Dimitrios Koutmos

Live in sunny College Station, Texas and a professor at Texas A&M University. I teach and research at the newly developing Science & Technology RELLIS campus.

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

#BTC volatility is primarily due to overall uncertainty about the aggregate market. My published paper here talks about some of these issues (the growing interconnectedness between #cryptomarket and traditional financial markets: https://t.co/zvKkRCh57s

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

#BTC #Bitcoin is down today 2%. Possible trade war escalation is to blame: https://t.co/kRxmWtv9uO

I don't think this is reason. Whether we like it or not, Bitcoin's correlation with traditional #Markets like #SPX has risen (due to ETFs).

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

News on #Ethereum gas prices: https://t.co/0kpc6vagkS

Do Ethereum gas prices matter? I discuss some of the background of the #ETHFI ecosystem in my published paper here:

https://t.co/1KCqAuzagl

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Do Bitcoin options traders have private information that others do not? Check out one of my recently published papers on the subject:

https://t.co/FVPK72trlY

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

On February 17 @ 12:00PM I am giving a talk on cryptocurrencies at RELLIS A&M (@rellisedu) in room ACB1 124. Will discuss #BTCUSD behavior and #Bitcoin fundamentals. Open to the community.

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Where are we at with aggregate #market #SPX fundamentals? How much more can the market climb? These questions are on everyone's mind at this point. This graph from @RobertJShiller gives us but a piece of the overall puzzle:
(see https://t.co/eUCzXApf4L)

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

What really spooked the market for #NVDA? Was it #DeepSeek? This will be a messy issue to disentangle. However, NVDA's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio does not necessarily show that fundamentals are way off, one way or another. See #TradingView screenshot:

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Where do you think #interestrates are going next?
Keep an eye on important #FederalReserve meeting dates:
https://t.co/NVEshaWYkG

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

#XRPL #Ripple is interesting. This upcoming week Banks in Japan will use XRP to make int'l payments quicker. We will see if @Grayscale get approval for their Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) or if Canadian firm (Purpose Investments) gets approval first. Its a viscous race in Fin space.

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Upcoming week will be interesting for #BTC . On one hand we are seeing a friendly environment emerge for all cryptos. On the other we will see some uncertainty as #SP500 has reached a high point. #FederalReserve is keeping rates unchanged for now. + we'll see how tariffs play out

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Months back, the yield curve (and its shape) were dismissed as a predictor for the economy. Good to see it being discussed again:
https://t.co/d4UCb3qjes
Look historically how it has performed (especially when it 'dis-inverts')... shaded regions denote recessions:

[Alex Koutmos @akoutmos]

In celebration of the latest Elixir Patterns release, I figured I would also tease what's coming down the pipe after Elixir Patterns 😉. My brother is a Finance+Economics professor and we're combining forces! More details to come soon 😁.

#MyElixirStatus

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

The 30-year mortgage rate avg. in the US is apprx. 6%. The last time we saw this rate was during the 2008-09 financial crisis... It shows that market risk is rising, and banks are relatively more fearful of defaults...

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Recently I published a paper titled "Investor Sentiment and Bitcoin Prices." It may give good ideas to those interested in crypto trading and research. Here is the link: https://t.co/6ofjJMtBwD

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Why are bitcoin prices declining recently? I wrote a non-technical article about this here (publicly available): https://t.co/1tPHt53FRi
Which summarizes my published article that shows how a market crash can also lead to a bitcoin crash:
https://t.co/zvKkRBZtIS

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

How high can mortgage rates go? Currently that are about 6-7% nationally (depending on your credit score). Let history be our guide and teacher. In the early 1980s, 30-year mortgage rates hit almost 20%.

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Expect to see higher mortgage rates in upcoming months. The reason is that loan defaults are also expected to rise. Banks can foresee this, and will thus be more unwilling to lend. JPMorgan is poised to layoff hundreds in their lending division: https://t.co/If6AKzI0zk

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

There is a high possibility that new changes to 401(k) regulations are forthcoming. I will keep an eye on these with the intention of answering this fundamental question: Will they give more freedom (economic and otherwise) to individuals to plan their lives?

[Dimitrios Koutmos @DimitriKoutmos]

Intraday mkt variance is high. Within 1 hr, the mkt changed -1.7%. The adage is "with higher risk comes higher reward." This is not always true when comparing the behavior of stocks versus volatility. This pattern shows uncertainty and maybe future returns will be negative.