Olivia
Online
EV Card | Data-Backed Picks
@EVCardPicks
Data analyst & programmer with industry experience. Sharing transparent MLB HR +EV insights. Never selling picks β just spreading knowledge & process. π
Boston, MA
Joined October 2010
670 Following
830 Followers
5.3K Posts
Β Pinned Tweet
5/10 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with strong price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Francisco Alvarez +575 (14.9% EV)
β’ Rafael Devers +600 (13.0% EV)
β’ Ryan McMahon +600 (8.5% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@HomeRunPredict Slate heating up β ATL@LAD (2.7) and HOU@CIN (2.6) stand out big time.
Got 4 strong edges on my open board in that ATL/LAD spot alone.
Full 5/10 +EV board posted earlier. Letβs see some big flies tonight π₯
5/10 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with strong price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Francisco Alvarez +575 (14.9% EV)
β’ Rafael Devers +600 (13.0% EV)
β’ Ryan McMahon +600 (8.5% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@MLBHR Jake Bauers cashed +575 (12.5% EV) off the 5/9 board π₯
Another one from the open +EV list.
Full board still posted. Letβs keep rolling π₯
5/9 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with strong price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Fernando Tatis Jr. +600 (15.7% EV)
β’ Cody Bellinger +600 (12.0% EV)
β’ Joc Pederson +600 (12.9% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
π¨ NEAR HOME RUN! π¨
Adrian Del Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks)
vs Clay Holmes (New York Mets)
π¨ 99.8 mph
π 27.0Β°
π 391.0 ft
π Bot 2 inning
ποΈ Chase Field
Would be a HR in 19/30 ballparks! Result: Double
@gneiffer07 @ActionApp Solid run lately β the dingers keep coming π₯
My full 5/9 open +EV board is posted with model pricing vs consensus if you ever want to cross-reference spots.
More bombs on the way.
5/9 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with strong price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Fernando Tatis Jr. +600 (15.7% EV)
β’ Cody Bellinger +600 (12.0% EV)
β’ Joc Pederson +600 (12.9% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
5/9 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with strong price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Fernando Tatis Jr. +600 (15.7% EV)
β’ Cody Bellinger +600 (12.0% EV)
β’ Joc Pederson +600 (12.9% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
5/8 Recap β
3-15 | +4.72u π° | +35.7% ROI on the day
Solid day from the open +EV board.
Season now +32.05u at +5.7% ROI.
Process keeps printing. Full boards and tracking daily. π
5/8 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Adley Rutschman +550 (13.0% EV)
β’ Trevor Story +700 (12.3% EV)
β’ Wilyer Abreu +550 (13.0% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
π¨ NEAR HOME RUN! π¨
Rhys Hoskins (Cleveland Guardians)
vs Eric Orze (Minnesota Twins)
π¨ 96.3 mph
π 29.0Β°
π 359.0 ft
π Bot 7 inning
ποΈ Progressive Field
Would be a HR in 2/30 ballparks! Result: Flyout
@MLBHR Adley Rutschman cashed +550 (13.0% EV) β 3rd off the 5/8 board π₯
Process cooking today.
Full +EV board still up. Letβs keep it going π₯
5/8 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Adley Rutschman +550 (13.0% EV)
β’ Trevor Story +700 (12.3% EV)
β’ Wilyer Abreu +550 (13.0% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@MLBHR Tyler Freeman cashed +1200 (23.8% EV) off the board π₯
Big one from the 5/8 open +EV list.
Full board still posted. Letβs keep stacking π₯
5/8 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Adley Rutschman +550 (13.0% EV)
β’ Trevor Story +700 (12.3% EV)
β’ Wilyer Abreu +550 (13.0% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@MLBHR Wilyer Abreu cashed +550 (13.0% EV) off the board π₯
Another one from the 5/8 open +EV list.
Full board still up if youβre tailing the rest. Letβs keep it rolling π₯
5/8 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Adley Rutschman +550 (13.0% EV)
β’ Trevor Story +700 (12.3% EV)
β’ Wilyer Abreu +550 (13.0% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@HomeRunPredict Great slate β 2.7 HR/game environments in ATH@BAL and HOU@CIN are spicy.
My open board has Adley Rutschman +550 and Jeremiah Jackson +600 in that BAL spot. Also like a couple other edges in the strong parks.
Full +EV board posted earlier. Letβs see some big flies tonight π₯
5/8 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Adley Rutschman +550 (13.0% EV)
β’ Trevor Story +700 (12.3% EV)
β’ Wilyer Abreu +550 (13.0% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@MLBHR @gneiffer07 Slate heating up.
No direct crossover with my open +EV board today, but a few of my model spots are still sitting at nice prices.
Full board posted earlier β always transparent process. Letβs see some bombs tonight π₯
5/8 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Adley Rutschman +550 (13.0% EV)
β’ Trevor Story +700 (12.3% EV)
β’ Wilyer Abreu +550 (13.0% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
5/8 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Adley Rutschman +550 (13.0% EV)
β’ Trevor Story +700 (12.3% EV)
β’ Wilyer Abreu +550 (13.0% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@MLBHR Liam Hicks cashed +1000 (10.0% EV) from the board today π₯
Full 5/7 +EV board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
5/7 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Roman Anthony +700 (14.3% EV)
β’ Alec Bohm +1040 (14.0% EV)
β’ Evan Carter +900 (11.1% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
5/7 Top 10 Most Likely to HR
Consensus probabilities with best available +EV pricing.
Standouts:
β’ Aaron Judge +215
β’ Juan Soto +295 (8.22% EV)
β’ Kyle Schwarber +270 (7.25% EV)
Full Top 10 attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@HomeRunPredict Strong weather slate today π₯
My board has edges in a few of those boosted environments (especially TEX @ NYY and CIN @ CHC).
Full 5/7 +EV board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
https://t.co/d0Bqz9e5mg
5/7 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Roman Anthony +700 (14.3% EV)
β’ Alec Bohm +1040 (14.0% EV)
β’ Evan Carter +900 (11.1% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
@MLBHR @gneiffer07 @ScoresOdds The heater keeps rolling π₯
No direct crossover with those three today, but my board has some solid +EV spots loaded for the slate.
Full 5/7 +EV board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
5/7 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Roman Anthony +700 (14.3% EV)
β’ Alec Bohm +1040 (14.0% EV)
β’ Evan Carter +900 (11.1% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
5/7 Daily +EV HR Board
Model-screened spots with clear price dislocations vs consensus.
Standouts:
β’ Roman Anthony +700 (14.3% EV)
β’ Alec Bohm +1040 (14.0% EV)
β’ Evan Carter +900 (11.1% EV)
Full board attached.
Daily +EV boards every morning. π
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