So exciting to _finally_ get to talk about the US 2020 FB and IG Election Project!
A few notes from my perspective as a methodological collaborator kind of on the border between the academic and the Meta teams. 🧵
The Hertie School Data Science Lab is hiring a postdoc. This is an appealing position with fairly low teaching/admin responsibilities and a lot of freedom to develop your research agenda.
Feel free to reach out if you want to know more!
https://t.co/ptuXzj2Vm4
I'm back to blogging on my own pixels. I should remember to actually share posts on the microblogs (I believe this is the main thing they're good for). First, a post laying out why I won't be blogging on Substack: https://t.co/kqAEDbPx6I
How The Washington Post’s forecast will track 2024 election results
Like in previous cycles we'll be running our live election model to add context to results that are coming in. But we have a few updates this year!
https://t.co/HtNFKyaefw
Welcome #ICML2024 to Vienna! If you work on causality/CSS and want to chat, hit me up. I'm also happy to share recommendations based on a few years living here.
Our polling average topline takeaway: Trump is leading in 5 of the 7 battleground states that are most likely to determine the outcome of the election, but PA, WI and MI are within a typically-sized polling error.
w/ @dianesaysword, @kt_prry & Luis Melgar
https://t.co/1kYl6W6io5
To assert democratic control over large online platforms we need rigorous impact assessments like the US2020 project. This is the only way we can make sure we respond to the real societal harms they may cause.
Do Facebook, Instagram and co. lead to polarisation?
@DrewDim debunks this myth: deactivating accounts before the 2020 US election had little effect on political polarisation.
People who logged off were even less likely to believe misinformation.
🔗 https://t.co/PgwvHJjuC6
New article from the U.S. 2020 Facebook & Instagram Election Study in @PNASNews (academic team led by @HuntAllcott & Gentzkow): Deactivation of FB/IG for 6 weeks before the 2020 election reduced online participation but otherwise had mostly null effects https://t.co/bZUxVYn9S7
***Academic Job*** I'm hiring a post-doc (starting this fall) as part of building out a lab model re: conflict and development at Emory. Open broadly but Asia is bulk of agenda right now. ABDs & recent grads please submit apps by June 15th https://t.co/9X6oMjcv5K
Tired: constant marginal effects
Wired: maximum marginal effects at p=0.5
Inspired: add a parameter for where marginal effects are maximized
Are they not teaching the kids about scobit these days? Embarrassing
📆 Curious about @thehertieschool? Join us in Berlin for our Open Day this Friday!
🤝 Visit our campus to explore our programmes, talk to our students, and get a sneak peek into our courses.
Register here: https://t.co/jvlFu5upxI
Super cool thread on racial depolarization (what I'd call it, rather than realignment) in US politics. A bit of additional context from diving into similar data:
🚨 Job alert 🚨 Join us in forecasting the next federal election, and in finding out what forecasts do to voters and candidates! Plus, do a PhD at the Data Science Lab in Berlin. DM me for any questions.