Dustin Spriggs

🐎 Informing Aus racing community with data driven speed maps essential for form guides.
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[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

Speed map for Saturday's G1 Everest.

Randwick 1200m

Early Speed:

Storm Boy looks the likely leader but if he does step slow he is at risk of being crossed by Growing Empire. I Am Me lands leader’s back.

Bella Nipotina’s and Lady of Camelot’s gates look bad at first glance but with the lack of speed drawn directly underneath, they should be able to find cover if they don’t end up pressing right forward.

Most of the runners with form settling further back have drawn next to a runner with a similar pattern, which should allow them to pair up easily. Strong tempo expected.

Prediction:

Still a lot to play out with how much rain Randwick receives on Friday. Looking for runners that are proven on that Soft 6-7 range. All 12 runners have won big races on Good surfaces if we end up there.

Bella Nipotina is by far the most consistent horse in the field. She is in career best form and won the G1 Doomben 10 000 on a Soft 7. She is versatile enough to press forward from the wide gate and find cover. If the pattern of the day sees them getting to the wider lanes then the outside gate becomes a positive.

Growing Empire is the x-factor. He was so brave going down in the shadows of the post in the Manikato when the fellow on speed runners faded. He could easily land 1 out 1 back. He brings better form than past 3yo winner Giga Kick did the year he won it in a much more even field.

DM or email for full meeting of Randwick:

- speed maps
- tempo analysis
- past meeting with same Rail position data
- previous track/distance data

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@Racing_Previews @AitchBeeBee I just assumed you were speaking a piece of garbage but maybe I’m just lazy

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@Racing_Previews @AitchBeeBee Always doing your research 🧐

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@MitchellBazley @beatsyboi Maybe you should fork out the $20-30 mill to purchase her then you can set her program and send her to ascot to race for half the prize money where the travel knocks a few lengths off her best

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@mannygalouzis Agree

[Boom Punting @BoomPunting]

$100 CHALLENGE - WEEK 13 🐎

We hope on the last day of the Flemington carnival we can get some more of the team in the green.

Too Darn Discreet & Cosmic Crusader seem to be the popular ones for the team today.

Good luck punters, I’ll be trackside with my flippers #BP 🧨

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

A tough card to round out the Sydney Carnival. I’ve had two bets 👍🏾

https://t.co/FhTvviyaeX

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@martynjhoward 🤝

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

The final nail in the coffin for the typical pocket whingers. She’s gone forward once in her career and was beaten in a Rockhampton maiden. Otherwise her settling pattern has been midfield or worse.

[Ladbrokes Australia @ladbrokescomau]

"It was just one of those tragic things..."

Moods gives his take on Sheza Alibi's run in the Golden Eagle.

@moodyracingpgm @roger_oldridge

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@MickWallaceMail @WingedCharm 😂😂😂 the peanuts are out in force Mick. Doesn’t get more case closed than Moody, the first person to call out the most slightly questionable ride, stating the obvious

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

That may be the case but his logic 100% checks out. I’ve long worked with multiple G1 winning jockeys around speed maps and these early parts of races and if you think you’re going to jump from Gate 5 and hold a 3 wide line on a $1.5 pop you’re not qualified to speak on the matter. If you keep rolling it from your screenshot you’ll see Brave Monarch role in on him. Nolan knew it wasn’t an option to stay on the line he was on so he was looking over his shoulder to make sure he had room. Landing 1 off from Gate 5 was a great result. I have no reason to be politically correct in saying that. Bad luck happens. You have to price it into backing a horse with her settling pattern from that gate.

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@martynjhoward You can’t just hold your line when you’ve got a wall of horses coming across the get a position

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

Yeah but your opinions come from pure nonsense and lack of knowledge. I saw your post where you said a speedy horse should never of been placed in that position. None of her early sectional data at any point in her career indicates that she has tactical speed. You’re just talking complete garbage

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

Ok Sharon. Horses have settling patterns. Some can be bustled out of the gates and still have something to give the back end of the race. Others don’t settle well with this and can’t. If you can’t understand this go watch moto gp. Clearly the trainer is across this but let’s go with your angle Sharon.

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@AllJocksRCheats @JB03958173 You’re shitting the bed a little earlier than usual this week. I’m guessing with the Flem carnival on you’ve punted away your disability pension already. Great to see

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

So a race where she flopped out from Gate 1 and went 8L slower the first 600m than the race you are crying about is what your argument is built around. You’re even dumber than what your profile suggests. Next time you get the feeling being an internet troll doesn’t bring the fulfilment you hoped just remember no one cares and act accordingly.

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@JB03958173 Takes a special type of retard to think you can just plonk them 5 wide from Gate 6 in a 16 horse field, especially when you’re the $1.5 fav. Best of luck to you

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

I didn’t say they are to blame but it’s good practice to always reflect after a losing bet rather than jumping online and throwing hate. More their reaction to finding someone to blame for the losing bet. Trainer program and jockey. I think you’ve nailed it. Low draw in a big field for a horse with a midfield to OM settling pattern is always a risk

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@ringsting201 And she went 8L slower first 600m that day than she did in the Golden Eagle. Great insight from a man pretending to be another man on the internet

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

The only thing worse is losing punters blaming everyone but themselves. The ‘he rode her for luck’ comments are laughable. As Ive already said he rode her to her usual pattern. They’re not motorbikes where you can jump put them where you like. If they could all be given a squeeze out of the gates they would. Her history suggests she needs to settle. The only people criticising are the ones that have no idea I’m sorry.

[Dustin Spriggs @DustinSpriggs4]

@brian5491 She settled 5/9 in the Armanasco. No idea Brian