Igor Tereshchenkov

Professional forecasts, analytics and trading under the Elliott Wave Principle (EN), (RU)

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

Один дома: Хрюкостяг. Русская версия.

Сюжет:

Батю отправили в Магадан, семья уехала в Америку за лучшей жизнью, брат скитается в КНДР. Ребенок становится беспризорником, остаётся один с разными взрослыми игрушками.

Видя отсутствие взрослых, соседи, у которых ранее забрали земельный участок, решают отомстить – делают всякие гадости. Например, отправляют беспилотники, что приводит к неприятным последствиям.

Ребёнку нужно преодолеть свои страхи и подобрать верный код к радиостанции УВБ-76, чтобы по ошибке не уничтожить весь город. В этом деле ему будут помогать кореша бати, солдаты неудачи, любители шпилей – Петров и Баширов.

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

Представь лицо подводника, которого заставили куда-то плыть из-за икса Медведева

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

Если вам звонит Трамп и грозит тарифами и пошлинами - это телефонный мошенник.

Проверочный вопрос: чья Гренландия?

После него мошенник начинает истерику и бросает трубку.

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

@DeptofDefense По приезде в Берлин Штирлиц оборачивался в советский флаг, в таком виде ходил по улицам и пел калинку-малинку. Никогда еще Штирлиц не был так близок к провалу...

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#VW
Timeframe: 2D

The decline of the electric car trend and VW stocks.

The consumer characteristics of electric vehicles don’t match classic internal combustion engine cars, so electric cars will remain toys for majors and geeks for a long time to come, but not a means of transport for the majority.

Recently on one of the Portuguese news portals I found a study confirming this thesis: The authoritative McKinsey agency states that in a number of countries, including the USA, Australia and Brazil, users of electric cars in almost half of cases don’t plan to buy an electric car again. I’ll attach the PDF’s in English to the post below. I don’t know of any other product that has a 30% dissatisfaction rate on a global average.

But Volkswagen (the one that also makes Porsche, Audi, Seat and all sorts of Lamborghini) didn’t think so and invested in the EV trend across the board.

Western media reports that Volkswagen automobile group is planning to close 2 of its plants in Germany. In addition, the company is losing the Chinese market, where it used to make half of its profits. Sales in China for the first half of 2024: -20%.

The result of bad analytics is the collapse of the engine of the European economy, the automotive industry. This collapse will, of course, drag down all other sectors too, in time. But it’s already evident that Europe is suffering the most from the trade war and sanctions. So maybe the whole adventure was directed against Germany, and not against Russia at all?

#VOW3 #VW #Volkswagen #89WAVES #ELLIOTTWAVE #trading #waveanalysis #analytics #instagram #top #topnews #toptraders #wearetraders #instatrader #stocks

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H

Is bitcoin going to double in value?

The bitcoin’s last update was on 8 August (https://t.co/ngmP2N9fDu). A lot has happened since then, the most prominent of that lot being the Durov situation. But has it had any effect on the wave count with the forecast? No, it’s going strictly by the arrows. Bitcoin has reversed to the previously outlined targets, autumn promises to be quite interesting for the crypto market, for example, bitcoin may well double in value by early next year. This is largely why I ended my holiday so I don’t miss this trend.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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#btcusd #bitcoin #xbt #xbtusd #crypto #cryptocurrency #cryptonews #cryptotrader #cryptotrading #cryptoworld #cryptomining #cryptotrader #trader #trading #trade #money #instagram #instagood #instapic #instamood #instalike #instatrader #top #topnews #ビットコイン #暗号通貨 #wearetraders

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#SPX
Timeframe: 1D

The timing of the withdrawal from the presidential race is perfect.

While CNN and CNBC are arguing about the consequences, while European leaders are tweeting about US support and difficult decisions, I’m quietly enjoying my holiday. Because for an Elliott waver, none of this is news, the bets have been placed and the outcomes are reliably known in advance.

Trump’s elimination failed. It didn’t work out, the sniper missed. Therefore, another scenario was chosen - the announcement of resignation from the presidency at the very high of the US market. So that Trump would face a massive crisis after taking office that would force him to resign, according to the Biden administration. But will it work?

Elliott Waves are signalling to us that there will indeed be a crisis in the US and global economy, it’s already quietly beginning. After a series of bankruptcies in the US, the US will be forced to lower interest rates, which will accelerate dollar inflation and lead to growth in the Chinese and Russian economies. Cheap money = growth in China = growth in demand for Russian exports = growth in the value of Russian funds.

P.S. There is a challenge in which one makes a promise to write a post every day. I can’t understand such challenges - a real challenge is not to write posts for a week. Get the fuck down, just wait for the predictions to come true. That’s the real challenge.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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#sp500 #us500 #89Waves #trading #ELLIOTTWAVE #forecast #ewt #analytics #trader #trade #tradingsignals #chartanalysis #forexmoney #forex

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#Gold
Timeframe: 1D

Gold: forecast fulfilment and exiting positions.

In October 2022, I wrote here about gold’s rise to all-time highs with an ending diagonal (https://t.co/9dWLBKzNev). At that time, the wave [ii] had completed and there was an ideal point to take positions on the mid-term. Now the diagonal is fully completed, all my targets are fulfilled, I almost completely got out of margin gold purchases and I sold the GLD ETF and other paper gold from my portfolio at the end of the wave [iii]. Moreover, for the first time in 5 years, I completely stopped buying physical gold for a long-term portfolio. IMHO, it’s already overpriced.

Traders are preparing for the US Fed rate cut and Trump’s election victory, so they are buying the yellow metal at any price. Now the market is driven by mania. And I think already in 2025-2026 there will be a bitter disappointment and we will see prices around $1800 per troy ounce. Now it’s not very believable, but that’s the way it should be at the peak of sentiment. Yes, gold is a very good pro-inflation asset, but only on a very long horizon of more than 15 years, and on a short one.... Elliott Waves work here, the target was 2500 (almost fulfilled) according to them, then 1800.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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#Gold #GC #XAU #XAUUSD #89Waves #ELLIOTTWAVE #trading #waveanalysis #forexmoney #forextrader #tradingforex #forextrade #analytics #instagram #instagood #instapic #instamood #top #topnews #toptraders #wearetraders #instatrader

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#GAS
Timeframe: 4H

Natural Gas and the global energy crisis.

As for gas and specifically gas in Europe, it turned clearly from my entrance at the end of March.

Honestly, I thought that it would be a good idea to take Russian gas producers under this case, because they are not fools in Europe! Not completely idiots, are they? - I was wrong...

Today the news came out that German Uniper is cancelling its long-term contracts with Russia.

And this is very reminiscent of the situation five years ago, when before the lowest gas price in the XXI century, almost in a covid crisis, the EU switched to spot pricing with Russia from long-term contracts. After that, gas soared tenfold. And then the de-industrialisation of Europe began.... And it didn’t need gas - prices fell.

Now the abnormal heat in Asia and the growth of the Chinese economy are starting to play with the price. Although there is no global gas market, but Qatar, the main LNG supplier to the EU, finds it more profitable to supply gas to Asia, so as not to get involved with the Houthis and not to bypass Africa.

All of this is driving prices up and the chart shows a deal with a p/l of around 12, even assuming entry at currents. And I got in very early! I entered through ETF BOIL, but it’s glad me now, too.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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#gas #naturalgas #89Waves #trading #ELLIOTTWAVE #forecast #ewt #analytics #trader #trade #tradingsignals #chartanalysis #instagram #top #topnews

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H

How to become a poor dad to a rich dad?

Buy #BTCUSD on Kiyosaki’s signal with x3 leverage.

The wave [iv] is now developing, which Elliott waver identified in advance in February (https://t.co/U2ufXE7WPy).

Exactly from 73K a correction started and is still in progress.

At the moment, the correction in the wave [iv] at the peak has reached 24%, but this is not the end of this very four.... In April I said that the correction in it will continue until mid-summer (https://t.co/4hU8jS6w4I).

Bitcoin is now about halfway through the correction in time - the wave (c) is forming with the aim of moving the red channel down, this is a broad area of 50K-64K.

Next we will need to assess whether the whole wave [iv] becomes a triangle or a flat and we can predict where the price will start to exit upwards at 250K. I’ll be sure to post here if you put 🔥 on the post :o)

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#FTSE
Timeframe: 1D

FTSE 100 Index: short’s entry zone.

On 23 November 2022 I drew arrows for the FTSE 100 (https://t.co/XfGo9q9Jw3). I said there would be two waves of growth. And it did. And now the index has entered the zone for shorting using the ending diagonal trading strategy. Everything is absolutely similar to Germany and its DAX. Nobody believes in growth - it’s going up. No one believes in falling - .... //now you’re here.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#DAX
Timeframe: 1D

Time for Armageddon in the EU

Here we are at the point where a downturn in the economy will turn into a stock market crash. It used to be like this: you poor liquidity from the real sector to the fund and enjoy life, but you don’t release money back into the real sector. That is why no infrastructure was built in the EU in recent years. It was only possible to withdraw capital to China and the USA.

The propagandists were sounding the alarm - the EU would collapse without cheap resources from Russia, at the same time the stock market was growing in Europe and bellicose rhetoric was being fuelled. Everyone laughed at propagandists, saying look, Europe has stood firm. Other propagandists from Israel said the opposite, that Russia was finished, that its economy had 2-3 weeks left. They, too, were shamed, neither one nor the other’s forecasts came true. But that’s for now...

Europe is the first to enter the situation when the centrifugal process may start, as Elliott waver said earlier: at the peak there will be patriotism and then a bitter hangover. That’s why personally I have recently sold off the rest of European stocks, until the last time I had only Rheinmetall AG in my portfolio, which was picked up in covid times and has brought a lot of X-s since then. But that’s it, the time of even such monsters has passed....

P.S. The chart shows a level with a stop at which I plan to short the DAX next week. It’s a risky trade, but ... I have to try it!

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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#dax #daxindex #89Waves #trading #ELLIOTTWAVE #forecast #ewt #analytics #instagram #top #topnews #instatrader

[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#BTCDominance
Timeframe: 1D

BTC.D. Bitcoin dominance: an alt-season with features

If anyone is waiting for a repeat of 2017 or the NFT hype, they probably won’t. Nothing like that is even close to being seen in the current cycle. It’s not just all altcoins that will shoot, but it will shoot, it’s already started. Being able to find diamonds in the mud is a trader’s talent. For the rest of us, I’d only look at bitcoin for 5% of the portfolio.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#SPX
Timeframe: 1M, 1D

S&P500: When is the big collapse?

A year and a half ago, when everyone was burying America and at the same time the entire global world, the Elliott waver actively advised to buy the US stock (https://t.co/A3ULu0Gntx). This recommendation on average brought 50% in currency, for some stocks significantly more. Now the sentiment has reversed, western analysts and publications are changing their opinions one by one, admitting that they have missed the most powerful growth in stocks in history. But what did they not take into account that one Elliott waver knew? And won't it turn out that these guys will bring everyone into the market again, at the moment when it's actually necessary to get out of it into cash? :o)

Record growth in a real sector recession (adjusted for inflation, since 2008 the world economy has been growing, if anything, only at the expense of China) is a really unusual thing. The news and fundametal analysis have failed in yet another time. But it's actually simpler than the Bloomberg stories. The financial regulators managed to create a two-circuit system of money circulation. Now the system with money in the stock market is a game currency, like in SIMS or GTA. It can be spent only inside the game, buying certain paper assets, but it's difficult to build or buy a factory or a steamship with this money. And who would go into the real sector for a 5% annual return after inflation, if stocks and crypto give from 30% per annum?

So America, Germany and other Western countries absorb the returning currency, while China, India and other major economies get rid of dollars and euros in the form of treasuries, replacing them with gold. The game is actually brilliant, with the Fed and the US ministry of finance under the control of the smartest people of our time. Or is it? Or is it all a bubble that will collapse from any shock? And if so, when? When should we expect the collapse of the Americans so hated by everyone? And here we cannot understand it without socionomics and Elliott Waves.

Firstly, sentiment. Greed, but not critical, yet. Not everyone is a sucker in the market yet, and there is still room to expand with marketing and success stories. That means that the market is not allowed to fall more than 30%, while growth and sideways movements are allowed.
Secondly, the wave structure. With a high probability, the market is at the end of the wave «3» of (5) of [5] of «V» of (III), which means that after the current high the market is waiting for the wave «4» maximum, which is forbidden to roll back below 4000, that is no more than 25% of the fall.
Thirdly, cyclical analysis. The window for the fourth wave of the diagonal has been open since the end of spring and will close in about six months. But big collapse isn't expected until spring 2026 at the earliest. And this is good news - we have more than a year and a half to earnings and prepare for shocks.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help
#89waves

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#SUGAR
Timeframe: 1D

Sugar: world hunger postponed?

A year ago, talk of an impending correction after sugar’s high rise (https://t.co/eCYlFNuFCD). And now the it has reached the target zone. Now the interesting part begins...

I have targets at 80 bucks on the long-term, so I’m starting to look for entry points into the asset.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#DJI
Timeframe: 4H

The Dow Jones Industrial index has fulfilled the optimal target, now it’s really scary.

At the end of last year, we celebrated the take on the minimum target (https://t.co/tlk9e7YO9I). Now the optimal one at 40K has been fulfilled (https://t.co/4gDg3gaKzc). Congratulations to everyone who held US stocks!

Now for the bad news. This could be the final high before another deep crisis similar to 2022. Based on the cycles, the window to fall will open in the summer and close by the end of the year.

This is still not a big collapse, you can and should still keep some of your assets abroad, but it wouldn’t be a bad idea to hedge by buying put options now.

Money is coming back to America, it’s all being driven into the stock market through a rather clever mechanism. But it’s about to fail...

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#HG
Timeframe: 1W

Copper: minimum target ☑️

Do you know why you need to know fundamental and technical analyses and socionomics? To predict trends effectively. For example, like this time with copper (https://t.co/0jVIw9yw49), which met its minimum upside targets and gave us a good profit on the medium-term.

People write to me in DM, saying, ‘I came here to degrade and watch Shiba forecasts and you write me some bullshit from macroeconomics! Dislike.’ Mate, one day you’ll grow up, you’ll get tired of draining deposits, then you’ll come here, but it’ll be too late.

Then no one will give you a huge profit for free. I’ve been blogging for several years already, I’ll get bored at some point... Or I’ll be replaced by an AI, we’ll see!

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#Wheat
Timeframe: 1D

Wheat. Slowly, but surely.

In September, I wrote about the imminent rise of wheat after market redistribution (https://t.co/PgVAXlu0AX). Now the news has arrived on this subject and the grain has started to grow.
May frosts in Russia have driven up wheat prices around the world. Wheat production could fall 6% year-on-year in the coming season.

Another prediction that Elliott Waves got right long before the event itself. Moreover, back then in September almost a year ago I labelled the end of the correction with an ending diagonal and so it turned out to be. Now a cycle of expensive products and high inflation awaits us: coffee, cocoa, orange juice... And now bread. The inflationary spiral is unwinding.

Don’t know about you, but I’m in a WEAT long via call options. They were hard to get them at a reasonable price, liquidity is almost non-existent, but I’ve managed it.

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#FTSE
Timeframe: 4H

FTSE 100 Index: geopolitical ambitions of the Anglo-Saxons.

At the peak of sentiment, Britain has a decent amount of geopolitical ambitions, all according to the canons of socionomics.

Society dictates to R. Sunak: let’s lead NATO in the EU, while Trump and the USA will deal with China. Industry is falling, there are no cheap resources, the population reuses tea bags and these people distribute funds in favour of the military-industrial complex - they are preparing for war. It’s known with whom, no questions asked. By other people’s hands and with US money, of course.

At this time, socionomics hints to the islanders: it’s not even a dead end, it’s a direct path to the final collapse of a fragment of the empire. Your ambitions are not destined to come true, there are no such options in reality. Look for a compromise with the most likely opponent.

See for yourself, everything is according to the arrows from 2022, you are on the cusp of the biggest collapse in history:
1) https://t.co/XfGo9q9Jw3
2) https://t.co/iR7pQ2bGJN
3) https://t.co/QylU5iX6bs

Share this channel, please, with other people interested in trading. It is very easy for you and it will be very helpful for me. Do appreciate your help

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[Igor Tereshchenkov @EightyNineWaves]

#TESLA
Timeframe: 15m

Tesla and trend prediction.

News of Musk’s successful trip to the PRC is viral in the financial Telegram, causing tesla’s stock to rise. But could this have been predicted in advance?

They say that people are very bad at picking stocks, so we should trust blind index investing. But what if there was a trend forecasting methodology that allowed stock’s picking to be done efficiently?

And could it be used to predict the current bubble in the US tech sector, where 7 successful IT companies are dragging the entire S&P500 index, while the 493 companies in an index investor’s portfolio are a liability?

YES! IT’S ALL POSSIBLE IF YOU HAVE ELLIOTT WAVES AND SOCIONOMICS IN YOUR HANDS.

A year ago, Elliott waver advised to take AMD stocks (https://t.co/7HDHMpxL5c), Apple stocks (https://t.co/i8bbfdVzeA) and other top 7 companies with an eye on all-time highs. Now these highs have been reached and last week Elliott waver recommended to move from Google to Tesla. The result has not been long in coming.

Want to be able to take trends, too? Join the premium channel today to not miss the move!

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