$ASTS is back around $62, but that rejection near $65 still matters.
Tight bands alone aren’t a buy signal. I’d want a close above $65 with stronger volume before leaning bullish. Until then, the squeeze can break either way.
$ASTS the Bollinger Bands are the tightest they've been since October of 2023 similar to implied volatility lows. This indicator doesn't predict direction but it does a good job predicting that volatility is ready to start expanding
*NFA
@Reformed_Trader $ASTS getting this quiet is almost suspicious. The first move out of the range should be interesting. Whether it holds through the close is the part that matters to me.
Cooler PCE, and the 10-year is still above 5%.
Apparently “good inflation news” buys a little breathing room these days.
After this month’s run in yields, I’m going to need more than one friendly report to relax.
Dan Ives’ new $IVAI fund priced its $200M IPO at $10 a share, with plans to invest in private AI companies.
I get the appeal of buying in before an IPO. Curious to see which companies it actually lands—and what it pays for them.
@fthegurus Almost three 40-hour workweeks at average pay for one ounce, before taxes or living expenses. “Just buy gold” is a lot easier advice to give when you already own it.
$AMD around $608 is a tough one.
Q2 revenue grew 50%, and data center revenue more than doubled. Plenty to like about the business.
But how much of the next few years’ growth am I already paying for? That’s what keeps me from getting too excited at this price.
The S&P 500 is up about 12% this year, but fewer than half its stocks are above their 200-day moving average.
Explains why the index can look fine while your watchlist looks awful.
I’d feel better about this rally if more stocks were joining in.
Over 2.5 million Iranian rials for $1 on Tuesday. Another record low.
Oil exports are getting squeezed, cutting off a key source of dollars. That adds pressure on the rial and makes imports harder to afford.
Hard to see that easing without oil revenues recovering.
2024 may also be remembered as the year U.S. fiscal exuberance died.
post-mortem 🧵 on how we got here.
Right now, with the 10 year US Treasury yield trading well above 4.5% and the federal government spending roughly the equivalent of the defense budget just on interest expenses, a fairly broad-based consensus seems to be developing among economists that the fiscal path we’re on is in fact not a sustainable one, as Jay Powell pointed out 4 weeks ago. r<g logic no longer seems as compelling.
The figure below plots the federal government's interest expense as a fraction of US GDP.
🇪🇺 Euro area PMIs defying oil and political gravity, partly driven by rising AI and defence spending. Yes, inflationary pressures are rising again, but PMI gauges look contained and risks of second-round effects remain limited.
This was Jan 2025.
I already owned ITD Cementation, NRB Bearings and Yatharth Hospitals and felt all three had 60–100% potential over the next 3 years.
Turns out, the move came much faster & all three are now around 2.5x.
₹3 lakh invested equally then
= ~₹7.5 lakh today & counting !!
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