CEO @oluseducation (also @academyofcode). Working to equip the next generation with the digital skills they'll need to survive and thrive in the modern world.
I have no particular view on the claim that cancer is cured, but I think it's pretty clear that the approval lag means that at any given time there are many things which are "cured", but where the cure isn't yet available publicly. This is effectively unavoidable.
...Am I reading this correctly that this person claims cancer has been effectively cured for a while now, but you're not allowed to buy the cure due to regulatory barriers?
Lots of cynicism about this quote from Amodei, but senior engineers I talk to all say pretty much the same thing - humans writing code by hand has fallen off a cliff in the last month or two. It's not zero, but it's on a clear slope!
Exactly one year ago (10 mar 2025), Dario Amodei:
"I think we will be there in 3-6 months, where AI is writing 90% of the code. And then, in 12 months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code."
This turned out to be... too darn accurate.
@ramez There aren't many things middle class families can spend e.g. €/$20k on that meaningfully improves their lives. An effective humanoid robot would easily sell 100s of millions globally.
@Tronicai@Irisligr@gatewink@floatovertrees@bo_austin_ We're all happy to listen to stuff that interests us - the service is when it's not that interesting up front, but you listen because the other person wants to be heard!
It's all a dance, and context dependent, but there very much is a logic to it - it's not "just feelings".
@Tronicai@Irisligr@gatewink@floatovertrees@bo_austin_ If your "authentic" self isn't willing to do them the service of listening to them (not infinitely, but at least a bit!) that is a strong signal that you don't value them, and will very often be perceived as such.
@JBLearningLab@libriscent The "meaningless interaction" is about signalling your shared cultural context, that you aren't a threat, that you're part of the tribe, etc. Building relationships isn't all "deep and meaningful" conversations - it's also frequent, friendly & "meaningless" interactions.
@Tronicai@Irisligr@gatewink@floatovertrees@bo_austin_ There is a logic to signalling. Engaging in small talk and engaging (at least a little) in someone else's interests signals that you care about them, that you're not a threat, that you're part of the tribe, etc. Refusing to participate in that ritual is also a signal!
It drives me nuts any time I read someone comparing the unreliability of AI agents to that of humans.
Man, I don't know what type of circus you've worked on, but in my 20+ years of professional career, I've never worked with people as dumb and as unreliable as AI.
Brilliant one day. Completely retarded the next one.
OK, this is nuts.
In Sept 2023, geophysicists over the world started monitoring an odd signal coming from the ground under them.
It was recorded in the Arctic, then Antarctica - then everywhere, every 90 seconds, regular as a metronome - for NINE DAYS.
What the HELL?
1/
The tax treatment in Europe (certainly Ireland, and I think elsewhere too) makes equity compensation really hard to do. Even schemes supposed to make it "easy" are full of complexities that make them hard to deal with in a real startup. Low hanging fruit, if govs will grab it!
This is one the biggest, and most problematic, differences between US and European Tech:
When Skype was acquired it created 11 millionaires.
When PayPal was acquired it created over 100 millionaires.
Skype was acquired for $8bn while PayPal was acquired $1.5bn.
The stock compensation packages between the US and Europe are night and day.
It is changing slowly but there is still a long way to go.
@binarybits A question of scale, right? I'm bullish on the positive aspects of AI btw, I just think we need to plan for the impacts being potentially a lot bigger and faster than previous waves of change, both positive and negative.
I'm confident this is directionally correct, but less so on the margins. If AI "only" increases unemployment by 5%, or 10%, or 15%, that's still catastrophic! (And the US rust belt is sitting right there as a warning to us all - prosperity can just up and leave)
Marc Andreessen was wrong about software eating the world, and I see people making the same mistake about AI today. I wrote this almost three years ago and I wouldn't change a word if I were publishing it today.
@binarybits There are absolutely places where this didn't work out though. I'm not from the US, but I've visited bits of the rust belt, and the sense of faded prosperity is really, really grim!
@binarybits AI has the potential to impact much more broadly, but it's also just moving incredibly fast - the internet took what, 20 years to be pretty mainstream and accessible? AI will leave much less time for economies to adjust, even if it was only as impactful as the internet.
@binarybits Hard to argue that it did when you net everything out, although it certainly stomped on certain sectors pretty badly. No particular reason to believe AI will have the same characteristics, and I'm not convinced it will - I obviously hope I'm wrong!
Marc Andreessen was wrong about software eating the world, and I see people making the same mistake about AI today. I wrote this almost three years ago and I wouldn't change a word if I were publishing it today.
The tooling right now is terrible for enterprise use. It's getting much, much better, really fast. The difference in personal productivity with something like Claude Cowork properly wired up is night and day - that's not really available for enterprise yet, but it's coming soon.
@joehas It's a good point, but it's also true that we are building great companies in Ireland. We have 10 (I think? I've lost count) Unicorns now, and loads of smaller success stories. Every startup hub has a version of this challenge - it can be overcome!