Backpacker, Surfer, ER Medicine. I use Twitter as a personal diary to look back on (at a future date) to remind me of my mood/thoughts on events of that time.
The drone evolution of warfare is now old news. Asymmetric warfare etc.
But what is the counter to this? It’s going to be robot armies. Perhaps human, or ai, or both, controlling the robot.
I fear that the most advanced ai and the most advanced robotics will be applied to warfare. So ai will learn to excel disproportionately at the most efficient brutal human skill.
To Kill
Absolutely Horrifying
I work ER
Seen some bad stuff
This is on another level and all respect to the Health Care Workers/Heroes working in Gaza 😲😱🤯
Tucker on the Holocaust in Gaza, Israel's Torture Program and Experiment... https://t.co/CPjGxB9lu4 via @YouTube
Fucking Netanyahu & Cabinet
Let’s just say they are correct for attacking Lebanon. They are not, but let’s just hypothesize.
But then there are clearly larger considerations.
They also must realize that prolonging the war and thus the closure of the Hermuz straight, will put many other innocent countries and quite literally a Billion human lives at risk!
Innocent developing countries need oil, fertilizer, and natural gas for basic quality of life and survival. Thailand, Sri Lanka, Philippines etc
Is your plight so bleak that your actions justify the risk of putting that many human lives at risk?!?
You are the aggressor. Your actions have room for modification. The defender has no choice but to stay. They have no other place to go. Palestine. Lebanon
One of the best podcasts I’ve listened to all year
Learning points per unit time off the charts 👏👏👏
Money manipulation and their affects
Population numbers control and culling the heard mentality is still a new concept to me but I wouldn’t doubt it a this point
Every Major War Begins Under False Pretenses & the Central Banks Are Beh... https://t.co/N4xllL96Wc via @YouTube
The problem is Americans are terrible at math. They don’t understand. They have been ingrained into the debt system and they always feel there is another way out because that’s what they’ve experienced with their own personal debts eg student loan, credit card, car loan, mortgage. It goes on and on. I was offered my first credit card when I was 17! They likely think USA can just declare bankruptcy and reset after 7 yrs.
The math is very scary !!!
The 10-year Treasury yield is perhaps the most important financial benchmark in the global fiat system, as it drives valuations and market trends worldwide. It is widely—and erroneously—regarded as the risk-free rate of return.
The 10-year Treasury yield can be thought of as a key barometer of the US dollar-based fiat system—a critical measure akin to its beating heart.
Bond yields move inversely to bond prices. When bond prices fall, bond yields rise.
A rising 10-year Treasury yield signals trouble for the US dollar because it means investors are selling Treasuries, which pushes up the US government’s borrowing costs. That is why the 10-year Treasury yield is a major pain point for the US government.
The 10-year Treasury yield was 3.97% when the war started. Now it is around 4.60%, an increase of roughly 63 basis points.
I expect the 10-year Treasury yield to keep climbing over the coming weeks and months—until it forces the Fed’s hand. At that point, the intervention will be sold as “stability,” but the mechanism will be familiar: suppress yields by debasing the currency.
At today’s debt levels, every 1 basis point increase in the government’s average borrowing cost adds roughly $3.9 billion in annual interest expense. So a 63 bps rise is not trivial—it translates to nearly $250 billion in additional yearly interest costs, materially widening a 2025 budget deficit that was already around $1.8 trillion.
Higher yields mean the US government must pay tens or even hundreds of billions more in interest on its debt. At the same time, the global economy faces even greater added costs because Treasury rates serve as the benchmark for borrowing worldwide.
That is not an insignificant move. However, given all the headwinds I have discussed, I suspect the 10-year Treasury yield is headed much higher because investors will demand higher yields to compensate for rising inflation. Further, if Hormuz remains closed, drastically higher oil prices are all but certain. Higher energy prices mean higher prices across the economy and higher official inflation rates, which means investors will demand still higher yields to compensate.
The problem is that interest on the federal debt is already over $1.2 trillion and is now the second-largest item in the budget. The US government cannot afford yields going much higher because the interest expense would push it toward bankruptcy.
I am not sure how—or even if—the US government can manage this situation. Something has to give, and we will not have to wait long to find out what.
The Iran war may prove to be more than another foreign policy disaster. It could be the trigger that exposes the fragility of the entire dollar-based financial system.
AI tokens are the ‘picks and shovels’
Businesses will line up to purchase ai tokens. A business may thrive or fail based on how they monetize their tokens. But the companies selling the tokens win no matter what.
I’m fascinated by the idea of a spectrum or “slider bar” that runs from 100% human on one end to 100% AI on the other. The goal is to find the ideal balance for any given task or profession.
My friend calls a human-AI team a “centaur,” inspired by the mythical creature that’s half-human, half-horse — combining the best qualities of both.
That got me thinking about an adjustable scale where you dial in the right mix of human and AI strengths for different jobs.
For example, in medicine I suspect the sweet spot might be around 75% human and 25% AI, because you still need strong human judgment, empathy, and accountability. In accounting, on the other hand, I’d slide it almost all the way to the AI side — maybe 98% AI and just 2% human — since the work is highly rule-based, data-driven, and benefits massively from the speed and accuracy of AI, with only minimal human oversight for exceptions or final sign-off.
Would be interesting if AI apps let you self adjust the AI slider bar to your own preference for that day, that task, that moment
🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel approved the largest West Bank settlement expansion in history, 34 new settlements at once.
Done quietly under the fog of war, at the request of the US.
This is the most aggressive push toward annexation we've seen yet.
103 new settlements since this government took power.
The map is being redrawn on the ground.
Source: Al Jazeera
Just a reminder as it doesn’t get brought up often in this overall conflict.
Fugue of war
The Hannibal Directive is an IDF policy from nineteen eighty-six, created to stop enemy forces from capturing Israeli soldiers—even if it means using heavy fire that could kill or injure the captives themselves. The idea: better dead than abducted, to dodge future prisoner swaps.
In the past, it popped up in Lebanon ops—like two thousand when Hezbollah nabbed soldiers at Shebaa Farms, or two thousand six during the Shalit kidnapping and Ayta ash-Shaab clash, where tanks and airstrikes went wild. Also in Gaza wars, like two thousand fourteen’s Rafah incident after Hadar Goldin vanished—massive shelling killed tons of Palestinians, though IDF denied full invocation. It got tweaked over time, officially scrapped in twenty sixteen for safer versions.
On October seventh twenty twenty-three, amid Hamas’s attack, reports say it was revived big-time—orders like “Hannibal at Erez” early morning, then “no vehicles back to Gaza at any cost” by midday. Tanks shelled convoys, drones hit cars, artillery pounded houses at spots like Re’im, Nahal Oz, Be’eri. Some Israelis—soldiers and civilians—died from friendly fire, including hostages in vehicles or buildings. IDF admits chaos but says it was tactical to block abductions; critics call it reckless. Still debated, no full admission.
Sam Altman predicted in 2024 that a one-person billion-dollar company "would have been unimaginable without A.I., and now it will happen."
He just emailed the NYT saying he won a bet with tech CEO friends over when it would arrive, and that he "would like to meet the guy."
The guy: Matthew Gallagher, 41. Spent $20K and two months building a GLP-1 weight-loss telehealth company out of his living room in LA.
The stack: ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok writing code. Midjourney for images. Runway for video ads. ElevenLabs handling customer calls. Custom AI agents stitching it all together.
$401M revenue in year one. On track for $1.8B this year.