Director of Investment Research at @BanyanHill Publishing, Regular Contributor to The Banyan Edge daily financial e-letter and Long-time Car Enthusiast
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Destruction in #crypto in the wake of #FTX collapse breathtaking.
But this is the way of markets 🇧🇧📛.
- from data science team led by 'tireless Ken' @fundstrat_ken
- since 1975, 45% of US stocks listed @NYSE@NasdaqExchange fell 90% (18,676)
- majority of those go to 'ZERO'
https://t.co/rjUQOZpmtr
Two reasons it’s going to be more politically difficult for CBs to raise rates than in the past:
1. High debt to GDP% make higher interest costs unsustainable
2. Larger holdings of Govt debt on CB BS that get marked down as rates rise and require tax
Think about all that has happened in crypto and globally, since January 2018.
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Keep thinking about it
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Bitcoin and Ether are both worth less than they were ~5 years ago.
1/8 Bad news for #bitcoin & #cryptocurrency in the EU 🚨
The POW-ban has basically made its way back into the draft of the European Parliament that will be voted on in the committee on Monday.
I just read the latest draft. A quick update 👇
@balajis@_pgauthier@BrianBrooksUS
“I believe the EO can be summed up in a sentence: ‘The government recognizes #crypto as a legitimate part of the economy, and will be doing further research on risks.’” - @mzhao8
But we wouldn’t leave it there. Read today’s Market Byte for more analysis: https://t.co/wzJF2qElU4
Looks like Yellen's comments on tomorrow's Executive Order were accidentally posted a day early (now removed). https://t.co/k9jZJcPhS4 got them, though - https://t.co/EtOq1eNHRI
11/ The ability to include crypto assets has given previously constrained portfolio managers the ability to allocate across a new vastly expanded risk and return spectrum. This is what we’re calling the Postmodern Portfolio Thesis.
19/ As the investment environment evolves, investors must evolve their portfolios, and crypto assets could become a key component.
Thanks for reading. If you find this kind of thing interesting, you can find more from me and my team on Grayscale’s website. https://t.co/HQ3s578NBj
20/ And finally, click here and scroll to page 27 for important risk disclosures relating to hypothetical forward looking data contained within this report:
https://t.co/jrS96JU0FR…
4/ The crypto ecosystem has attracted a rapidly growing user base that has been tracking the growth of the internet. Crypto users have grown to 220 million as of 2021, putting #web3 adoption at roughly where the internet adoption was during 1999.
10/ Here we rank major asset classes by % return each of the last 10 years. Crypto (represented by #Bitcoin ) is #1 for 8 of them. We believe it could further meet the challenges of this macro environment by serving as a risk-on asset and hedge against inflation.
9/ As a result of falling expected returns on traditional assets, investors have been required to allocate an increasing portion of their portfolio to less liquid private market alternative assets, while taking on greater volatility, to maintain a 7.0% expected return.
8/ There is no alternative for many cash-flushed investors with traditional asset mandates, which has driven stocks and bonds to historically elevated valuations.
7/ Institutions are now using crypto assets as a new portfolio construction tool in a macro environment where money supply growth and negative real rates have created a dynamic where not taking risks is actually one of the biggest risks.