Very happy to share that 'Learning by Lobbying' with Gleason Judd and Nicolas Riquelme (@nicriquelme7) has been accepted subject to minor revisions at the American Journal of Political Science! Please find the latest version here: https://t.co/DiAhlyLDlY.
In a new paper 'Learning by Lobbying' (https://t.co/Lil6FkXGWx) with Gleason Judd (Princeton) and Nicolás Riquelme (@nicriquelme7, UAndes Chile), we develop a game-theoretic model of dynamic lobbying to study how interest groups learn about and influence politicians over time.
Wie zich voor de polemiek tussen Jesse Frederik en prof. Catherine de Vries interesseert: hier een mooie debunk van De Vries' antwoord op de scherpe kritiek van Frederik! EINDELIJK eens wat linkse kritiek op het academische migratie onderzoek https://t.co/ufNrEJsAAc
BREAKING | Israeli forces have detonated the historic Shamaa Castle and the shrine of Shamoun al-Safa (St. Peter) in south Lebanon, destroying the UNESCO-protected sites alongside an airstrike on Froun. This follows local reports of multiple deaths in Haboush within the last hour.
The solar panels destroyed by Israel's army are used to provide the Lebanese town of Debl with electricity, as well as supply power to its water station.
The IDF says the actions seen in the video do not align with their values.
🔗 https://t.co/TM46KKADMe
🔴 An image of an Israeli soldier striking a statue of Jesus Christ in southern Lebanon is authentic, the Israeli army said on Monday
Here's what we know so far: https://t.co/SLv5wa9MGa
🇪🇬 An Egyptian Son and Father - 1900 years ago:
"Dad, just sent you a basket of figs and 25 nice apples. I put a label with your name on the basket so you see it's yours from me. Take care and write me back!"
Papyrus 2104, from Egypt, now housed at the British Library
I urge everyone to accompany this moment of delicate diplomacy with prayer, in hopes that a willingness to dialogue may become the means to resolve other conflict situations in the world as well. #PrayTogether#Peace
Justo hoy, Netanyahu lanza su ataque más duro contra el Líbano desde que empezó la ofensiva.
Su desprecio por la vida y el derecho internacional es intolerable.
Toca hablar claro:
- Líbano debe formar parte del alto al fuego.
- La comunidad internacional debe condenar esta nueva violación del derecho internacional.
- La Unión Europea debe suspender su Acuerdo de Asociación con Israel.
- Y no debe haber impunidad ante estos actos criminales.
Joe Kent - August 2024:
“Most Americans aren’t aware… our troops in Iraq and Syria have been attacked 150+ times by Iranian proxies.”
“These Iranian proxies… are 100% funded by the United States of America.”
“We’re funding the guys that are attacking our troops.”
“Why do we leave our troops there?”
Israel has closed the Church of the Holy Sepulchre indefinitely for the first time in the history of Christianity.
Holy Week and Easter services will be prohibited. Sunday masses and liturgies cancelled. A church that should be packed with hundreds of thousands these coming weeks is being forcibly shut and silenced.
Israel cites it is for ‘security concerns’ while Jewish Israelis are allowed to celebrate in mass gatherings. Alongside the forced closure of Al-Aqsa mosque, reports cite priests aggressively being turned away to perform daily services.
Throughout history, wars, tensions, or even the pandemic limited access to the sanctuary, but they had never prevented liturgical celebrations in this central place of Christian faith indefinitely. Christians must not remain silent.
White House says they asked Tulsi to fire Joe Kent. Her team says they didn’t. Kent says there was no imminent threat to justify war with Iran. Tulsi says Trump decided there was based on intelligence, without clearly stating the intel showed one. Now WH and ODNI officials are leaking conflicting accounts. The split over the core case for war is hard to miss.
After much reflection, I have decided to resign from my position as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, effective today.
I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby.
It has been an honor serving under @POTUS and @DNIGabbard and leading the professionals at NCTC.
May God bless America.
It appears that a Polymarket account called "Magamyman" made $515,000 in a single day betting on last night's U.S. strike on Iran, with the first trade placed 71 minutes before the news broke publicly.
When this person bought in, the market had this at a 17% probability. They turned roughly $87,000 into over half a million dollars overnight.
Reminder that Donald Trump Jr. sits on Polymarket's advisory board and his firm invested double-digit millions into the platform last year. The DOJ and CFTC both had active investigations into Polymarket that were dropped after Trump took office.
Prediction markets cannot be a vehicle for profiting off advance knowledge of military action.
We need answers, transparency, and oversight.
US immigration officials picked up a blind Rohingya refugee last week in Buffalo, NY. Then, realizing they had no basis to deport him, they released him five miles from his home. He needed a walking stick and died trying to make his way back to his house: https://t.co/dNBRWAiv0b
Ik kan echt genieten van oerjournaliste @Natalie_Kabul die heel ambachtelijk weer cv's gaat checken en dan met zo'n geweldig verhaal komt dat de onbetrouwbaarheid en slechte rekrutering van de politiek blootlegt en daarmee meer is dan een rel.
Iedereen gaat los op Natalie van Berkel (Havo, beleidsadvies, UWV). Dat is over 48 uur weer voorbij en dan stelt niemand de vragen die er echt toe doen. Dat zijn vooral deze:
#1: Wie bedacht dat ze Stas #MinFin kon worden?
#2: Hoe kwam ze opeens op #2 binnen bij #D66?
Kort 🧵
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