Latest headline via @MRKT_AI
— IRAN GAVE U.S. A NEW PROPOSAL FOR REACHING A DEAL ON REOPENING OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND LIFTING NAVAL BLOCKADE FIRST, AND POSTPONING NUCLEAR NEGOTIATIONS FOR A LATER STAGE - AXIOS REPORTER ON X
Recently credibility has been everything. Too many "great deals" headlines that fail to materialize while the physical reality remains at a stalemate.
Personally, I want to see physical confirmations:
• U.S.S. carriers returning (1 by 1)
• Announcements by Iran of Strait of Hormuz reopening • Iranian leaders shifting focus, not just short-term maritime solutions
Trump on Iran: "Not yet paid a big enough price."
While the markets waited for a review, headlines signaled the Ego of an Empire wouldn't budge. I used that physical reality to anticipate the technical repetition back to the 4,500s.
Scaled in post China open as predicted.
+$4,000 to start the month.
If you aren't using @MRKT_AI to filter the noise, you're trading with a blindfold.
5K on the day of Phase 2 | De-escalation of Fear
Shared the full thought process and scenario analysis over the weekend.
@MRKT_AI keeps me sharp and two steps ahead
This current situation is stickier.
Rates are already at the higher end of neutral; we are not re-entering ZIRP.
Fighting inflation above the 2% target with regular bounces.
Energy crisis lingering, hurting manufacturers and services, passed to consumers.
Tariffs are likely the next inflationary wildcard the Feds must assess.
The Fed "higher for longer" narrative will surpass expectations once the short-term greed from entering Phase 2 fades.
Phase 2 Equivalent: De-escalation of fear (monetary de-escalation, not geopolitical).
Fear → Opportunity.
Risk premium compresses.
Gold/Equities correlation shows risk-on sentiment (moves together).
Inflation hadn't fully tamed yet, but was trickling down and Feds were well above the neutral rate territory.
3 AM in the lab. 🧪
Correlation Inversion Thesis: (USD and Gold move up together in Phase 4)
A thread on why the current market regime is shifting and how I'm navigating the four phases of the "Stickier" reality.
Last week of Q1 setting the tone for Q2.
$12K in five days.
Personally, I've had so much growth and changes throughout Q1.
Q2 is all about consistency, intensity and moving with purpose. Locked in
It sounds so simple because it is.
People really overcomplicate trading.
They’ll be like “there’s a surge in the vol on the VIX and the neckline of SPY is inverse and we’re gonna see an upside down top during AH and go down EOD”.
Dude, the shit will either go up or down.
I day traded $TSLA on Thursday and left over $100K on the table by selling early.
I wanna talk about ways to handle leaving money on the table to be a consistently profitable in the long run.
Time for a thread 👇
GBPJPY 11.04.21
Continuation sells below 154.200 ran following corrective bearish structure adapting to BOE holding rates and commenting on potential downside risk keeping UK in an accommodative state with stimulus active bringing GBP weakness.
Concept taught by @Capital_Hungry
GBPJPY 11.02.21 INTRADAY ANALYSIS
Continuation below 155.500 played out following bearish corrective market structure to intraday lows for 30 to 60 pips.
Information shared on the Monday Market Analysis on CH YouTube.
Concepts all taught by @Capital_Hungry#GBPJPY#Forex