$NILI.NE
$NILIF Six months ago
Large resource
PEA
Significant financing risk
Significant metallurgy risk
PFS risk
Little institutional sponsorship
Today
Large M&I resource
Fluor PFS
Evolution JV
C$36M strategic financing
$NILIF
PFS expected Q4
BFS drilling beginning
Pilot work planned
Nasdaq strategy underway
My current conclusion: Nevada North has moved another step away from being an exploration speculation and toward being a legitimate advanced U.S. lithium development project.
#lithium Chinese are trying to buy up everything regards to energy storage, whether its the resources or the equipment......
Lithium bull market is starting to power up 🔥🔥☄️☄️🔥🔥
@TSoumyaraj It’s only a matter of time! Many investors don’t realize that Lithium is different in this cycle. Fundamentals will give more stability to the price. Demand outpaces supply for the next few years! The low cost curve projects need to get financed and we still won’t have enough
@GreenOriginInv $20,000-$25,000 lithium average price would help get many mines developed in next 5 years. We need them all developed to come close to supplying the demand in the 2030’s. You can make big returns if you pick the right juniors that are needing funding. Financing will be the key!
Just finished reading CATL's H126 Report. Here are my quick thoughts as i sip my morning coffee!
It's extremely bullish for lithium and the numbers within the report are quite mind blowing.
What really sticks out for me is the ~95% factory utilisation with production of 498 GWh. Their production capacity is essentially full. This is CATL basically running production as hard as they can. This means that the consumption of LCE is essentially capped until more battery capacity is built. Factory capacity is the limiting factor for CATL's LCE consumption.
They've got 764 GWh of capacity currently within the construction pipeline. To give you some context this is roughly 650kt of LCE or 5.4Mt of SC6.
Where is 650kt of LCE going to come from? Mines take 4-8 years typically to come online in the western world, CATL can throw up battery capacity in 1-2 years or less. So it's clear that supply of lithium will be the constraint here. And it's important to note this is just CATL. Throw in BYD, LG, etc..
And its not like this 764GWh of capacity will sit idle. Global shipments reached 486 GWh of battery cells during H1 2026 which is up 93%. What else is growing at this speed?
You take this insane growth of one company, combined with the recent governance issues in Zimbabwe, lack of infrastructure in Nigeria and instability in the likes of Mali and the DRC, western spodumene producers and South American brines look very good here.
Cheers for reading!
Oh no! Doubling of mine capacity!
Actually, this represents a DECREASE in my #lithium supply model. I originally had Mt Holland doubling nameplate by 2028. Now, it's pushed back TWO years.
Message hasn't changed - supply growth is NOT catching up with demand growth. We go into a deficit this year overall and it gets bigger from here.
@GreenOriginInv Has lithium demand collapsed?
No
Has the long-term supply deficit thesis disappeared?
No
Did near-term supply expectations improve?
Yes
Was the early-2026 rally partially speculative?
Yes
Is the recent equity selloff fully justified by fundamentals?
No
Benchmark thinks Jianxiawo will produce 62kt LCE in 2026. I really doubt it. Even if they have 100kt LCE nameplate capacity, that's a run-rate impossible for the remaining 6 months at full production rate. And there's a ramp-up to consider these couple of months. #lithium
@jczuleta We are paying the price for lack of investment in new mines in the last lithium downturn. China manipulating prices also played a role here. Thacker pass will only produce 40,000 tons. All the low cost mines need to be developed. I like the Nevada opportunities. $LAC $CYDVF NILIF