Şimdi yeni bir tartışmanın fitilini ateşlemek istemem ama, uzun zamandır beni rahatsız eden bir durumu yazmak istiyorum. Bir dinin kutsal mekanına girerken, o dinin gereklerini yerine getirmek zorundayız. Camii avlusuna girerken islam dininin kuralları neyi gerektiriyorsa, onu yerine getirmeliyiz. Nasıl ki yurtdışında kiliselere kafanızda şapkayla girilemiyorsa, camii avlusunda da başı açık olmuyor bence. Sizin inanışınız farklı olabilir, ama içine girdiğimiz kutsal mekanda ki diğer inananları da rahatsız etmeye kimsenin hakkı yok bence .
Weather forecast probabilities, such as a "30% chance of rain," can be a source of confusion. This percentage does not mean that it will definitely rain with a 30% likelihood, nor does it mean that 30% of the area will get rain, or that it will rain for 30% of the time. Instead, the probability of precipitation (PoP) is calculated by multiplying two factors: the forecaster's confidence that precipitation will occur and the percentage of the area that is expected to be affected by precipitation[8].
For example, if a forecaster is 80% certain that rain will develop and expects it to cover 50% of the forecast area, the PoP would be 40% for any given location within that area. Alternatively, if the forecaster is 40% certain that a widespread area with 100% coverage will be affected by rain, this would also result in a 40% PoP for any given location[8].
The key takeaway is that the percentage represents a combination of the likelihood of precipitation occurring somewhere within the forecast area and the extent of the area that could be affected. It's a statistical measure, and it's important to understand that it's not a straightforward prediction but rather an expression of uncertainty[2][4][6][8].
Citations:
[1] image.jpg https://t.co/IXOe8vFsLF
[2] A 30% chance of rain doesn't mean there is a 30% chance it will rain https://t.co/qhrz9jsXjz
[3] What is a Probability Forecast? https://t.co/9c3aJgbhVp
[4] Fact check: Viral post errs on meaning of '30% chance of rain' https://t.co/X4c4Zr9sI3
[5] Using probabilities in weather forecasting https://t.co/w6spUalDMW
[6] What does a 30 percent chance of rain actually mean on the weather forecast? https://t.co/qo9QNsgA48
[7] Enhancing Weather Information with Probability Forecasts https://t.co/EGhH5WChqe
[8] PRECIPITATION PROBABILITY https://t.co/EicoyaaAHz
[9] Probabilistic Forecasting - A Primer https://t.co/fIWRsXcutN
[10] What Does It Mean When They Say There Is 30 Percent Chance Of Rain? https://t.co/ha7BEyc9cq
[11] 7.5 Weather predictions (EMG58) https://t.co/HqBheTY4mT
[12] What does this forecast mean? https://t.co/uHmuU44Pau
[13] https://t.co/jBYtDL6wf8 https://t.co/OkUth4Ehrj
[14] Access Restricted https://t.co/JFE9THWdly
[15] Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia https://t.co/9vbySs0Xv8
By Perplexity at https://t.co/b8PEfubOKp
PRO TIP:
If you get lost when hiking, just hike downhill. Find a stream, even if it’s dry, and just keep following it down. When it merges with another stream/river, keep following it down stream. It will inevitably cross a road or pass through a settled area, all waterways in the US eventually do, and this will ensure you do not “walk in circles” but will make steady progress toward civilization and being found.
YUVA ARIYOR. PAYLAŞIM DESTEĞİ LÜTFEN❤️Pansiyonda ve geçici yuvada kaldıktan sonra sokağa gitmesini istemiyoruz. İstanbul’da ama başka şehre nakil yapılabilir. 2-3 aylık erkek sarman. Çok sevecen, iç dış parazitleri tam, sağlıklı. @pambikpiremses_ @minkominkom@SuziOnline_blog
There’s really only ever been one “trans debate” I’ve thought was worth having.
And it’s been done, here on French TV.
So we can all move on with our lives now please, and leave trans folks in peace.
#Autism is like having another native language: I can speak 'neurotypical' (but with an autistic accent) while the neurotypical person isn't even aware of multiple languages. They classify my accent as a disorder, while I'm the only one speaking both languages.