlier this morning (CNBC data below), Brent crude has retraced to just 1% above Friday's close.
This sharp reversal comes after Tehran responded to President Trump's call for both Iran and Israel to "stop shooting" by announcing a cessation of military operations against Israel (Sky News reporting below).
This announcement came with a caveat: "harsher" strikes will follow if Israel fails to follow suit, including in Lebanon.
In all this, yields have also retraced lower (to almost unchanged on the day), and stocks have taken a leg up.
#economy #markets #oil

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Gold is testing the lower boundary of a large triangle pattern after months of consolidation below descending resistance. But the weak price action suggest downside to continue in the short term.

[Robin Brooks @robin_j_brooks]

The key catalyst for precious metals to go crazy last year was Powell's dovish Jackson Hole speech on August 22, which signaled a rate cutting cycle in spite of elevated inflation. That's not where we are now. Markets are pricing a much more hawkish Fed...
https://t.co/vdpzPH8TBi

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: Global central banks acquired +17 tonnes of gold in April, the 2nd monthly purchase this year.

This marks a sharp reversal from March, when central banks sold -30 tonnes of gold driven by Turkey and Russia.

Poland led purchases at +14 tonnes, bringing its year-to-date total to +45 tonnes, with gold reserves now at 595 tonnes.

China added +8 tonnes, the biggest monthly addition since December 2024, bringing official gold reserves to a record 2,322 tonnes, or ~9% of total reserves.

China has now purchased gold for 18 consecutive months.

Central bank demand for gold remains incredibly strong.

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Silver has been in correction after profit taking at $120.

[Robin Brooks @robin_j_brooks]

Precious metals crashed hard yesterday. Key question is whether last year's rise was a one-off - a bubble like so many before - or something more lasting. I'm a believer in the debasement trade, but the conditions for it to restart don't exist currently...
https://t.co/vdpzPH8TBi

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Gold hit the upper boundary of its long-term ascending channel and started correction.

$3500-$4000 zone remains the accumulation zone for gold investors.

[Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner]

Meta weighs big equity raising after blockbuster Google deal. It looks as if everyone wants to take advantage of the historically low cost of equity before the expected IPOs of OpenAI and Anthropic. That raises bigger questions: do the tech giants think the market is nearing a peak? And how is the market supposed to come up w/that much money for all those IPOs and Additionals? https://t.co/2B5DC6qOid

[Jesse Cohen @JesseCohenInv]

🚨 STOCKS SINK TO CLOSE THE WEEK, VIX SURGES AND OIL PRICES SPIKE AMID DOWNSIDE VOLATILITY

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

Good morning 🌅

[Gold Predictors @GoldPredictors]

#Gold to #Silver ratio remains bearish which supports silver relative strength.