Dean Malchik

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[Dean Malchik @DeanMalchik]

Firing On Your Own Citizens? It’s a Policy That Rarely Succeeds ----- Read my latest article for free at
https://t.co/DjVH8iDk1Y

[Dean Malchik @DeanMalchik]

US/Iran War: No Way to Do Diplomacy! https://t.co/3cH61ERUEZ via @YouTube

[Israel Exposed @xIsraelExposedx]

There is a group of IDF soldiers that have been exposing Israels crimes. They are being heavily suppressed and deserve more attention that they get.

Follow them here @BtSIsrael and their website is here: https://t.co/AsdtdYN1eI

[snoopzog @snoopzoggyzog]

@saikatc @fluxus2 And he works for the same people that they all do.

[Medea Benjamin @medeabenjamin]

With Kamala Harris saying she might run again for President, people are asking if she comes with a lot of "baggage." I'd say yes: the body bags of over 70,000 people from Gaza. That's a heck of a lot of baggage.

[Fly Sistah 🪷 @Fly_Sistah]

@ProfessorPape @morgfair Some people are just realizing that shortages are going to be widespread. Most people only considered the higher prices.
https://t.co/Eqm3MR1nKY

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

By the time shortages show up in headlines, it’s already too late
That’s how these shocks work
Full breakdown—mechanism, timeline, what happens next: new analysis: Escalation Trap substack

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

Watch one thing this week:
Ships through Hormuz
--Not statements
--Not markets
If flows don’t recover, the system tightens further -- necessarily

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

This is the real shift:
Prices no longer determine outcomes
Access does
And once that flips, governments start choosing winners and losers

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

The U.S. won’t be spared
Energy independence doesn’t protect a globally integrated economy
When supply chains seize, the shock transmits via trade reductions

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

The sequence from here is predictable:
Asia first → Europe next → global compression
Not collapse
Contraction

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

We’ve seen the smaller version of this.
1973: ~7% supply disruption → shortages, rationing, industrial decline in under 90 days.
Today’s shock is larger.
The system is tighter -- We are at Day 45

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

Once inventories run down, this stops being about expensive inputs
It becomes about missing inputs
Factories don’t slow because costs rise
They stop because materials don’t arrive

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

~20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
That flow is now constrained -- by Iran AND US
And it’s not just oil—it’s the base layer of modern production:
fuel, fertilizer, plastics, much more

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

Here’s the mechanism:
price spike → physical shortage → economic contraction
We are now crossing into step 2
That’s when things break.

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

Everyone is still talking about oil prices
That’s already outdated
--This is no longer a price shock
--It is the early stage of a system-wide supply shock

[Robert A. Pape @ProfessorPape]

Within 10 days, parts of the global economy will start running short of critical goods
After 30 years studying economic sanctions and blockades, I don’t say this lightly:
--Not just higher prices
--Shortages.
Markets are not ready for this

[Haroun Rashid @HarounRashid2]

Word!

[Dr.Sam Youssef Ph.D.,Ph.D.,DPT. @drhossamsamy65]

⛔️This is the reason Lindsey Graham defends Israeli war criminals‼️

[Dean Malchik @DeanMalchik]

Dems MUST NOT support anyone for president who supported the Israeli genocide of Palestinians. That includes Kamala Harris

Don't make that mistake again!

Find someone without genocidal baggage! It probably lost the Democrats the last presidential election

Say NO to Harris!

[Dean Malchik @DeanMalchik]

A little hope

Planting the Seeds of Their Own Destruction: Why & How Authoritarians & Unjust Regimes Self-Destruct https://t.co/OG2OkeAVlu - Read or listen to for free on Medium