🧵🚨 After taking the "wait and see" approach for 16 months, China made the decision to support Russia's downfall. China now supports Ukraine's liberation of Crimea and all other territories occupied by Russia.
https://t.co/Mg74kxa9WZ
Prigozhin capturing Voronezh-45 nuclear storage facility in Russia may be part of the key to the lock that can help explain his decision to suddenly and bizarrely 'end' the coup which was succeeding spectacularly. I've been trying to figure how Prigozhin can guarantee his own survival after this. This may be it. Moscow may never have been his final destination. Vornezh-45 was. Once he got the nukes, he ended the operations because all objectives were achieved.
Russia no longer has a Defence Minister (was Shoigu) nor the war commander (was Gerasimov). Whatever deal Prigozhin made is fatal for Putin.
Coup plotters either succeed or die in a dictatorship. You don't just walk away after doing the coup half-way (and incredibly successfully). Coup is either ongoing (most likely) or it already succeeded (unlikely). Only Prigozhin's death will indicate coup failure.
Regardless, all roads now lead to:
1) Collapse of Russia.
2) Ukraine's complete liberation of all occupied territories, likely significantly faster than what could have been best-case scenario before the coup began.