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FOMC & Gold Outlook π₯
Gold traders are focused on today's FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged. The key driver for markets will be the Fed's economic projections and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's comments on inflation and future rate policy.
Key Points:
πΉ Rates are expected to remain unchanged.
πΉ Markets will closely watch the Fed's inflation outlook and rate projections.
πΉ A hawkish tone from the Fed could boost the US Dollar and pressure Gold.
πΉ A neutral or dovish stance could weaken the Dollar and support Gold prices.
πΉ Warsh's first press conference as Fed Chair is likely to drive market volatility.
Impact on Gold:
Gold's next move will largely depend on whether the Fed signals higher-for-longer interest rates or adopts a more balanced stance. Hawkish guidance would be negative for Gold, while any indication of easing inflation concerns or future rate cuts could provide support for the precious metal. π₯π
#FOMC #XAUUSD #XAGUSD
All eyes turn to #Fed chair Kevin #Warsh and his first moves on interest rates
All eyes are on new Fed Chair *Kevin Warsh* as he leads his first Federal Reserve meeting. While markets expect rates to remain unchanged around *3.60%*, investors are looking for clues on whether the Fed's next move will be a rate hike or rate cut amid rising inflation concerns.
*Key Highlights:*
πΉ Fed expected to keep rates unchanged this week.
πΉ US inflation recently climbed to *4.2%*, a three-year high.
πΉ Strong labor market reduces the need for immediate rate cuts.
πΉ Markets increasingly expect the Fed's next move could be a hike rather than a cut.
πΉ Warsh has repeatedly emphasized the importance of controlling inflation.
*Market Impact:*
π #Bullish for the US #Dollar if Warsh maintains a hawkish tone.
π Negative for Gold and risk assets if rate hike expectations increase.
π Higher Treasury yields could support further USD strength.
π Volatility expected during Warsh's first press conference.
*Outlook:*
The market's focus is less on today's rate decision and more on *Kevin Warsh's tone and guidance. If he signals concern about inflation and leaves the door open for future hikes, the **US Dollar could strengthen further*, while Gold and equities may face pressure. A neutral stance could provide temporary relief to risk assets, but inflation remains the key driver for future Fed policy. π¨ππ΅
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The #OPEC report - there's a supply crunch - with demand remaining boosted
Escalation again intensified between Iran & USA in the previous couple of days
The Strait of Hormuz is still choked
USA crude oil inventories remain much higher than expected figures
Despite all the above factors - Oil is falling today - It looks like a fake fall
Brace for a highly volatile NY session today
Execute Buy on Dip strategy
#oil #crudeoil #Trump
XAU/USD Analysis behind this set-up π
Gold is trading near 4087 and holding above a key ascending trendline, keeping the short-term bullish structure intact. Buyers continue to defend the *4079β4081 support zone**, while a move above *4103* could pave the way for a rally toward *4112** and potentially 4150.
Key Levels:
πΉ Resistance: 4103, 4112, 4150
πΉ Support: 4080, 4072, 4055
Outlook:
As long as Gold stays above 4079, the bias remains bullish with upside targets at *4103β4112*. A break below support could trigger a deeper pullback toward *4072*. π
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