Kai Capital

Thesis Driven Swing Trader | ~400% returns in 18 months

$PENG @ 39
$SNDK @ 230
$MRVL @ 180

Shaken, not stopped out

NFA DYOR

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

I came to the US from Ukraine at 9, not knowing a word of English.

At 17 I got obsessed with markets as I wanted to help my family financially. I spent a year on penny stocks and futures and learned nothing except how to lose money.

At 19, second year of uni, I tried again. I had $20K saved from odd jobs and remote web work, and I put all of it into $HIMS at $25 in November of 2024.

It ran to $70 and portfolio went over $55K, but I didn't sell.

Then April 2025 hit. The tariff crash roundtripped $HIMS all the way back under $25.

I sat through the entire drawdown, bought more, held on conviction, and sold at $55 in June.

Around then I joined the HIMS House Discord and met some of the best traders I've ever met: @GuSonOfBu, @RJCcapital, @mpk_twit, @chonky_453, @KawzInvests, @JerBearRN, @retail_mourinho, @NighthawkTradez, @Fluke340, and Solar. I don't think they know just how much they mean to me. They changed how I see this entire game and help me improve to this day.

Right after selling $HIMS, I got greedy.

I blew $15K in two hours on a shitco, the exact penny-stock mentality I thought I'd left behind. Gone in an afternoon.

That loss is the best thing that happened to me.

I stopped chasing. I built an actual strategy: high conviction, thesis-driven, 4–18 month outlook. Only names I understand deeply. No noise, no lottery tickets.

Since then:
$HOOD 70 → 147
$SNDK 230 → 1,800
$KRKNF 2.6 → 6.2
$MU 350 → 1,000
$NBIS 95 → 220
$PENG 39 → 81
$MRVL 180 → 245

$20K → a $150K+ portfolio. ~400%+ returns net of deposits since I started a year and half ago.

I'm 20 and just getting started.

NFA

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@Barchart Are institutions and big boys trying to hide where they move capital? Thats nuts

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@pepemoonboy Selling options is a good strategy for safer returns when you already have a big portfolio, selling options at 10k, 100k and 1M are all very different things

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@BoringBiz_ get your popcorn ladies and gentlemen

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

I think the recent heavy pullback in CPO names are a healthy correction after some names ran 3-10x in months.

Regardless I believe in the long term these are the dips you buy with both hands.

Long $AAOI

NFA

[TheBigBerbowski @TheBigBerbowski]

I find it fascinating how FOMO can make people lose their minds, and how big drops can make people lose all their hopes.

$AAOI with all its pros and cons, is still the same company you wanted to own at $220.

Now it's cheaper, but for many clicking the buy button is harder than before.

We are getting an update in a couple of weeks.
ER should be in early August.

What are your thoughts? Buying? Holding?
What are your hopes and fears?

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

I'll leave this here for all those who want to join our community https://t.co/NVBEomf8Oz

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

NEW ALL IN... kidding but

Added $SIVEF / $SIVE at $4.66 two days ago, sitting at $5 now. Nice little unrealized +6.7%

This is NOT a core position like $PENG or $DRAM in the book. Sized small, short-term, purely tactical and that's why I am Positioned accordingly.

The thesis: CPO/photonics names got way too oversold across the board. SIVE is InP-based photonics, positioned for 1.6T and CPO, with a real Nasdaq NY dual-listing catalyst in play. Relatively speculative, thin float, no volume revenue yet to back the multiple, and one thing to point out, $SIVE started tp snap back hard off oversold levels but the other highly speculative names haven't $AAOI $AXTI, and that strength is important.

Not a "this is the next PENG" call. It's a bounce trade on a name with a legit long-term option attached if the LiDAR ramp and uplisting land later this year. Positioned accordingly, even that if it round-trips, it doesn't matter.

Real-time sizing and trims posted in the Inner Circle Discord, it's in bio.

NFA

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@sky_surferblue @michaeljburry Yes no more animal abuse pics lmao

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@antibearthesis thank you Noah!

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

High conviction and zero trimming aren't the same thing. I said "thesis intact," not "never sell a share." PENG ran from $39 to $86, that's 2x+. Trimming 20-30% into a move like that isn't doubting the thesis, it's managing size so a pullback doesn't wreck the position. I still hold the core.

If anything, refusing to ever trim a "homerun" is how conviction turns into giving back the whole move and I have been there before.

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

Flagged the $PENG trim to the Discord at $86 at 10:14am.

It closed at $78 the next day with the low at $74.

Not a top-call. I've been scaling out the whole way up at $66-72, then $86. That's what you do when a high-conviction name runs. Entry was $39. Still hold a decent position, thesis intact.

This is what thesis-driven trimming looks like. I post them when I make them, not after.

And I do the same for the other names in the book:
$HPE $MRVL $NBIS $ASTS $DRAM $MU $HIVE $SIVE

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

That's exactly why I don't try to call tops. A top-call is one guess, one price, all in on being right. What I'm doing is the opposite: layered trims, scaling into strength as thesis targets hit. Even if $86 wasn't the high, I already captured plenty of upside. No single trim needs to be "the top" for the system to work. That's the EV edge, not a leak in it.

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@thepunditoor $Dram is HBM bet with heavy 3-way monopoly in $MU $SKHYV $samsung and $disk is more diversified as a general memory storage bet not just HBM. So better is subjective to your needs

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@TheBigBerbowski Let's get it, next week will be interesting.

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@StockMKTNewz Thats why they are getting sued for price fixing, but it's ridiculous when they output has ramped up so much. Personally long $dram and $mu

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@StockMKTNewz You can bet on anything these days

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@antibearthesis He worked with Sam, he Knew whats coming

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@InTheAssembly matter of time before the comeback, mark it long $MSFT

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

@elonmusk On point, how is OpenAi even relevant when we have Anthropic?

My "this" in has been trading, genuinely so fun and rewarding,

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

Here is the link for those interested https://t.co/10Tp2LNemU