Brady Gilson

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[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

“Holy f*** Godzilla play” pretty much sums it up.

Today was disgusting.

Discord members catching 200%, 300%, 500%+ runners while the market did exactly what we discussed in the plan beforehand:
• Sellers failed below balance
• OR Low reclaim triggered longs
• 7540 reclaimed
• Momentum squeezed into holiday ATH tests
• Then the Godzilla candle nuked premiums higher

This wasn’t random gambling. This was preparation meeting execution.

People outside the Discord saw a random headline candle.
We saw trapped sellers, failed downside auction, reclaimed value, and upside targets already mapped out before cash open.

Some members:
• +119%
• +220%
• +319%
• +407%
• +505%
• Multiple $800-$1k+ hits
• SPX runners absolutely detonated

Meanwhile people on FinTwit are still asking “why did market go up?”

Because auction structure matters.
Because order flow matters.
Because balance rules matter.
Because preparation matters.

I sold early like a clown again, but the Discord absolutely farmed this move.

Did you beat $SPY today or did you chase after the move already happened?

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY $SPX #ES_F Recap + Tomorrow’s Plan 📈

Bulls defended Friday’s value, broke higher, and pushed ES into an ATH test before a sharp selloff into the close. SPY/SPX remain below their prior ATHs.

Value shifted higher, but the rally left single prints and uneven volume behind. Some consolidation and structure repair wouldn’t automatically be bearish. Bears need to sell through support and hold below it—not just sweep a low and get squeezed on the reclaim.

Tomorrow’s Key Pivots:
ES: 7838
SPY: 775.67–775.74
Acceptance above favors a retest of today’s highs, with potential price discovery on ES. Sellers capping the pivots puts today’s value and breakout structure back in play. Acceptance back into Friday’s value would weaken the bullish structure further.
Full upside/downside targets and scenarios are laid out nightly in Discord and discussed live in voice chat during cash hours.

#SPY #SPX #ES #MES #FuturesTrading #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #TradingPlan #PriceAction #VolumeProfile #MarketProfile #OrderFlow #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

SPY/ES: Breakout, ATH test, then sellers hit the close.

Key Pivots:
ES 7838
SPY 775.67–775.74
Above: highs in play.
Below: watch structure repair.
Full plan + upside/downside targets nightly in Discord. Live voice chat during cash hours.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY / $ES — NFP Friday Plan

Bears finally built value lower today and added a new lower distribution to the weekly profile.

Then they failed to get continuation.

Sellers spent hours trying to push through the lower HVN, but bids held around the 50D EMA and price ultimately reclaimed the Key Pivot and returned near the open.

That makes tomorrow pretty clean:

🔑 ES: 7708–7713
🔑 SPY: 762.35–762.75
Hold above → reject the lower distribution and auction back through the upper distributions.

Lose it + accept below → lower distribution comes back into play.

NFP on deck. Upside/downside targets and the full plan are in Discord tonight + live VC during cash hours.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

SPY/ES Tomorrow’s Plan:

Wild session.

We rejected Tuesday’s value → accepted back into Monday’s value → traversed VAL to VAH → then sellers completely flushed price into the close.

Now we have excess at the lows + a closing spike lower.

Tomorrow comes down to whether that weakness is accepted or rejected.

ES Key Pivot: 7715–7718
SPY Key Pivot: 762.65–762.90

Above = bulls begin negating the closing weakness and can work back toward the spike base.

Below = acceptance of the selloff keeps the downside auction intact.

Upside + downside targets are mapped out.

Full levels/plan in Discord nightly + live VC during cash hours.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

SPY/ES Recap + Tomorrow’s Plan Is Out

What. A. Day.

We ripped off the overnight lows, rejected Tuesday’s lower value, accepted back into Monday’s value and made the classic VAL → VAH traverse… only for sellers to show up again and absolutely flush price into the close.

That late liquidation created two things I’m watching closely tomorrow: excess at the lows and a closing spike lower.

Those closing spikes can get punished hard if the market rejects the emotional move the next session. But if price accepts it and continues building value lower, sellers have a much stronger argument.

The other interesting piece? September VWAP, the previous gap-fill area and this week’s developing structure are all converging around the same area.

SPY Key Pivot: 762.65–762.90
ES Key Pivot: 7715–7718

Above the pivot, I’m watching whether bulls can reject the lower value built this week and work back toward the closing spike base.

Below it, acceptance of today’s weakness keeps the downside auction intact.

Multiple upside and downside targets are mapped out from there, including the major HVNs, FOMC structure and weekly support.

Full SPY/ES levels + tomorrow’s plan are posted nightly in Discord, and we’ll work through the setups live in VC during cash hours.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY / $SPX/ $ES filled the 7718 cash-session gap today, but sellers failed to find meaningful continuation afterward.

That matters.

ES has now attempted to break the bottom of the 7-day balance, while today’s poor low remains below and the poor ATHs remain above.

Was this simply structure repair before buyers traverse the balance higher, or are we beginning to build value lower?

Wednesday ES Key Pivot: 7743–7747

Reclaim/accept above = back inside Thursday’s value with upside magnets in play.

Reject/cap below = downside pressure remains and we watch whether REAL sellers can finally generate continuation.

Full upside/downside targets + trade locations mapped in Discord tonight and discussed live in voice during cash hours.

#SPY #Trading #DayTrading #0DTE #SPX #ES #DISCORD

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

@PharmD_KS The trolls keep rejecting value. I’m just looking for acceptance into the Discord. Can I get a clean breakout above the paywall? 😂

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

Monday’s Singles Are Gone — Is the Bull Gap Next?

I said Monday night that after reaching the extreme end of the weekly expected move on Day 1, the rest of the week could get tricky.

Tuesday consolidated higher and looked like we were beginning to accept higher prices, but ES never gained meaningful traction above the prior ATH.

Today we got the opposite.

ES opened on a gap down, rejected Tuesday’s value area, and forced weak-handed/late longs out. Once liquidation started, Monday’s thin-volume structure helped accelerate the move. By the end of today, every single print from Monday had been filled.

Those can now come off the chart.

What remains below is the major bull gap from Monday’s open/low back to Friday’s close.

The biggest development into today’s close was the weekly profile. This week’s VAL shifted nearly 10 points lower, directly into today’s afternoon rally high and the upper edge of the developing lower HVN.

That gives us a very clean area to judge tomorrow:

Key Pivot: 7782–7785 ES / 768.75–769.04 SPY

If sellers defend the pivot and price continues accepting inside the lower HVN, I’ll be looking toward our downside levels. Continued weakness below today’s low brings the remaining bull gap into focus, where we also have Fib and IB extensions providing additional confluence.

If buyers reclaim the pivot and begin building value back above it, we have several upside levels to work through, with the bigger question becoming whether ES can eventually make another attempt at the prior ATH.

The full upside and downside levels, targets, and trade plan are laid out nightly in Discord and discussed live in voice chat during cash hours.

$SPY $QQQ #spy #spx #trading #options #daytrading

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY / $ES ripped 140 points from the opening low. I missed it, but with VIX rising instead of falling and poor risk/reward above my final upside target, I wasn’t chasing.

Tomorrow’s pivot: 7818–7820. Hold it and 7838 is in play. Lose it and I’m watching the single prints below.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY / $ES Monday setup:

Friday closed with a spike higher. Monday’s test is whether buyers can get acceptance above a key weekly profile area — or get trapped and rotate back through Friday’s structure.

I have one key pivot/decision area I’m focused on.

Full upside + downside targets and scenarios are posted in the Discord plans.

We’ll be discussing the setup and adjusting to price action live in voice chat Monday.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

ES built value lower again ahead of FOMC.

7660–7663 is tomorrow’s decision zone:

Above + fill 7663–7670 singles → 7685–7687, then 7709–7712
Below → 7648–7649, then the 7620 bull-gap fill

SPY pivot: 757.75–758.06
Single prints: 758.06–758.74

Trade the reaction—not the headline.

Full plan inside Prism. 💎

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY / $ES WEEKLY OUTLOOK

FOMC. VIX/OPEX. Futures contract roll.

This could be a BIG week.

Bulls survived a deep test back into the prior multi-month balance, but they still have plenty to prove.

Reclaim last week’s range → ATH retest comes back into play.

Lose the major weekly pivot and accept lower → last week’s lows and potentially much deeper downside enter the conversation.

No guessing. Levels + order flow + price action.

Full weekly roadmap is up in Prism.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY/$ES has printed repeated bearish RTH gaps, built value lower all week and lost last week’s VAL, last week’s low and the former ATH.

7608–7610 is Friday’s pivot.

Reclaim it and bulls attack the gaps. Reject it and sellers remain in control.

Full plan on Prism

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY / $ES Recap + Tomorrow’s Plan

Brutal session today. We put in the HOD right at the open, and I was personally too bullish on the few trades I took. Tomorrow is a reset and reevaluation based on what price actually gives us.

The bigger picture changed today.

Last Thursday we broke out of last week’s value. Friday essentially retested that breakout/Thursday’s lows without actually losing Thursday’s low. Today, sellers finally took it, and the afternoon retest of Thursday’s low from below found sellers again.

That puts us firmly back inside last week’s value and makes today’s breakout failure important.

We also filled the 7691 gap during CASH hours today. That matters more to me than an overnight/holiday-hours fill, so I consider that gap done.

The session then ended with a spike lower into the close.

We’ve seen sellers get absolutely wrecked on these closing spikes plenty of times. More often than not, there’s at least some covering/rally afterward before we find out if sellers are actually still active. But we’ve also seen the opposite: the spike base holds as resistance and the market continues lower.

That makes tomorrow pretty straightforward.

MARK THESE:
7676.75 ES / 765.68 SPY = Closing Spike Base
7691 ES = Tomorrow’s Key Pivot / Wednesday’s High

If sellers get trapped and cannot push through the spike base or take today’s low, I’m looking for a move back toward today’s VAL. Acceptance back into today’s value opens a potential rotation through value toward VAH.

The 7691 Key Pivot sits directly in the way and capped today’s late rally, so I’ll be watching price action + OF closely there.

Acceptance above the Key Pivot and especially above today’s VAH shifts focus back to the major 7709–7712 LVN. That area has separated these larger distributions for weeks and remains a major decision point.

Flip it back to support and bulls can start repairing today’s damage, with today’s high/opening singles first and Friday afternoon’s rally high beyond that.

But if sellers continue defending today’s value/Key Pivot and price loses the closing spike base, I’m looking for today’s low to go.

Acceptance below today’s low puts the prior ATH back in play, followed by last week’s VAL/lows if sellers continue building value lower.

So the question tomorrow is simple:

Was today’s selloff just another closing spike that traps late sellers?

Or did last week’s breakout officially fail, leaving the market vulnerable to a full traverse back through last week’s value?

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

$SPY / $ES: Two straight gap-and-go sessions have pushed the daily OTFU, but we’re now well above this week’s value with a MASSIVE single-print structure left below.

For tomorrow, 7747 ES is the key pivot.

Hold the upper distribution → today’s high, then last week’s high/bearish single prints become the major test.

Lose it → structure repair through today’s singles becomes the focus.

NFP in the AM. Don’t predict the reaction. React to what price does around the structure.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

ES pushed back into last week’s value today and traded directly into the major HVN/VPOC — the most agreed-upon price in this entire area.

Now the question is whether we can actually auction away from it.

🔑 7670–7673 Key Pivot

Hold above → today’s poor high remains unfinished business, with bigger upside objectives still open.

Fail back below → today’s P-profile starts unwinding and puts lower value back in play.

Did you beat $SPY today? Join the Discord. Full roadmap + levels posted nightly.

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

SPY/ES plan is up.

Today’s 70+ point LBAF rally left us with a P-shaped profile and a very defined decision area for tomorrow.

🔑 7670–7673 Key Pivot

Hold → re-auction today’s poorly finished high, with the gap and larger value-area targets above.

Lose → Tuesday’s VAH is the first test. If buyers can’t defend it, the P-shape breakdown opens multiple downside targets and potentially a move back through Tuesday’s value.

Full levels + trade scenarios in the Discord.

Did you Beat $SPY Today?

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

@The_RockTrading Maybe he should go back to all in on his AfterHour Platform he abandoned after he rug pulled the community on a crypto coin scam

[Brady Gilson @El_Capitan23]

Failed Breakout Puts Bulls on the Clock

Buyers failed to defend the breakout, and price rotated directly into last week’s VPOC/HVN—exactly where we expect price to gravitate when the market becomes uncertain.

We are now back inside the prior five-day range with value building lower. Auction theory says a failed breakout can lead to a traverse toward the opposite side of balance, but sellers still need to prove they can actually push through today’s lows.

For tomorrow, buyers have one job: reclaim Friday’s value area, fill today’s bear gap and regain acceptance inside last week’s upper distribution. If they accomplish that, the upside target becomes last week’s VAH.

If buyers fail and sellers gain acceptance below today’s range, the downside target becomes last week’s lows.

Now that we are back in balance, expect responsive, two-sided swings until one side establishes acceptance outside the range.

Key Pivot: ES 7690

The complete bull/bear scenarios and remaining levels are posted in tonight’s Prism plan.