~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔

Dad, Husband, 🐕 Owner, Economist. Hobbies: iOS Development, Photography. Lover of Geeky Things

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

I’m excited to announce the launch of my latest app:. TeX Anywhere - create & share LaTeX equations. If you commonly use math to communicate and own an iPhone or iPad, this app can help you.

TeX Anywhere by Erik Heitfield https://t.co/bNaBTQPed2

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@JosephPolitano I don’t want to go too far in defending Nate, but I think the “new information” here is the fact that KH’s strongish polling numbers did not fade a few weeks after the convention as history suggests they might have. So while the polls were fairly stable we learned something new.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@NowRounding3rd @franklinisbored @NateSilver538 Yes. Exactly.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@Doc_Courtney I think the real issue with these is with replicability. Code is self-documenting and can be reviewed ex post. Whenever I’m forced to use a GUI, I’m always thinking, “what if I click the wrong radio button? Would I even know if I did?”

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@Papapishu I had one of these in college. It is exactly as dangerous as it looks.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@DrewLinzer @5_utr @benlauderdale But surely a Gamma distribution would make more sense Why would you place the mode of the prior at zero?

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@wombat_ee @MinorHeretic While most people might not care about externalities (or are at least happy not to pay their share) public utility commissions absolutely should care.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@wombat_ee @MinorHeretic Since a carbon tax is 1st best, we’re in the world of 2nd bests here. Are social inefficiencies from paying above marginal cost for solar > failing to price in externalities from fossil? Some subsidy for solar (or tax on fossil) seems better than none but magnitudes matter.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@jdalrymple Me: “Hey Siri tell me today’s headlines”
Siri: “Now playing ‘The News’ radio on Pandora”
M: “no Siri. Stop”
S: “I have nothing to stop”
M: “Switch news to NPR”
S: “okay I’ve changed my news feed to NPR”
M: “tell me today’s headlines.”
S: “now playing Natalie Merchant radio…”

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@jdalrymple My daughter yesterday: “I got woken up early this morning because Dad was arguing with Siri again.”

It’s true. I was.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@nonoumenon @BretDevereaux I mean, US was a big country and Americans had many views about whether/how to support the Allies before PH (just as now with Ukraine). Many would have liked to enter the war sooner (certainly FDR was one), some volunteered to fight for UK, voted for Lend Lease Act, etc.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@HPizka @missfacto @Rainmaker1973 Seems like “same place” here is ambiguous. It depends on your reference frame. And the whole idea of relativity is that there is no one frame that we can all agree on.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@SadlyTemporary @nikicaga I’m no architect or geologist but my understanding is that it’s not practical to build piers to bedrock in that part of the city. But if you know differently I’m happy to be corrected.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@bai84319 @solvay_1927 @Noahpinion @_n10v It doesn’t exclude real estate. That’s captured through imputed rent. I think you’re probably right that it excludes life insurance since that would likely be viewed as savings/investment rather than consumption.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@bai84319 @solvay_1927 @Noahpinion @_n10v Okay, what’s your definition of “real” inflation? I suppose you mean that one’s consumption weights surely will be different from those in the CPI? But why do you think CPI will be biased downward rather than upward for typical retired person?

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@bai84319 @solvay_1927 @Noahpinion @_n10v TIPS principal is inflation indexed. If you hold them to maturity they literally cannot pay less than inflation.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@ElmarMoelzer @GlobalistYT @balintte @StefanHirtz @Goldfisch929 @energybants @Dr_Keefer I am bored so I did the math. You pay someone $50k/yr forever. Given a discount rate of 1% (far lower than the current risk-free rate of about 5%) the present value is $5 million. I’m pretty sure this is something a typical utility could afford.

[~/𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚔 @EHeitfield]

@babycosette @wdbwotvbiwwwts @CartoonsHateHer Yes. Lots of people can’t ride bikes. Also lots of people who can ride or walk can’t drive cars. Privileging cars over bikes and public transport because bikes are somehow “ableist” is absurdly myopic and ignores people like me.