ECFR European Power

@ecfr European Power programme | Ideas and analysis on Europe’s foreign policy, geoeconomics, political cohesion

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

❗️ New study 📚

The changed Germany would want to pay less into the EU, demand more in return and favour its own industry, write @JeremyCliffe, @jana_puglierin, @mehrer_angela and @PiotrBuras1
https://t.co/u0GAZF75pj

[Jeremy Cliffe @JeremyCliffe]

German politics is in flux: more volatile, more fragmented, and AfD now polling far ahead of any other party.

@jana_puglierin, @PiotrBuras1, @mehrer_angela & I have written a new @ECFR paper exploring what this means for 🇩🇪 's EU and foreign policy ⬇️

https://t.co/AxFGGWfzWk

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

@JeremyCliffe @jana_puglierin @PiotrBuras1 @mehrer_angela 4/4 That adjustment could ultimately make Europe stronger.

Reducing the EU’s long-standing dependence on German leadership could create a more flexible system, with more countries able to build coalitions and move European policy forward.

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

1/4 The AfD does not need to enter government to change Germany.

Political volatility, economic stagnation and the party’s growing influence are already pushing Berlin towards a more inward-looking politics. 🧵
https://t.co/u0GAZF75pj

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

3/4 Europe should therefore prepare for a Germany that is harder to rely on, write @JeremyCliffe, @jana_puglierin, @PiotrBuras1 and @mehrer_angela

The aim should still be to keep Berlin engaged, but other governments also need stronger coalitions that can act when Germany won't.

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

To remain competitive on their own terms, mainstream parties will have to demonstrate that they, too, have a vision for giving vulnerable citizens control over their future 👇️
https://t.co/UtEriiIeCK

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

@PiotrBuras1 will chair the discussion and will be joined by @ChassNews, @jana_puglierin and @andreasroedder.

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

❗️ Join us tomorrow
🗓️ 11 November, 10:00

As nationalist and Eurosceptic forces gain ground and Germany’s political debate becomes increasingly inward-looking, the implications extend beyond Berlin. How?

Register to our webinar to find out 👇️
https://t.co/PmO3OqoFix

[ECFR @ecfr]

📆 11/11 at 10:00am CET

Can Europe still count on Berlin? This webinar marks the launch of a new policy brief by ECFR’s New Politics Project, which explores how Germany’s changing political landscape is influencing its geopolitical outlook, European commitments, and international role. @ECFRPower

Register and join us! 👇 https://t.co/7m4oSKEwv3

[ECFR Berlin @ECFRBerlin]

Deutschland first? Der zunehmende Erfolg der AfD verändert Deutschland und die Art und Weise, wie seine europäischen Partner mit Berlin sprechen müssen. @PiotrBuras1, @jana_puglierin, @JeremyCliffe und @mehrer_angela entwerfen ein Szenario für 2029
https://t.co/EH1dgaM0MY

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

https://t.co/ulSmqVHhbW

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

New policy brief by @JeremyCliffe, @jana_puglierin, @mehrer_angela and @PiotrBuras1

[ECFR @ecfr]

Polling suggests the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party could well become the largest party in the Bundestag in 2029.

ECFR's new policy brief analyses how domestic political travails – a more fragmented and volatile party system, rise of the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) and economic stagnation – can shape Germany’s foreign and EU policy in the upcoming years. https://t.co/pnOP1vwbfx

[Jeremy Cliffe @JeremyCliffe]

Some thoughts of mine in @el_pais on what a weakened Trump means for Europe's radical right ⬇️

https://t.co/aYDd07Vb2Z

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

@PiotrBuras1 For more, read the full article 👇️
https://t.co/5h3BlRXnzU

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

It is imperative to restore the public legitimacy of the Constitutional Tribunal. Ultimately, it must mean phasing out the current tribunal and establishing a new one, based on new, commonly agreed rules, writes @PiotrBuras1.

[ECFR @ecfr]

Replacing the court based on new, commonly agreed rules is the only way to secure support from across a divided Polish society. @ECFRPower https://t.co/gtMBT1pTyd

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

4/4 The bigger idea goes beyond Canada, writes @IlkeToygur.

As the old international order fragments, the EU can help build networks of trusted partners around shared interests, from security and climate to supply chains.

Canada could be the first model of this.

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

1/4 The EU-Canada relationship is becoming a test case for something bigger.

Rather than getting stuck on the label of “associate membership”, Europe should use the partnership to build a new kind of global community. 🧵
https://t.co/Z2FnpAEtYk
#ECFRPowerExplains

[ECFR European Power @ECFRPower]

3/4 Much of the architecture already exists: trade ties, a Strategic Partnership Agreement, defence cooperation, Horizon Europe and growing links on digital trade, research and mobility.

The next step is to connect these pieces into a deeper, more practical partnership.