Remember: Game designers in the 80s and 90s were computer science majors who loved literature, classic fantasy and AD&D. There is a very obvious reason the AAA market had been declining for so long. I don't need to spell it out.
AI career:
1. Get PhD from top school
2. Work for DeepMind/OpenAI/Anthropic for 6 months
3. Quit and start your own neolab with billions in funding
4. Fail to achieve AGI but retire rich
My top takeaway from assessing Gemini 4: Argon is significantly less monitorable than past models, and IMO this trend is likely to continue, like Sol -> Astra. It can evade a realistic CoT+action monitor to do simple sabotage half the time.
We can reliably maintain control for now, with good CoT monitoring, as it still frequently slips up, but we need to be prepared for when that stops being true in future models, which may be sooner rather than later. Among other things, we really need interpretability methods that can reliably capture unverbalized motivations in models, with minimal hallucinations
I suspect this is driven by the model being highly capable without CoT, being capable of 5.5 arithmetic steps in a single forward pass (4 for Fable, 7 for Astra). It seems to omit information from its CoT more often, though in non-adversarial settings the CoT is still very helpful in practice, and remains in legible English. It still needs CoT to do the hardest tasks, but any given task becomes "easier" with each new frontier model.
It is also highly situationally aware, and shows awareness of the existence of CoT monitors and that it may want to evade them, eg it sometimes decides to avoid terms like "scheming" in the output or to keep its thoughts brief as a result. For now, these concealment strategies are pretty obvious in the CoT, but this suggests future misaligned models may successfully evade CoT monitors.
The biggest barrier for enterprise AI adoption: the people who understand AI don't understand the business, and the people who understand the business don't understand AI
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I don't wanna be that guy, but I see so many accounts posting daily about how amazing vibe coding is, yet I never see a product launched.
It's been a meme for forever, but it seems like it's getting more common, not less.
my only gender essentialist take is that once some men reach middle age they begin sneezing so violently loud you can hear it from a 100 yard radius and i think they do it on purpose for attention