๐จIF YOU'RE UNDER 30, DO NOT BUY A HOUSE RIGHT NOW. HERE'S WHY
Step 1: The US started a WAR with Iran. Trump says it could last 5 WEEKS - but warns it could drag on far longer.
Step 2: Iran CLOSED the Strait of Hormuz. 20% of the world's oil is now BLOCKED.
Step 3: Oil is surging past $90/barrel. Heading to $120+. Maybe $150.
Step 4: When oil goes up, EVERYTHING goes up. Gas. Food. Shipping. Construction materials. EVERYTHING.
Step 5: Inflation is COMING BACK. Bank of England rate cut odds already collapsed from 80% to 29% in ONE WEEK.
Step 6: If inflation returns, central banks CAN'T cut rates. They might even RAISE them.
Step 7: Higher rates = higher mortgage rates. 7%? 8%? Maybe higher.
Step 8: Higher mortgage rates = people CAN'T afford payments. Forced sellers FLOOD the market.
Step 9: $4 TRILLION has already been wiped from global stock markets in 4 days. People are LOSING their down payments in the market crash.
Step 10: South Korea's stock market just crashed -8% and TRIGGERED A CIRCUIT BREAKER. Japan -6%. Dow -1,200 points.
Step 11: When stocks crash, layoffs follow. Tech. Finance. Real estate. Construction. ALL of them.
Step 12: Laid off people with 7% mortgages they can barely afford? They SELL. At ANY price.
Step 13: Housing inventory SURGES. Prices DROP. 20%? 30%? In some markets โ 50%.
This is EXACTLY what happened in 2008.
Oil spike โ inflation โ rate hikes โ stock crash โ layoffs โ housing crash.
THE SAME SEQUENCE IS PLAYING OUT RIGHT NOW. Step by step. In real time.
If you have cash, SIT ON IT. The biggest buying opportunity of your lifetime is 12-24 months away.
If you just signed a mortgage at the top? I'm sorry.
This isn't fear. This is math.
Bookmark this. Come back in 18 months.
When I make my next move, Iโll share it here for everyone to see.
If you still havenโt followed me, youโll regret it. Just watch.
I used to wonder how it was possible that Trump could have won in 2016, and then again in 2024, given how emotionally toxic and depraved he is.
I donโt wonder anymore. I think he won for that exact reason. Because he carried at least one broken shard to reflect the broken shards in millions of others.
If youโre a racist, you found your guy. If youโre a misogynist, you found your guy. If money is your only religion, you found your guy. If your heart is armored shut, you found your guy. If you mock the disabled, you found your guy. If intelligence makes you insecure, you found your guy. If youโre a sexual predator, you found your guy. If you trade in humiliation and conspiracy and filth, you found your guy.
If youโve never done a single hour of emotional inventory, you found your guy. If you cheat, stiff contractors, bankrupt your obligations, and call it savvy, you found your guy. If you lie as easily as you breathe, you found your guy. If cruelty feels like strength, you found your guy. If white grievance is your comfort food, you found your guy. If your ego is a black hole no title can fill, you found your guy. If warmongering fuels your ego, you found your guy, If empathy feels like weakness and dominance feels like oxygen, you found your guy.
If heโd only carried one or two of these pathologies, he might have been dismissed as just another loud, damaged man. But he carried a buffet of them. That was the appeal. Millions could locate themselves somewhere in the wreckage. They didnโt have to agree with all of it. They just had to recognize a piece of themselves in it.
It was never really about him. It was about the validation. The absolution. The permission. He didnโt invent the resentment; he amplified it. He didnโt create the cruelty; he normalized it. He gave millions the intoxicating relief of hearing their ugliest impulses echoed back at rally volume.
Trump is a symptom. The deeper illness is collective. If thereโs one sentence that defines his power, itโs this: โHe says the things Iโm thinking.โ
And thatโs the part that should chill us.
Because what does it say about us that so many were thinking those things? That tens of millions of Americans harbored resentments so deep, so seething, that they were simply waiting for a demagogue to baptize them as virtue? That after decades of supposed progress on race, gender, and equality, so many white men felt so threatened, so displaced, so furious, that cruelty became a political platform?
Maybe we were living in a foolโs paradise, mistaking silence for healing, politeness for progress.
Now the mask is off. Now we know.
And knowing is a far more dangerous place to stand.
โ Michael Jochum, Not Just a Drummer: Reflections on Art, Politics, Dogs, and the Human Condition.
One of my uncle's son was misbehaving so his Dad asked me to speak to him.
I called this boy and he was complaining about what his parents didn't do and how they didn't remember some stuff.
He allowed him lamented and expressed his heart out.
I only utter a statement
Be kind to your parents... It's their first time living too.
There was a long pause, the next thing he started crying, then he said Big bro I apologize.
Told him, I've also been at that point in my life but understanding they're not perfect and they're also learning from their own experience & trying to be a better parent. We can only complement them by showing empathy.
I've seen young guys and ladies lash out at their parents for almost everything. I do feel bad and just wish they understand no one understands this life thing.
Some days we win and some days we fail terribly. It's just how life is.
Be kind to your Parents... It's their first time living too.
Happy Sunday
Lanre NaijaFarmer