DogsTradeToo

Trading Opinions and Options

[Data Driven Stocks @stockdatamarket]

I think the S&P 500 is likely to go down toward either 7,540 or 7,460 in the short term. After that, it should either consolidate or continue moving higher until the century-level oil shock expected in July.

[bwatts  @_bwatts_]

Another $SPY trade from today. 6/18 740 puts + 7/17 750/740 put debit spreads 🐻
6/18 740 puts entry at $3.03. Sold 75% of the position into close at $3.35. Holding July put spreads full.
Second image shared with Discord on 5/26 is what this trade was based on. Waited patiently for price to move up to my reversal zone and to print a reversal setup. We got that today 💰
Let's see if we can get any follow through tomorrow. I'll hold put spreads through another high if the setup remains valid.

[Wall Street NYC Quant. bitcoin-fund-manager.com @BITCOINFUNDMGR]

$SPX $SPY Its absolutely reasonable to bet on this being a trap. Short at max leverage. If liquidated, go bigger next entry...

[Bonnie Gortler @Optiongirl]

The uptrend in QQQ continues with less upside momentum and declining Money Flow. #stockmarket

[ProblemSniper @ProblemSniper]

$SPY $SPX

Lot of signs of froth developing in the market as we enter the seasonally most weak month in the mid term election year. June supposedly is the worst with a monthly return of -2% on average. Just a caution sign to watch for rotation in defensive names in the market.

Last week we saw a clear shift in the market with the software running while Chips were resting a little bit. Most names that the President is mentioning are running recently so that is something that market is loving so keep your eyes open for what he mentions and can catch a run with options. $IBM $INTC $NOW $MU he has been on point.

Talking levels in the short term, with the momentum that the bulls have built any pull back towards the 9EMA has been a buying opportunity but also they have built a nice support line noted under at around 745 which will act as a strong support. When we revisit the trendline watch for volume to see if that is a dead cat bounce and can definitely play some puts based off the trendline break and the period to be cautious. For bulls to chug higher 758 breaks opens 763 and 767 this week. Although frothy there can be a little bit more of a push left in the market but after I will try to be more cautious. Size down bets as volatility increases. Currently in the mid term sense (End of Q3) I do not see 727 losing at all on SPY.

Bearish divergence on $SMH remains and I want to be cautious on that sector overall trickling down into the market. P.S: Caution does not mean I am looking to play Put on the sector.

TRDE IDEA OF THE WEEK: $CSCO will be posted with the video and targets on Instagram soon.

If you like my analysis hit the ❤️ and repost.

[Bonnie Gortler @Optiongirl]

SPX (S&P 500) Bullish Percentage closed at 58.80, rising, but no new high. A turn down now and a fall below 50 could lead to weakness in the S&P 500. #stockmarket

[Steve Deppe, CMT @SJD10304]

If you've followed me long enough you know i'm a huge fan of price thrust reversals (my favorite being a 2-month, 10%+ advance, with negative trailing 6-month returns).

We have 2 of the 3 so here is every 2-month, 10%+ surge, that followed a monthly decline of -5% or worse.

[Prof @TheProfInvestor]

Nasdaq RSI is flashing a negative divergence after reaching 80 while price makes new highs.

Since 2023 we saw this happen 3 times:

1. July 2023
2. July 2024
3. May 2026

We are due for a consolidation, pullback next.

$QQQ

[Beardo @BeardoTrader]

The last time the U.S. 10 Year Yield went to 5%, $SPY dropped 11%.

Use this information however you like.

[Ted @TedPillows]

S&P 500 $SPX has struggled from May to October during midterm election years.

🔴 1962: -21.49%
🔴 1966: -21.22%
🔴 1970: -0.1%
🔴 1974: -32.5%
🔴 1978: -8.64%
🟢 1982: +17%
🔴 1986: -7.62%
🔴 1990: -18.7%
🔴 1994: -1.86%
🔴 1998: -18.33%
🔴 2002: -30.54%
🔴 2006: -4.73%
🔴 2010: -6.08%
🔴 2014: -5.37%
🔴 2018: -5.06%
🔴 2022: -19%

2026: ????

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

Listen to me. This is your FINAL warning.

This is what will happen. The next cycle is May 25th - June 5th.

1. Trim your winners. Don't sell fully. Take minimum ~20% of your profits and rotate into defense. Or hedge with oil stocks, gold, cash, or puts.

2. AI will keep going up in the future, we're still very early. But $SPY will START its dip of -5% to -10%.

3. This will turn into -20% - 50% dip on high volatility stocks.

Why will this happen?
1. It's a natural "breather" before we go up again (3 months of rest). We're too HOT.

2. No more earnings catalyst - we will have a period of LIMBO from June to August.

3. S&P 500 is stretched 15% away from its moving average. This is historically the time to trim.

Future forecast?
1. Buy the BIG dip. Markets are still bullish and will continue to go up.

What to do?
1. Balanced with AI, international exposure (Japan, Brazil, etc.), precious metals/miners (gold and silver miners), stable compounder companies, cash, and puts.

Follow my every move or else you'll lose everything. I've already started to rotate, and I will more.

[Crypto Tice @CryptoTice_]

BREAKING:

The new Fed Chair just signaled a major shift.
Kevin Warsh says QE is fueling inflation.

The Fed's massive balance sheet is part of the problem.

"The Fed should exit markets outside of crises."

This is not Powell talking.
This is a completely different philosophy.

Powell printed. Warsh wants to stop.

Powell expanded the balance sheet. Warsh wants to shrink it. $6,700,000,000,000 in Fed assets.

Warsh just told you that number needs to come down.

- Less liquidity.
- Higher rates for longer.
- Risk assets reprice.

The market has been betting on easy money.
The new Fed Chair just bet against it.

Everything changes on today.

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

The $SPY is now the furthest distance from it's 50sma since August 8th 2022.

The $QQQ is now the furthest distance from it's 50sma since May 6th 2009.

Wild stats especially the Q's.

[Sebastián @SebastinPatron3]

🚨 🚨 🚨 📢
$SPX $SPY $QQQ $IWM $VIX

Holy mother of ODTE pigs. 🐷

On the WEEKLY chart, $QQQ left the upper Bollinger Band so far behind it looks disconnected from reality. Now stretched 2.5+ standard deviations above the 50MA.

Weekly RSI highest since the July 8th rubberband snapback.
Weekly CCI back at limit up... but now in negative divergence.

That’s the kind of setup where everyone feels like a genius right before the market introduces them to gravity. 😂

Highly suggest wearing a helmet.
When the weekly rubberband snapback effect hits, it tends to leave more than emotional damage. 🤪👇

[soothsayer @iamasoothsayer]

2023: Corona ended
2026: Hantavirus

[bwatts  @_bwatts_]

$QQQ arrived at my 700.60 level. Weekly RSI is now at levels last seen the weeks of October 27, 2025, and July 1, 2024 👀

[bwatts  @_bwatts_]

$SPY echoing the January setup?
We’re nearing the 1.618 fib extension from the Jan 2026 high to the March 30 low, sitting at 741.02.
Last time we reached the prior 1.618 (2025 correction), we grinded sideways for weeks… then dropped almost 10%.
Watch list if we roll over:
• Back-test of 2025 ATH 697.84
• Swing Low AVWAP / 10-Week SMA
• Weekly Demand (682.03 - 676.58)
Will this time be different?
(Weekly view- takes time to play out. Not a prediction)

[Rekt Fencer @rektfencer]

Everyone is guessing what the S&P 500 will do in 2026

THEY ARE ALL WRONG

It will trap and liquidate both bulls and bears

Bookmark this

[Max Pain @maxpain_crypto]

100 years of structure.

Now breaking.

At the most overbought levels ever.

Macro says caution.
Price says breakout.

Rally or Trap?

#SPX