Remember these coins?
$ADA once was 3rd largest crypto at $101 Billion, now down -94.90%
$ICP was 4th largest crypto at $50 Billion, now down -99.10%
$BCH was 6th largest crypto at $30 Billion, now down -88%
$FIL was 9th largest crypto at $15 Billion, now down -99.81%
JUST IN: Elon Musk says the Treasury should "send money directly to the people" in an AI-dominated world.
"My prediction is that we will desperately be fighting deflation."
⚡️INSIGHT: GRAYSCALE NAMES 5 DEFI TOKENS WITH “REAL VALUE”
Grayscale listed $HYPE, $AAVE, $UNI, $SKY and $MAPLE for SOLID relative value based on fundamentals.
DeFi protocols have generated nearly $25 BILLION in fees since 2023, with $UNI and $HYPE standing out for returning almost 100% of earnings to holders.
⚡️ NEW: Pyth launched Pyth Indices, offering 24/7 pricing for U.S. equities, oil, metals, and thematic baskets, with Coinbase, Kraken, dYdX, and Nado as launch partners.
Strategy has acquired 1,550 BTC for $101 million to increase our $BTC Reserve to ₿845,256. We have also increased our USD Reserve by $100 million to $1.0 billion. $MSTR $STRC https://t.co/1Zf1AVsP1H
🇺🇸 JUST IN: A key US House committee is preparing to drop crypto tax legislation as early as Friday, Bloomberg reports.
The bills will cover staking, mining rewards, and aim to bring digital assets in line with traditional securities tax rules.
Exactly 15 years ago today when Bitcoin was trading at $15, Hal Finney said:
"Every day that goes by and Bitcoin hasn't collapsed…increases the chance of Bitcoin's eventual success and justifies a higher price."
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says he will not let other countries replace US as the Bitcoin & crypto "capital of the world."
"It is a major industry, and we must protect it."
Every week someone asks me: "what is your price target for X altcoin?"
I do not answer that question with a number. I answer it with a method.
Here is the method. It takes about 5 minutes and works for any altcoin.
Step 1: Find your BTC drawdown reference.
Take Bitcoin's recent high and its most recent bear market low. In this cycle: from roughly 108K in January down to 61K in February. That is a drawdown of roughly 44%. Call this the BTC drawdown.
Step 2: Find your altcoin's matching drawdown.
Over that same period, how much did your altcoin drop? As an example: from about 700 dollars at the December high to around 200 dollars at the February low is roughly a 71% drop.
Step 3: Calculate the beta multiple.
Divide the altcoin percentage drawdown by the BTC percentage drawdown.
71% divided by 44% equals approximately 1.6x.
This is how much more your altcoin drops relative to BTC.
Step 4: Project your altcoin's target entry.
Now pick your BTC scenario. Say you think BTC could drop to 60K from around 77K today. That is roughly another 22% down. Apply the 1.6x beta: 22% times 1.6 equals about 35% drop for your altcoin. If the altcoin is currently at 60 dollars, a 35% drop puts you around 39 dollars.
That is your data-backed entry zone. Not a number you made up. Not a target from Twitter. A structured projection from actual price history.
Two things to watch out for.
First, beta multiples change. A coin that was 1.6x beta in the last leg can become 2.5x beta if sentiment shifts. Treat this as a floor estimate, not a ceiling.
Second, the method only works if you also pick the right BTC scenario. If Bitcoin goes sideways instead of down, your altcoin may not hit the target at all. The math is conditional on your BTC call.
The reason this beats gut-feel price targets: it anchors you to actual historical price behavior rather than pattern-matching to a chart that looks oversold. A lot of coins that look cheap at minus 50% from ATH have a BTC-beta that means they could go to minus 70% or 80% if BTC has one more leg down.
Until Bitcoin confirms the next bull run with a weekly close above roughly 95K, I am not buying altcoins. But if you are building a watch list and want to know where to put your limit orders, this is the framework.
🇨🇳 CHINESE LOGISTICS CENTER RUN BY HUMANOID ROBOTS.
It is rumored that the AI robots operate 24/7 and have already achieved 85% human-level efficiency.
The future is here.
8 YEARS OF CRYPTO TRADING ADVICE 🧵
I've been trading crypto full-time for 8 years.
Three complete market cycles. Portfolio peaked in the high 7 figures. Also watched it drop to a couple hundred thousand.
Got rug pulled for over $1M in a single day.
Here are 13 things I wish I knew from day one. 👇
🚨NOW: PRESIDENT TRUMP ON STR. OF HORMUZ-
"We have a blockade going into effect, that'll be at 10:00 tomorrow”
Other nations are working so that, Iran will not be able to sell oil. That will be a very effective."
JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump orders the US Navy to "seek and interdict" every ship in international waters that paid a toll to Iran.
"No one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage on the high seas."
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 SEC Chair Paul Atkins calls for Congress to pass crypto market structure legislation.
"It's time for Congress to future-proof against rogue regulators & advance comprehensive market structure legislation to President Trump's desk."