SOLGMI

[me_cool_off @me_cool_off]

This trader turned $142 into +$2,138 with a single weather bet!

Account: https://t.co/ENPTVIBBuo

+$15,000 in a month.

+$500/day!

Best trades:
$142 -> $2,138
$28 -> $839
$29 -> $808

He doesn’t do arbitrage or only buy at 1¢ / 99¢.

He simply looks for undervalued outcomes and buys them.

It can be 1¢, 20¢, or even 50¢ outcomes.

Higher probability = lower upside per trade.

That’s why he mainly buys in the 1-50¢ range.

Across 478 trades, he averages $31 profit per trade!

He also doesn’t just buy YES on undervalued outcomes.

He often buys NO on overpriced outcomes too.

Example - market "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 7":
> bought YES on 17°C at 6¢ for $17
> bought NO on 16°C at 5.7¢ for $4

As a result, the undervalued outcome won and he made +$338 from two outcomes.

This strategy helps him profit without risking large amounts every trade.

To profit like this trader, just set up copy trading on his account and start with any amount: https://t.co/jpNaSFzyru

[Valentin @martynov014]

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket

I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason.

Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow.

I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you.

Here is a small list of traders

1. gopfan2
(https://t.co/vJkyUPC3aQ) - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable

2. enzocostapt81
(https://t.co/f8fnJbS53I) is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London.

3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11
(https://t.co/bVnPaZf4aU) 100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto-focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges.

4. meropi
(https://t.co/ITd9b1wvnN) - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather

5. 1pixel
(https://t.co/IM88zBU0Uk) - $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London)

6. erb80
(https://t.co/M5KlXCBdjw) Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one)

7. Hans323
(https://t.co/3Nh8uTgndE) - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year

8. securebet
(https://t.co/cCRRJAz4iA) - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data

9. automatedAItradingbot
(https://t.co/tKysD2A21e) Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather

1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders

Tools and Automation

> https://t.co/Deg26pv0Oy - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets.

> https://t.co/URHEHPmgVr - Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules

> https://t.co/hs3bN3ZatI - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high

> https://t.co/tIPTAAig6L - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities

> https://t.co/T5D1ZgOpmz - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction

> https://t.co/JqXwK8T2PC - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center - long-term ENSO, droughts

> https://t.co/FezJ77IbwN - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations.

> https://t.co/zcVmKGqmjl - Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution.

> https://t.co/yFjSoYJU6M - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities

> https://t.co/YpyPipg7qd - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed.

Quick Tips for Using These in Trading

>>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢.

>>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages.

>>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

[💯 Matt 💯 @fitcapgirldad]

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