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[Neil Woodfine @nwoodfine]

Bitcoin's four-year cycles seem to be an *inevitable* byproduct of 1. Mechanical changes in the bitcoin market, 2. Human psychology.

Every bull run happens because people anticipate that if demand remains constant and supply halves, then price will go up.

People that act earlier on this are more likely to have conviction in bitcoin and patience in waiting for it to succeed. People that act later on this are more likely to have no conviction in bitcoin and no patience.

As the price climbs higher, you get more and more uncommitted people, with each entrant even less committed than the last, so when the price stalls, the least committed pull the cord immediately, and they cause a cascading failure through each level of “commitedness” as they all try to minimise their losses.

The drawdowns are so brutal, that even many of the committed start liquidating, some in fear and some opportunistically to buy back lower.

It’s all completely inevitable, baked into the psychology of buying a fast appreciating new monetary asset. The massive drawdowns are not going to end until the massive price runups end.

Even during the supercycle—the death of fiat, the moment of hyperbitcoinisation—there will be a period where the purchasing power of bitcoin vastly exceeds its fair value, and people are selling assets way below their value just to get their hands on bitcoin, because no one wants USD or other fiat any more. Eventually bitcoin’s purchasing power will settle and they’ll regret the decision, but it’s inevitable that some people will do this.

Bitcoin's four-year cycles are here to stay while, 1. bitcoin is getting globally monetised and goes through aggressive price discovery, and 2. the halvening supply shocks are still relevant (the halvenings’ relevance to stock-to-flow diminish over time, eventually their effects on the “flow” will be so minimal that there’s no reason that any cycles would revolve around them).

Institutions are not immune to the market psychology that accompanies bitcoin's market cycles—if anything, thanks to their rule by committee and moral hazard ("other people's money") they'll probably be even worse than retail. They'll increasingly pile in and eventually panic along with the rest of the market. Perhaps even worse.

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@cryptonews #hopium

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@TheCryptoLark Invested a lot in UST and also Luna then Do Kwon collapsed. So I’m sticking with the big 3 this cycle. Lost sooooo much

[Cryptonews.com @cryptonews]

📊📈 Solana Price Prediction as SOL Dips 6.5% to $66 – Can SOL Regain Its All-Time High?

The Solana price has dipped by 6.5% today, as traders take profits following a bullish couple of weeks for the altcoin.

#CryptoNews #news
https://t.co/R37j9vJred

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@Davincij15 #Solana

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

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[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@Idonotconsent6 No correlation, all your tweet highlights is how smarmy you are

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

Spot on, understand that there are people controlling things behind the scenes and we are best controlled when we are divided

[Morgana 🌸💪 @Morcia]

It’s funny how division works.

Pro-vaxxers & anti-vaxxers

Israel & Palestine

Just stop oil & climate change ‘deniers’..

We’re being played like pawns in this global game of chess. Meanwhile, a group of out-of-shape billionaires are sat around a board table laughing.

I don’t like chess. And I don’t like board tables.

THINK for yourselves!!

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

2025 is probably where it is at

[Layah Heilpern @LayahHeilpern]

#Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2024:

Tim Draper: $250k
Adam Back: $100k
Tom Lee: $180,000
JP Morgan: $45,000
Arthur Hayes: $70,000
Robert Kiyosaki: $100k
Cathie Wood: $1 million
Mike Novogratz: $500k
Pantera Capital: $148,000
Standard Chartered: $120k

Layah Heilpern: $75,000

[PeterSweden @PeterSweden7]

The next thing will be climate lockdowns.

▪️15 minute cities.
▪️Net Zero agenda.
▪️Agenda 2030.

In Britain they are already working on a new law that can fine people £15 000 or 1 year in prison if they don't reduce their energy consumption.

We are seeing Climate Communism.

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@andreajmew @LayahHeilpern And GMO, Monsanto and what they are doing to food supply

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

Pyramid Scheme Fraud: How People Fall Into Fraudulent Pyramid Schemes | Earn From Your Laptop #pyramidscheme https://t.co/8HyOz69CRq

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

Did Elon Musk change the Twitter Bird to an X Logo?

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@cryptonews What is your basis to speculate SOL could reach US$1,000? Just because of Solang or what?

[Keyur Rohit @CryptoKingKeyur]

🚨 BREAKING: 🇬🇧 UK FCA SHUTS DOWN 26 #CRYPTO ATMs 😳

You won't BELIEVE what they found 😱

A thread 🧵

[Jason Pizzino 🌞 @jasonpizzino]

#Bitcoin Has Never Seen A REAL Collapsing US Dollar: This Is The First Time in #Crypto History! 🔥

(This could be a collapse of more than 30%)

https://t.co/XwoNPHc6OW

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@cryptomanran Why not? Can you explain why?

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@Nebraskangooner SOL on a steep rise!!

[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

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[Earn From Your Laptop 💻💰 @EarnLaptop]

@milesdeutscher Thanks Miles! I appreciate you sharing. I’m around 92% BTC/ETH with SOL around 5%