European Parliament vote in Strasbourg to approve (or not) the @EU_Commission president nomination @vonderleyen currently slated for Tuesday 16th July at 11.30am
Wahl des/der EU-Parlamentspräsidenten/in: Ergebnis des 1. Wahlgangs ↓↓↓
Keine Kandidatin/kein Kandidat hat die notwendige absolute Mehrheit der Stimmen erhalten. Der 2. Wahlgang startet um 11.40 Uhr.
LIVE hier: https://t.co/VJb2hHQdqm
Today I allow myself an 'I told you so'-post:
Contrary to media hype, as far back as Nov 2018 @FelixSchenuit + I calmly analysed that:
- EPP & S&D would lose their overall majority
- BUT: Anti-EU forces wd not rise significantly and split in 2 groups:
https://t.co/5Kx1Ny9DTv
Regarding the #turnout in the #EUelections2019. In 13 of the 28 Member States, turnout has fallen or increased by max. 2%. The big pan-European rise comes from the great results in populous member states (Spain, Poland, Romania, Germany).
First final results are now available for 10 countries, together with estimates for the other 18 member states here's POLITICO's updated seat projection:
EPP 178
S&D 153
ALDE+Renaissance 109
Salvini's alliance 67
Greens-EFA 64
ECR 60
5Star+Brexit 42
GUE/NGL 40
NEW+NI 38
#EP2019
Those who see the Greens as kingmakers and alternative to ALDE will be up for surprise
ALDE is tied with the EPP for largest group in the Eur Council while no Green Party (yet) heads a government. Greens will be important for majorities in EP, but less so for the Com President
EU28: We are continuously updating our projection for the European Parliament. The centre-right EPP is at least 10 seats ahead of the centre-left S&D - even if Fidesz leaves EPP and PSD remains part of S&D. #EP2019#EUelections2019
Follow live here: https://t.co/JaP0MTYOBR
What I am seeing from these really great Green results in Western Europe is less of a "Green Wave" and more of a polarisation .. it's like a Green Tsunami in west, and Green Desert in east (which is similar to my original point, though admittedly Greens outperforming polls).
That's a disaster for EPP and Republicans in France. They are on track for 7 seats. Barely ahead of Socialists on 5. Greens: however, drum roll, should 10 #EUelections2019
I disagree with FT assessment that Austria's Freedom Party was not hurt by #Ibizagate#StracheVideos - their exist poll result is 17.5%, down from 23% poll results for several months before the video. #EUelections2019
Now how fascinating and great for European democracy would it be if we had transnational lists and thus a direct competition between Europarties? #EP2019.
. @akk says that if EPP is strongest Party at the end of the night, Manfred Weber should become Commission president.
In every scenario where Weber does not get the job, the CDU and AKK will need a pretty good story why this was not possible.