Decoded

Independent market researcher

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🔻% Below All-Time high

• Nifty50 → -2.5%
• Gold → -10.5%
• Silver → -36%
• Reliance → -11%
• HDFCBank → -9.5%
• Airtel → -8%
• TCS → -41%
• ICICIBank → -7%

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Buy open, Sell close ❌
Buy close, Sell open ✅

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Gold is often seen as a safe asset but its history shows meaningful drawdowns too

Major drawdowns after peaks:
• 1974 → 40% Fall
• 1980 → 60% Fall
• 2011 → 40% Fall
• 2020 → 20% Fall

Gold tends to protect during periods of uncertainty, but it isn’t safe at every moment

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Gold is heading for its biggest one day decline in more than 13 years

(If close sustains)

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Worst drawdowns in Silver history (Since 1965)

• 1968 peak → Fall 50%
• 1974 peak → Fall 30%
• 1980 peak → Fall 90%
• 2011 peak → Fall 70%

Silver has always moved in extremes sharp rallies followed by deep resets

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@hagaonx Market is never certain

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Hindustan Copper closed at its highest price since 2010

a 16-Year breakout🔥

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Gold-to-Sensex ratio is back at a very crucial level

Historically, when the ratio reached this level, one thing followed:

• Either Equities start doing better or Gold's performance slow down

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Every crash feels like the end but

On a long-term chart, it’s just another chapter

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🇮🇳 Hindustan Copper is special

It’s the only company in India that mines copper from the ground

If India wants its own copper, there’s only one source: HINDUSTAN COPPER

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In last 12 Months

Silver → +300%
Nifty → +10%

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Silver hits ₹4 lakh/kg today 🤑

It was around ₹90,000 year ago

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Hindustan Copper is the top performer in the metals space, up +200% in just one year

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A new low for the Rupee

Today, $1 = ₹92

So far this year, Rupee has lost 2.5% of its value against the Dollar 💰

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Gold is outperforming Nifty by the widest margin in almost 35 years

This gap is now larger than it was during the biggest market crashes of the last three decades

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Image: @_groww

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What market history tells us (2002-2026):

🐂 Bull markets
• Last around 3 years
• ~150% returns on average

🐻 Bear markets
• Last around 7 months
• ~34% average drawdowns

Learning:
• Corrections are short and violent
• Growth phases are long and powerful

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In last 20 Years (2006-2025)
Nifty IT and the Rupee show a -88% correlation

That simply mean:

If Rupee falls 1 unit → NiftyIT tends to rise 0.88 units (on normalized scale)

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Silver is down 12% from its all-time high in a single day

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If you had invested ₹10,000 in the Indian stock market:

5 years ago → ₹20,000 (2x)
25 years ago → ₹3,00,000 (30x)

This is the quiet power of compounding