FollowingtheNumbersElection2026

purely analytical based to crunch the numbers live on the current election. Data I present is not affiliated for either party.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

Hello everybody. I’m not going to be perfect but I’ll be hand calculating all the data with precision.

Swing States:

In 2020 I predict GA,NV, AZ, WI, MI, PA would all likely go to Biden the night of when looking at the numbers.

Also predicted NC likely to Trump early the…

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@Chibuihe9254 Thank you very much!

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

As I said at the time…

This was factually incorrect and was never correct

[Cindy Hyde-Smith @cindyhydesmith]

Cindy Hyde-Smith is going to represent Mississippi in the United States Senate for the next six years. We believe thousands of votes remain to be counted from dozens of Republican counties, and we are confident those votes will reinforce her path to victory.

Election officials are continuing the normal process of counting outstanding ballots, including absentee ballots. They must have the time to complete that work and ensure every lawful ballot is accurately counted and every Mississippian’s voice is heard.

We expect Democratic lawyers to pull out every stop, and we are prepared. Our focus is on completing the count and returning Cindy Hyde-Smith to the Senate to keep fighting for Mississippi values.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

🔴Cindy Hyde-Smith concedes the election

[Cindy Hyde-Smith @cindyhydesmith]

Thank you, Mississippi.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@CAFranchise https://t.co/zDrzSXtAMq

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

https://t.co/oiWjggYjJl

Happy to say the predictive analysis framework we laid out on election night has now come to fruition.

I didn’t have much doubt in this prediction as the framework built was solid based on possible scenarios.

This is why confidence level was rather high when sharing updates.

Understanding past voting patterns, where the remaining votes are coming from and where the largest share of votes are still to come from plays a huge role.

These are the kinds of election races I specialize in.

That is the goal of this account as it stands. Not to be a decision desk, but instead crunch numbers and share my findings.

I will also eventually share a nonpartisan view of what happened to lead to the results that occurred this election across America as well.

And I will also share potentially interesting information I find related to each current/past election(s) that happens as well.

But this account is primarily built around the predictive analysis for each election.

Thank you to all of the new followers across our beautiful country and across the globe.

I had almost no following before election night. There’s more to life than online followers but I am now happy to have an audience to share my work with during elections.

This is a space where you can come for just analysis. I will not share analysis to simply just make anyone happy. I will also not always be perfect as I’m not AI, but I will do my best to share my findings with the highest degree of accuracy I am capable of.

Thank you all across America, and especially including the hundreds of Mississippians who might’ve followed and the thousands of Mississippians who saw the analysis.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

So one of the reasons we mentioned why Hyde-Smith has no realistic path in this race for days is for batches like these that are coming in.

Colom does +12% better on these ballots from Pearl River County and it has been the case almost statewide where Colom has done better or at least close to even with the redder Hyde-Smith favored counties.

Meanwhile Colom has been doing either the same or better in his counties allowing him to net better margins on votes.

This was factored into my analysis election night and the day after when trying to pinpoint who would win the Mississippi Senate Race

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

THE VOTES ARE ROLLING IN FROM THE MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE TONIGHT:

Another larger batch of 354 new votes come in and Cindy-Hyde Smith wins it 230-107 of measure over Scott Colom.

Hyde-Smith nets 123 votes at ~65-30(🔴+35) margins over Colom.

Colom’s lead is now 2,571 votes over Hyde-Smith

Nothing to change to the analysis.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@byrne_hugo99597 Nothing to update today yet. Their time difference is a bit different so any updates may be later in the day that do come

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

NEW BATCH OF VOTES FROM ALASKA SENATE RACE:

Massive batch over 24k votes just came in and Mary Peltola wins the batch 12,605 to 10,872 over Dan Sullivan.

Peltola nets over 1700 votes and extends her lead again to now 4,250 votes over Sullivan.

52-45% on 🔵+7 margins in favor of Peltola over Sullivan from this most recent batch.

The analysis holds and is again better confirmed that Mary Peltola will very likely be the next senator of Alaska over the incumbent Dan Sullivan.

Peltola also has a decent shot to hit the 50% mark as well.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

Scott Colom will almost certainly be the first black senator in Mississippi to be elected by the people through popular vote ever.

The last time there was a black senator elected in Mississippi?

February 4th 1874 Blanche K. Bruce is elected by Mississippi state legislature(not via popular vote).

Bruce was initially born into slavery in Virginia but escaped slavery during the civil war, later went onto college at Oberlin and then became the second black senator after Hiram Revels in 1875.

Bruce was a big advocate for civil rights and spoke against election fraud.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

The historical significance behind Scott Colom winning this race is rather important too

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

Scott Colom will almost certainly be the first black senator in Mississippi to be elected by the people through popular vote ever.

The last time there was a black senator elected in Mississippi?

February 4th 1874 Blanche K. Bruce is elected by Mississippi state legislature(not via popular vote).

Bruce was initially born into slavery in Virginia but escaped slavery during the civil war, later went onto college at Oberlin and then became the second black senator after Hiram Revels in 1875.

Bruce was a big advocate for civil rights and spoke against election fraud.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@democracyrock You’re very welcome. One man operation with no bot updates meaning I was closely tied to information in an old school manner.

Happy to share my analysis with everyone

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

https://t.co/oiWjggYjJl

Happy to say the predictive analysis framework we laid out on election night has now come to fruition.

I didn’t have much doubt in this prediction as the framework built was solid based on possible scenarios.

This is why confidence level was rather high when sharing updates.

Understanding past voting patterns, where the remaining votes are coming from and where the largest share of votes are still to come from plays a huge role.

These are the kinds of election races I specialize in.

That is the goal of this account as it stands. Not to be a decision desk, but instead crunch numbers and share my findings.

I will also eventually share a nonpartisan view of what happened to lead to the results that occurred this election across America as well.

And I will also share potentially interesting information I find related to each current/past election(s) that happens as well.

But this account is primarily built around the predictive analysis for each election.

Thank you to all of the new followers across our beautiful country and across the globe.

I had almost no following before election night. There’s more to life than online followers but I am now happy to have an audience to share my work with during elections.

This is a space where you can come for just analysis. I will not share analysis to simply just make anyone happy. I will also not always be perfect as I’m not AI, but I will do my best to share my findings with the highest degree of accuracy I am capable of.

Thank you all across America, and especially including the hundreds of Mississippians who might’ve followed and the thousands of Mississippians who saw the analysis.

[Acyn @Acyn]

CNN PROJECTS THAT SCOTT COLOM WILL WIN MISSISSIPPI.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@grego2973 @MichaelWatsonMS Just here to provide my analysis to best of my ability. Thank you for the words.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@Renee05208714 You’re very welcome. I’m just here to provide the analysis to best of my best ability. Thank you

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

THE DAGGER BATCH OF VOTES FROM MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

702 new votes come in from Forrest and Copiah counties and Scott Colom wins it 436-251 over Cindy-Hyde Smith.

Colom nets 185 votes at ~62-36(🔵+26) margins over Hyde-Smith.

Colom’s lead is now near 4600 votes over Hyde-Smith.

We now have official decision decision desks calling this race after 8 days now.

As we’ve said, Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

BACK TO BACK UPDATES FROM HINDS COUNTY IN THE MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

Hinds County drops again and Scott Colom just won it 745-124 over Cindy Hyde-Smith.

Colom wins the batch 84%-14% (+🔵70 margin) over Hyde-Smith.

Colom nets +621 votes in this batch and extends his lead to over 4,400 votes total and .5% too.

The analysis that Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi remains in place.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

This last batch that helped the AP/NBC decision desks call it was from Jackson County.

A red county in favor of Hyde-Smith that Colom won the batch 1,063-1,039(+24🔵).

Colom does again ~15 points better than previous margins.

That was the story around the entire state

[Kobias Jr. 🏳️‍🌈 @kobiasjr]

@ElectionStats24 This was a big batch, where was it from?

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@Kiehle4Congress @Centristeuropen https://t.co/ZL6giEmDFW

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

THE DAGGER BATCH OF VOTES FROM MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

702 new votes come in from Forrest and Copiah counties and Scott Colom wins it 436-251 over Cindy-Hyde Smith.

Colom nets 185 votes at ~62-36(🔵+26) margins over Hyde-Smith.

Colom’s lead is now near 4600 votes over Hyde-Smith.

We now have official decision decision desks calling this race after 8 days now.

As we’ve said, Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

BACK TO BACK UPDATES FROM HINDS COUNTY IN THE MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

Hinds County drops again and Scott Colom just won it 745-124 over Cindy Hyde-Smith.

Colom wins the batch 84%-14% (+🔵70 margin) over Hyde-Smith.

Colom nets +621 votes in this batch and extends his lead to over 4,400 votes total and .5% too.

The analysis that Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi remains in place.

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

NEW BATCH OF VOTES FROM MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

Finally a massive long awaited Hinds County batch arrives.

807 new votes come in and Scott Colom wins it massively 703-96 over Cindy-Hyde Smith.

Colom nets 607 votes at ~87-12(🔵+75) margins over Hyde-Smith.

Colom’s lead is now closing in on 3,800 votes and will likely keep expanding.

There’s nothing to support a realistic path for Hyde-Smith to win this race over Colom in MS.

Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@kobiasjr It was not an exact duplicate. But it is possible a slight error occurred. Regardless is irrelevant at this point either way as Colom will be next senator

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

THE DAGGER BATCH OF VOTES FROM MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

702 new votes come in from Forrest and Copiah counties and Scott Colom wins it 436-251 over Cindy-Hyde Smith.

Colom nets 185 votes at ~62-36(🔵+26) margins over Hyde-Smith.

Colom’s lead is now near 4600 votes over Hyde-Smith.

We now have official decision decision desks calling this race after 8 days now.

As we’ve said, Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@robertyann23 https://t.co/ZL6giEm5Qo

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

THE DAGGER BATCH OF VOTES FROM MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

702 new votes come in from Forrest and Copiah counties and Scott Colom wins it 436-251 over Cindy-Hyde Smith.

Colom nets 185 votes at ~62-36(🔵+26) margins over Hyde-Smith.

Colom’s lead is now near 4600 votes over Hyde-Smith.

We now have official decision decision desks calling this race after 8 days now.

As we’ve said, Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@9Tx19 https://t.co/ZL6giEmDFW

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

THE DAGGER BATCH OF VOTES FROM MISSISSIPPI SENATE RACE:

702 new votes come in from Forrest and Copiah counties and Scott Colom wins it 436-251 over Cindy-Hyde Smith.

Colom nets 185 votes at ~62-36(🔵+26) margins over Hyde-Smith.

Colom’s lead is now near 4600 votes over Hyde-Smith.

We now have official decision decision desks calling this race after 8 days now.

As we’ve said, Scott Colom will be the next senator of Mississippi

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

Scott Colom could potentially win over Cindy Hyde-Smith by over 5K by Friday when the votes become certified

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

@antoine_nm It’s possible there was a reporting error in the number to be clear but it was not an exact duplicate the number reported. We’ll see if they adjust but none of it changes the analysis

[FollowingtheNumbersElection2026 @ElectionStats24]

All information comes from direct electronic data feeds. They don’t just make up numbers.

Mississippi I’ve come to learn does not know how many votes they have ever based on how off the reporting has been this election so I wouldn’t believe specifics of all reports you see if that’s where skepticism comes from