Olivia
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EVplusAI
@EVplusAI
Dev @DegenApe99
$EVP
Joined March 2023
52 Following
9.7K Followers
6.4K Posts
Pinned Tweet
https://t.co/2mwfdnSv2d
It ain't much but honest work
$EVP
Quick update on @EVplusAI
Our most successful launch so far is the $PAPER bot. We didn't just farm the token, we made real profit: ~$240k and 6.5M tokens, plus 20k+ in staking yield.
The second-best, and the hardest, is Polymarket. The field is very competitive and liquidity is thin. Still, we're holding our own, and V2 now makes steady profit for users.
The third, and the shortest-lived, is the onchain LP bot farming @fablesfi. It did well: capital is down ~10% from impermanent loss, but we ended up with more ETH, and the $FABLE yield was ~20% in just 2 weeks.
Launches that didn't make it:
- Polymarket trading terminal: looked easy at first, but it was too much for a one-Dev team, so I dropped it.
- Robinhood copy trade + swap + terminal + EVPlus wallet: good in theory, but hard to market, and there's no moat.
In the AI era it's easy to make mistakes, but also easy to redo and refocus. So I'm winding the bad to focus on what matters.
What this means for you:
- Swap, Copy trading, Fable and the Telegram bot close on 20 November 2026.
- Your funds are yours. Withdraw them or export your wallet key before then.
Also ~15k USD were used to buy back $EVP
Total 22m $EVP bought back with 10k USD spent.
Around 20% ROI after 2 weeks, not too bad
Bought back 11m $EVP from the operation of FABLE farming
Target is to get in top 100 before $FABLE TGE.
You can now use @EVplusAI to trade on @Outcomexyz
Market: BTC/ETH/HYPE Up or Down 15m
The bot runs only 3 strategies: Endgame + Sub Cents + HFT
Result in testing is quite ok, but the liquidity is a little too thin.
You can also get a share of their 1M liquidity reward.
Could also be a boost for "hidden" Hyperliquid SS3 (Lmao)
A 5m Bitcoin Up or Down market is a coin flip on paper. Before it opens, nobody knows the output, so Up and Down trade on opinion, not information.
1. Prices & Probability
On Polymarket a share pays $1 if its side wins and $0 if it loses.
A price of 50¢ means the market thinks that side has about a 50% chance. If a side's real chance is higher than the price you pay, the bet has positive @EVplusAI
Pay 50¢ for something that wins 55% of the time and you expect about 5¢ of profit per share (55¢ back on 50¢ paid) over many tries, while any single try can still go to zero.
A small edge.
2. What Premarket Value Buy does
It buys before the market starts when it spots the edge, the bigger it is, the higher price this strategy is willing to pay.
Self-adjusted based on market condition.
3. Streaks are normal
A small edge is invisible over a handful of trades.
Take a bettor who wins 55% of even-money bets. Over 100 bets there's roughly a 65% chance of at least one run of 5 losses in a row, and about a 92% chance of a run of 4.
That's the day you start doubting everything, and it says almost nothing about the edge.
Only the long run does.
The app says it plainly: "Profit and loss swing hard, so make sure you can handle the swings."
Not financial advice.
@worldfallinwepr Let 's cook
Purely based on the 40 robinhood:0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277 to 1 $FABLE ratio, we can estimate the FDV at launch around 230m
A little too high, but then market is weird sometime.
With minimum 45m token allocating for points, it converts to 10m airdrop, or $0.007/pts
We discount it 30% and take $0.005/pts as our bear case.
With no team/investor unlocking at TGE, the circulating market cap would be around 15m-25m USD, not too high for a 38m TVL and ~3B volume
The idea of EVPlus Strategy is to provide liquidity is a very tight range, to get the highest capital efficiency and earn as much fee and points as possible in 2 weeks time.
We will get IL (Impermanent Loss), that is a part of the game. Sometime fee can offset it, sometime not. The tighter the range, the more IL we would get.
However, the main target is Fable token, and based on the calculation above, it would yield around 20%-40% ROI in just 2 weeks.
The ROI can be even bigger if you choose to lock your token (veFable style), but bear the risk of future supply.
NFA
Only ~360M @fablesfi points left (1.14B emitted) 🧐
11 more days till TGE
@EVplusAI 's own Fable wallet: 291,010 points, rank #534 of 15,828, after 2.5 days on the Tight Bot.
How you start:
1. Sign in with email and create a Fable wallet
2. Fund it with ETH on Robinhood chain. 0.02 ETH stays for gas.
3. Enter how much to deposit, review it, start the bot when a spot opens.
Costs: Around $4.8 a day
Bot spots are limited and shared by everyone.
Fees aren't profit, impermanent loss is real, returns aren't guaranteed.
https://t.co/csNrccJrqB
@DegenApe99 Math it is.
Too many strategies to choose?
- You can just select all.
- Or just follow the public wallet.
NFA
We just shipped Track Record. It shows @EVplusAI 's own bots trading real money on Polymarket, broken down by strategy.
One headline number hides how each strategy actually behaves, so we split it out.
Win rate alone can mislead. Over the last 7 days Premarket Value Buy won 67% of its markets and made +$2,994. No Hit won 92% and finished at −$306.
A high win rate with a lopsided payoff can still lose money, and a lower win rate with a few big winners can carry the whole book.
You need profit, win rate and volume side by side to read it properly.
The time window matters as well. 24 hours is mostly noise and 7 days starts to show a pattern. Over 30 days (10,003 settled markets) you see how a strategy really behaves, drawdowns included.
The page counts settled markets only, with profit after Polymarket fees and the 0.01% builder fee, rebates included. Bot running credits are not part of it. Open positions show up once they resolve.
Every trade is public and links to Polymarket, so you can check it yourself.
Compounding small wins overtime.
How "will BTC dip to $X?" markets are priced on @Polymarket , and why @EVplusAI No Hit exists?
1. The market:
Every one of these markets is really a question about one number: the probability that price touches a level before the deadline.
That probability depends on how far the level is, how volatile the asset is, and how much time is left.
A level that looks far away can be close on a fast day, and much further on a slow one.
So the No side has a fair value: 1 minus the touch probability. No Hit works out its own fair price for No and buys only at a discount, on calm markets.
2. The Edge:
Where does the discount come from?
We all know the order book isn't perfect. Many traders each reach their own conclusion about the fair price, and the book is just where those opinions meet. A few reasons No can trade below what it's worth:
• Longshot bias: people love paying up for the dramatic outcome ("what if it crashes?"). That pushes Yes too high and No too low.
• Capital lock-up: tying up 98¢ to make 1–2¢ isn't exciting, so fewer buyers compete for No.
• Someone needs out: a trader closing a position will sell No below fair just to get filled.
• Slow updates: when the market goes quiet, quotes priced for yesterday's volatility can linger.
Each of these is small.
That's the point: small, repeatable mispricings are exactly what a bot is built to look for.
3. The Risk:
Now the part most people skip, which is also math. Buying No at 98.4¢ means you make 1.6¢ when you're right and lose 98.4¢ when you're wrong. Break-even is being right more than 98.4% of the time. One miss erases about 61 wins.
That's a negatively skewed payoff, the same shape as selling deep OTM options: steady small gains, rare large losses. Spreading across levels and assets smooths the ride, until a sharp move drags BTC and ETH down together.
Not risk-free. Not financial advice.
Only ~400M @fablesfi points left (1.10B emitted) 👀
12 more days till TGE
How you start:
1. Sign in with email and create a Fable wallet
2. Fund it with ETH on Robinhood chain. 0.02 ETH stays for gas.
3. Enter how much to deposit, review it, start the bot.
Costs: Around $4.8 each day if using my ref link.
7/20 spot filled, only 13 left.
Fees aren't profit; returns aren't guaranteed.
A little buggy but at least it can only improve from here.
Building a trading bot is easy. It's just math:
Same inputs, same rules, same output.
Building a terminal for humans is hard:
People double-tap Buy, switch networks mid-quote, close the tab mid-swap.
Bots are math. Terminals are people. We build both. @EVplusAI
My dinner is upgraded from ramen to steak after this trade.
How Confirmed Hit - EVSnipe @EVplusAI works (and why it's the boring strategy)
Most Polymarket traders try to call where price goes next. Confirmed Hit doesn't call anything.
1. The markets:
Polymarket runs longer-dated crypto price markets: "Will BTC reach $X this month?", "Will SOL dip to $Y in October?"
They're touch markets. If price touches the level once, at any point in the window, the market settles Yes, even if price bounces straight back a minute later.
2. The gap:
After a touch, the answer is locked in. The order book doesn't update itself, though. Sell orders placed hours or days earlier are still sitting there, from traders who are asleep, busy, or watching a different chart.
3. What Confirmed Hit does:
The bot watches Binance. It only buys after Binance prints the touch, and only the side that touch just locked in, while it's still priced under $1.
No touch, no trade. No opinion on direction.
4. Coverage:
The longer-dated price markets on all 7 coins: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB, HYPE.
5. The trade-off:
It rarely fills. It needs a level to break and leftover sell orders, and other bots want them too. The upside per share is small, so it adds up over many markets, not one.
NFA!
2 weeks left to farm @fablesfi 's point
500m points / 1.5b total.
Short enough for some quick farms, with EVPlus bot.
Estimating $0.005–$0.01 per pts.
https://t.co/AMf6uLY7TL
TRUST → $EVP migration update
One month in, 66% of TRUST has migrated to EVP, and new migrations have slowed down.
To fund the EVP Treasury, we're moving the liquidity out of the TRUST/VIRTUAL pool.
To protect TRUST holders, we took a snapshot on 3 Oct 2026 at 06:25:57 UTC (Base block 52,109,705):
• Every wallet that held at least 10,000 TRUST at the snapshot can migrate at a fixed 1 TRUST = 0.5 EVP, up to its snapshot balance.
• TRUST bought after the snapshot doesn't count.
• The migration stays open until 5 Dec 2026, 23:59 UTC.
Migrate here: https://t.co/RQSz9Yz06G
Every Treasury action will be transparent and public.
We'll share each transaction on-chain.
https://t.co/OVUmtJ74nn
Second step is done, @EVplusAI 's hook is now live on @KyberNetwork
Our first pool: ETH/USDG on Robinhood Chain.
Dynamic fee
• The fee follows the market: higher when ETH is volatile, lower when it's calm
• Built to out-earn a static 0.01% pool
• No deposit/withdraw fee
• Platform takes 10% cut from fee claim, will be used to buy back $EVP
Auto-rebalancing bot (shipping soon)
• Daily: a wider range sized from market odds for the day's likely price band
• Tiny: a tight range that earns more while the price stays close
• Shock guard: reacts to sharp ETH moves on major exchanges in ms
• No rebalance fee
Quick update on what I'm building for @EVplusAI:
→ Soft-testing the crypto bot on @predictdotfun and @Outcomexyz
→ The Polymarket bot has done pretty well over the last 30 days
→ Working on a stable version of the onchain terminal. Multi-chain trading takes real work to build, but it'll pay off long term
→ Also building out the LP strategy. The hook has been approved by Uniswap, and the Kyberswap whitelist should come soon.
$EVP
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