EsotericValue

🎾 ATP Analyst @tennis_metrics |

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

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📢 Time for the Season Recap! 👇

End of season means one thing: reviewing our performance as pro traders with @Marcos_Betting, and looking back at our flagship product you all know: the Next Gen subscription.

📈 My personal results (certified on the TM website & app):
▪️ +21.81u
▪️ 6.26% average ROI per bet
▪️ 710 bets, including 390 wins
▪️ Average odds: 1.9
▪️ Net CLV (book margin removed): –2.1%
▪️ 9 out of 12 months with positive stats

👉 Pretty happy with this. Despite the workload on the app, customer support, communication, team management, etc., my pure performance (6.26% ROI) stayed strong.
Not to mention, most of my 710 bets are posted late in the market to maximize liquidity.

👉 Weak spots? Still overall volume, Grand Slam performance and Asian Handicaps. But improving year after year, so all good.

📈 @Marcos_Betting full recap: check the post below!

📈 Next Gen Subscription Recap:
▪️ +55.38u
▪️ 5.26% average ROI per bet
▪️ 1831 bets, including 1013 wins
▪️ Average odds: 1.89
▪️ Net CLV: –1.85%

👉 Not bad at all for a €30/month subscription that includes the mobile app and full match analysis, right?

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▶️ A huge thank you for all your feedback throughout the season — incredibly valuable, usually positive, always constructive.

▪️ Fighting to help you make money is a real source of motivation in this job.

▪️ We’re lucky to have subscribers who view sports betting as an investment, with a long-term mindset.

▪️ That’s why our churn rate is extremely low, which allows us to build even more tech tools to constantly push performance higher.

▪️ Next season, we'll be 4 full-time ATP traders, with a brand-new tool coming soon — and trust me, you're going to love it (more details in upcoming newsletters).

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📈 My detailed personal breakdown (for the data lovers)

This highlights the key metrics every serious tennis bettor should track.
Let me know in the comments if you'd like us to automate a season report based on your bets directly inside the TM app.

Grand Slams: +8.64u over 206 bets, 121 wins, 6.3% ROI, avg odds 1.83, CLV –2.51%.
▪️ Australian Open: –0.54u, 67 bets (37 won + 4 void), –3.7% ROI, avg odds 1.76
▪️ Roland-Garros: +0.05u, 46 bets (25 won + 1 void), 0.21% ROI, avg odds 1.84
▪️ Wimbledon: +0.59u, 41 bets (25 won + 1 void), 3.24% ROI, avg odds 1.73
▪️ US Open: +8.52u, 52 bets (34 won), 32.72% ROI, avg odds 1.99

▪️ Masters 1000: +13.54u, 257 bets (144 wins), 11.35% ROI, avg odds 1.97
▪️ ATP 500: –4.8u, 73 bets (32 wins), –12.97% ROI, avg odds 1.92
▪️ ATP 250: +5.04u, 164 bets (91 wins), 7.46% ROI, avg odds 1.89

By rounds:
▪️ Finals: +2.15u, 21 bets (14 wins), 21.29% ROI, avg odds 1.87
▪️ SF: +1.88u, 19 bets (13 wins), 19.11% ROI, avg odds 1.92
▪️ QF: +3.88u, 41 bets (24 wins), 18% ROI, avg odds 1.89
▪️ Other rounds: +13.9u, 629 bets (339 wins), 4.56% ROI, avg odds 1.9

By market type:
▪️ ML: +15.53u, 314 bets, 9.82% ROI
▪️ Over/Under: +7.1u, 239 bets, 6.87% ROI
▪️ Handicap: –2.32u, 160 bets, –4.58% ROI

By odds range:
▪️ 1.00–1.50: +6.04u, 72 bets (51 wins), 12.68% ROI
▪️ 1.51–1.95: +11.11u, 402 bets (241 wins), 4.4% ROI
▪️ 1.96–3.00: +3.73u, 217 bets (93 wins), 7.01% ROI
▪️ 3.00+: +0.46u, 19 bets (5 wins), 9.1% ROI

By stake size:
▪️ 1u bets: +11.3u, 43 bets (30 wins), 27.54% ROI, avg odds 1.69
▪️ 0.51–0.99u: +5.76u, 198 bets (120 wins), 4.18% ROI, avg odds 1.7
▪️ 0.5u bets: +21.07u, 454 bets (272 wins), 7.34% ROI, avg odds 1.74
▪️ 0.01–0.49u: +0.73u, 256 bets (118 wins), 1.46% ROI, avg odds 2.2

Void bets due to retirements: 27

Like, RT, comment for support ! And see you newt year !

😘

French version :

📢 C'est l'heure du bilan ! 👇

Fin de saison oblige, il est temps de dresser le constat de nos performances en tant que trader pro avec @Marcos_Betting ainsi que celui de notre offre phare que vous connaissez désormais tous : l'abonnement Next Gen).

📈 Mon bilan perso (certifié sur le site et l'app TM) :
▪️ +21.81u
▪️ 6.26% de R.O.I. moyen par pari
▪️ 710 paris dont 390 gagnés
▪️ Cote moyenne : 1.9
▪️ CLV nette (marge du book retirée) : -2.1%

👉 Plutôt content du résultat car malgré le travail effectué sur l'app, le service client, la communication, la gestion d'équipe, etc... ma performance pure (6.26% de R.O.I.) est très bonne, sans oublier que beaucoup de mes 710 bets sont postés plutôt en fin de marché pour avoir le max de liquidité.

👉 Mes faiblesses se situent encore au niveau du volume total de bets, ma performance en Grand Chelem et sur les Asian handicaps, mais il y a du progrès chaque année, donc ça va.

📈 Bilan de @Marcos_Betting : à retrouver dans le post cité ci-dessous !

📈 Bilan de l'abonnement Next Gen :
▪️ +55.38u
▪️ 5.26% de R.O.I. moyen par pari
▪️ 1831 paris dont 1013 gagnés
▪️ Cote moyenne : 1.89
▪️ CLV nette : -1.85%

👉 Plutôt pas mal pour abonnement à 30€ / mois avec une app mobile incluse et des analyses de quasiment tous les matchs non ?

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▶️ Je tenais aussi à vous remercier pour tous vos retours tout au long de la saison, très souvent positifs et constructifs.

▪️ Se battre pour vous faire gagner de l'argent à vous aussi est une réelle source de satisfaction dans notre métier.

▪️ Nous avons la chance d'avoir des clients qui comprennent le pari sportif en tant qu'investissement et qui ont une vision long-terme.

▪️ Nous avons donc très peu de turnover chez nos abonnés, ce qui nous permet de construire tous plein d'outils tech pour toujours chercher à améliorer notre performance.

▪️ Nous serons désormais 4 parieurs ATP professionnels pour cette nouvelle saison qui promet, avec notamment un nouvel outil qui sera à votre disposition et que vous allez kiffer j'en suis sûr (+ de détails dans les prochaines newsletters).

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📈 Mon bilan perso détaillé pour les curieux : il résume les métriques principales à analyser en tant que parieur tennis. Dites-moi en commentaires si vous souhaitez que l'on automatise la création d'un rapport de bilan à partir de vos paris laissés sur l'app Tennis Metrics.

Bilan GC : +8.64U en 206 bets, 121 gagnés, 6.3% ROI, cote moyenne 1.83, CLV : -2.51%.

> Open d’Australie : -0.54u, 67 paris dont 37 gagnés et 4 annulés, -3.7% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.76.
> Roland-Garros : +0.05u, 46 paris dont 25 gagnés et 1 annulé, 0.21% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.84.
> Wimbledon : +0.59u, 41 paris dont 25 gagnés et 1 annulé, 3.24% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.73.
> US Open : +8.52u, 52 paris dont 34 gagnés, 32.72% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.99.

▪️ Bilan M1000 : +13.54u, 257 paris dont 144 gagnés, 11.35% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.97.

▪️ Bilan 500 : -4.8u, 73 paris dont 32 gagnés, -12.97% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.92.

▪️ Bilan 250 : +5.04u, 164 paris dont 91 gagnés, 7.46% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.89.

▪️ Bilan "rounds" : > Finales : +2.15u avec 21 paris dont 14 gagnés, 21.29% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.87 > ½ : +1.88u, 19 paris dont 13 gagnés, 19.11% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.92 > ¼ : +3.88u, 41 paris dont 24 gagnés, 18% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.89 > Autres : +13.9u, 629 paris dont 339 gagnés, 4.56% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.9

▪️ Bilan ML : +15.53u, 314 paris sur 710 paris en tout, 9.82% de R.O.I.

▪️ Bilan over/under : +7.1u, 239 paris sur 710, 6.87% de R.O.I.

▪️ Bilan hdp : -2.32u, 160 paris sur 710, -4.58% de R.O.I.

▪️ Bilan côtes 1.00/1.50 : +6.04u, 72 bets dont 51 gagnés, 12.68% de R.O.I.

▪️ Bilan cotes 1.51/1.95 : +11.11u, 402 paris dont 241 gagnés, 4.4% de R.O.I.

▪️ Bilan côtes 1.96/3.00 : +3.73u, 217 paris dont 93 gagnés, 7.01% de R.O.I.

▪️ Bilan côtes +3.00 : +0.46u, 19 paris dont 5 gagnés, 9.1% de R.O.I.

▪️ Bets à 1u : +11.3u, 43 paris dont 30 gagnés, 27.54% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.69

▪️ Bets entre 0.51 et 0.99u : +5.76u, 198 paris dont 120 gagnés, 4.18% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.7

▪️ Bets à 0.5u : +21.07u, 454 paris dont 272 gagnés, 7.34% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 1.74

▪️ Bets 0.01u à 0.49u : +0.73u, 256 paris dont 118 gagnés, 1.46% de R.O.I., cote moyenne 2.2

▪️ Facteur Abandon : 27 paris annulés…

#TennisBetting #TennisPicks #tennis #BettingTips #BettingX #tipster #TeamParieurs #TeamParieur #SportsBettingX @EsotericValue

[Marcos 🇨🇾 @Marcos_Betting]

BILAN 2025🎾 MERCI pour votre soutien tout au long de l’année, je vous laisse avec le récap’ et je vous invite à ❤️/RT si possible ! #teamparieur

+33.3u✅ (BK certifiée)
4.7% ROI
-1.7% CLV
10/12 mois positifs

📈Nouvelle saison en positif, plutôt content des résultats même si la fin d’année aurait pu être mieux gérée de mon côté, j’apprends encore ! Solide +33u sur l’année avec un ROI correct. Des progrès à faire sur la CLV, on bosse dessus !

🧠Au delà des résultats je suis surtout satisfait de ma gestion mentale, de l’investissement que je mets dans l’analyse des matchs ainsi que sur ma discipline au quotidien. Je m’approche de ce que je veux être en terme de tipster année après année.

🎾SAISON 2026 :
BK/Stratégie/Équipe/Nouveautés

🔥On travaille déjà sur le début de saison prochaine, il va y avoir pas mal de changements et je suis excité à l’idée de vous partager tout ça mais chaque chose en son temps. Je peux juste vous dire qu’on va pouvoir garder la même qualité tout en ajoutant de la quantité supplémentaire 👀
Je reviendrais vers vous pour présenter tout ça !

Être bien entouré c’est vital dans ce milieu et j’ai la chance de pouvoir m’appuyer sur des personnes de confiance qui m’aident chacun de leur manière à m’améliorer :

👨‍🏫Un gros MERCI à @Tennis_Metrics et plus précisément à Elie pour sa confiance, ses méthodes de travail et son envie de se surpasser quotidiennement. On est pas toujours d’accord mais c’est aussi notre force, nos profils se complètent.

Merci aussi à @EsotericValue pour son fameux document monstrueux qui me facilite le travail et pour sa bonne humeur au quotidien ! Une vraie bonne recrue dans notre équipe, il apporte ses méthodes et une vision différente de ce qu’on faisait.

Je vous souhaite de belles fêtes de fin d’année et je vous dis à bientôt pour une nouvelle saison ensemble 🫶

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

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@RolexPMasters 2025 : all you need to know before betting !👇

💥 Last Masters 1000 of the season has changed its venue. Welcome to the biggest indoor tournament in the world !

After 14 matches of qualifications, let's dive into these new conditions.

📍 Location : Paris La Défense Arena

🗓️ Schedule : Monday 27 October - Sunday 2 November
▪️ Monday : ~ 12 R1
▪️ Tuesday : ~12 R1 + 4 R2
▪️ Wednesday : 12 R2
▪️ Thursday : 8 R3
▪️ Friday : 4 quarters
▪️ Saturday : 2 semies
▪️ Sunday : final

🏛️ Facilities :
▪️ Central court : 17,500 seats (second biggest central court of the world after Arthur Ashe's)
▪️ Court n°1 : 4,000 capacity
▪️ Court n°2 : 4,000 capacity
▪️ Court n°3 : few hundreds ;)
▪️ One additional court for practice

��️ Courts are separated by big curtains making the conditions noisy.

⛷️ Conditions :
▪️ Speed : medium / fast courts (slower that Bercy but not slow)
▪️ Bounce : medium / low (courts are built over a wooden layer)
▪️ Balls : Head

🎙️ Alcaraz : "The court is much slower than last year. It's not only serve and +1. You can see rallies. I've said many times that I like slower courts."

🎙️ Rinderknech : "The surface was a little slower than in previous years, that's for sure. It's still quite fast. So it's a good compromise."

🆚 Draw : 56 players
▪️ Cut for main draw : Fabian Marozsan, n°52
▪️ Wild cards for the main draw : Terence Atmane (68), Arthur Cazaux (61), Valentin Vacherot (39), Arthur Rinderknech (27)
▪️ Number of qualifiers : 7
▪️ Withdrawals : Djoko, Draper, Rune, Paul, Tsitsipas, Tiafoe, Fils, Mensik
▪️ Number of bye : 8 (Alcaraz, Sinner, Zverev, Fritz, Shelton, De Minaur, Musetti, Ruud)

📉 R.O.I. Outsiders (if we had bet on all the outsiders) :
▪️ 2022 : 26.76% (Biggest Surprise: Simon beats Fritz at 6.88)
▪️ 2023: -17% (Biggest Surprise: Safiullin beats Alcaraz at 5.72)
▪️ 2024: -4.09% (Biggest Surprise: Mannarino beats Paul at 6.18)

📈 R.O.I. Favorites (if we had bet on all the favorites):
▪️ 2022: -21.33%
▪️ 2023: -2.59%
▪️ 2024: -4.89%

💰Prize Money / Points :
🔹Winner : 946,610€ / 1000 points
🔹Runner-up : 516,925€ / 650 points
🔹1/2 : 282,650€ / 400 points
🔹1/4 : 154,170€ / 200 points
🔹1/8 : 82,465€ / 100 points
🔹R2 : 44,220€ / 50 points
🔹R1 : 24,500€ / 10 points
🔹Q2 : 12,550€ / 16 points
🔹Q1 € : 6,570€ / 0 points

👣 How to follow :
▪️ Hashtag: #RolexParisMasters
▪️ YouTube: Rolex Paris Masters
▪️ Facebook: Rolex Paris Masters
▪️ Instagram: rolexparismasters
▪️ Twitter: @RolexPMasters

🏠 Cocorico : The 2024 Paris Masters saw a number of impressive performances from French players, with Ugo Humbert leading the charge by making a remarkable run to the final, showcasing the talent still thriving in France. However, it has now been 17 years since a Frenchman last lifted the trophy, leaving fans eager for a new homegrown champion to emerge on the iconic Parisian courts.

2024 : 9 French players engaged, 5 outperformed
▪️ Rinderknech beats Machac at 3.54 and Michelsen at 2.71
▪️ Mannarino beats Paul at 6.18 and Bergs at 2.25
▪️ Mpetshi Perricard beats Tiafoe at 2.23
▪️ Cazaux beats Shelton at 3.75
▪️ Humbert beats Alcaraz at 4.93

2023 : 9 French players engaged, 0 outperformed

2022 : 7 French players, 2 outperformed
▪️ Simon beats Murray at 3.89 and Fritz at 6.88
▪️ Moutet beats Coric at 2.99 and Norrie at 3.01

🇫🇷 Best performances by French players :
▪️ Jo-Wilfried Tsonga winner in 2008
▪️ Sébastien Grosjean winner in 2001
▪️ Guy Forget winner in 1991

🔥 Records :
🔹 Most titles: Novak Djokovic – 7 titles
🔹 Most matches played: Novak Djokovic – 59 matches
🔹 Most matches won: Novak Djokovic – 50 matches
🔹 Most consecutive matches won: Novak Djokovic – 17
🔹 Most editions played: Novak Djokovic – 17 editions

🏆Recent Champions :
▪️ 2024: Alexander Zverev defeated Ugo Humbert 6–2, 6–2
▪️ 2023: Novak Djokovic defeated Grigor Dimitrov 6–4, 6–3
▪️ 2022: Holger Rune defeated Novak Djokovic 3–6, 6–3, 7–5

Liked it ? Leave us a ❤️ !

As always, all 55 matches will be analyzed and forecast by our ATP professional bettors on @Tennis_Metrics app.

Many R1 already online. Go check now !

🤙

#TennisBetting #TennisX #TennisPicks #bettingtips #TeamParieur @EsotericValue @Marcos_Betting

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

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#RolexShanghaiMasters : time for tournament preview ! 👇

🎙 Djokovic 2024: “Historically, the courts in Shanghai were among the fastest on the entire circuit, but since last year, they seemed to have slowed down somewhat. It's still a rather fast court; what has changed are the balls, which slow the game down a bit more.”

🎙 Shelton 2024: “I like most hard courts. But I really like the hard courts where the ball doesn't get destroyed and shredded, and this is a mid-speed hard court that bounces pretty well, and it's usually not too windy.”

🎙 Tournament 2025: "Yonex has been selected as the official ball supplier for the ATP Tour Rolex Shanghai Masters 1000"

☀️ Weather: 27 to 35°C, chances of rain on Thursday / Friday, often humid

🗻 Altitude: ~ 5m

📊 Stats 2025 after 36 matches:
> Service holds : 81%
> 1st serve points won : 71%
> Aces per game : 0.56
> Games per set : 10
> Tie-breaks per set : 0.17

🔍 Facilities: The tournament is hosted at the Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, featuring 1 centre court with 13,880 seats and 8 more courts.

🎾 Category: ATP Masters 1000

🤯 Tournament highlights:
🔹Established in 2009, the Shanghai Masters was the first ATP Masters event in China—marking a major milestone that opened the door for world‐class tennis in Asia.
🔹 In its first five years, 2009-2013, the tournament was awarded ATP Masters 1000 Tournament of the Year, as voted by ATP players.
🔹 Rolex recently renewed its title sponsorship of the only Masters 1000 event in China.

🤑 Director: Michael Andres Luevano

🆚 Draw: 96 players (95 games played over 12 days in main draw)

✂ Cut: Jenson Brooksby, n°92 ATP

🐒 Wild Cards: Stan Wawrinka, Yibing Wu, Juncheng Shang, Yi Zhou, Zhizhen Zhang

🥽 Protected ranking: Sebastian Ofner (74)

💥 Withdrawals : Draper, Paul, Fils, Dimitrov, Popyrin, Fonseca, Agut, Monfils, Etcheverry, Fearnley, Hurkacz, Brooksby, Alcaraz

📉 R.O.I. Outsiders (if we had bet on all the outsiders):
🔹 2023:6.96%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Marozsan beats De Minaur at 5.66
🔹 2024: -11.59%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Machac beats Alcaraz at 8.1

📈 R.O.I. Favorites (if we had bet on all the favorites):
🔹 2023: -10.64%
🔹 2024: -3.97%

🏠Story time: since the debut of the tournament, no Chinese player has managed to reach the final, let alone win the title. Over the years, there have been moments of promise, with a few players delivering impressive performances and upsetting higher-ranked opponents. However, despite these encouraging signs, none have been able to maintain that level consistently enough to make a deep run into the later stages of the tournament.

2024 : 5 Chinese players engaged, 1 outperformed
Wu beats Jarry at 1.95

2023 : 4 Chinese engaged, 2 outperformed
Bu beats Kecmanovic at 3.96
Zhang beats Nakashima at 2.06

🇫🇷 Best performances by French players:
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga runner-up in 2015
Giles Simon runner-up in 2014

🔥 Records:
🔹 Most titles: Novak Djokovic – 4 titles (2012, 2013, 2015, 2018) ​
🔹Youngest champion: Jannik Sinner – 23 years, 1 month, 28 days (2024) ​
🔹Oldest champion: Roger Federer – 36 years, 2 months, 7 days (2017)

🏆Recent Champions:
2024: Jannik Sinner defeated Novak Djokovic 7–6, 6–3
2023: Hubert Hurkacz defeated Andrey Rublev 6–3, 3–6, 7–6

Liked it ? Leave us a little ❤ for more content like that !

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👉 As usual, all main draw matches will be analyzed with @Marcos_Betting @EsotericValue and I, and accessible on our app @Tennis_Metrics along with forecasts and bets !

Go take a look 👀

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💥 SPECIAL OFFER ! (finishes today !)

We have created a special promo code so you can discover our work during the rest of the season.

😎 50€ instead of 90€ for the 3 last months

> offer that expires on the 1st of October
> offer that allows you to receive notifications for each bet @Marcos_Betting and I take for our Next Gen tracker, and all our ATP previews and stats.

To access to this offer, follow the secure Stripe payment link in the comment below, and enter the promo code 2025FINISHLINE

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Take care ! 🤙

#ChinaOpen #TeamParieur #TeamParieurs #TennisBets #bettingtips #BettingX #TennisPicks #TennisBetting #BettingX #bettingpicks

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

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🇯🇵 Japan Open 2025: tournament preview 👇

🎙 Fils 2024: “It was a tough match with tough conditions. The humidity was tough.”

🎙 Paul 2024: It’s pretty quick, we also changed balls from last week, so they were flying a little more here.”

🎙 Nishioka 2024: ‘I think my opponent is better suited to this kind of non-bouncing court.”

⛷️ Surface: Outdoor hard courts. The surface here offers a fast-paced, hard court with noticeable differences in conditions depending on the weather and ball changes. The bounce tends to be lower, which can make it challenging for some players to adjust their timing, especially in humid conditions.

☀️ Weather: good risks of rain from Saturday to Wednesday. Average day temperatures around 28°C. Big differences with the night average : ~19°C. Humidity almost always high.

🗻 Altitude: ~ 40 meters

Ranked 24ᵗʰ out of 38 outdoor hard court tournaments with 72.4% of points won after the first serve on average and 18ᵗʰ with 81.9% of service games held. It is also ranked 18ᵗʰ with a 0.59 Aces/Game ratio.

👉 After the 12 qualification matches this week:

🔹 Service holds : 82%
🔹 First serve points won : 72%
🔹 Aces / game : 0.49
🔹 Games per set : 10.04
🔹 TBs per set : 0.18

🔍 Facilities: The tournament is hosted at the Ariake Tennis Park, featuring 1 centre court with 10000 seats and 3 show courts.

The park is located on the artificial island of Ariake. It houses a total of 49 courts, including 33 hard courts and 16 artificial grass courts.

It hosted the 2020 Summer Olympics.

🎾 Category: ATP 500

🤯 Tournament highlights:

🔹 The Japan Open has a rich history, dating back to 1915 when it was first held as the All-Japan Championships, making it the longest-running tennis event in Asia.
🔹 Ariake Coliseum, one of the event’s key venues, was home to one of the first retractable roofs in tennis, providing coverage for both players and fans in case of unpredictable weather.
🔹 In 2018, the venue switched to the Musashino Forest Sports Plaza as the Ariake Coliseum was renovated for the tennis events at the 2020 Summer Olympics.

🤑 Director: Shigefusa Kanroji

🆚 Draw: 32 players (31 matches over 7 days in main draw)

✂ Cut: Sebastian Korda, n°75

🐒 Wild Cards: Mochizuki (105), Watanuki (150), Nishioka (151)

🥽 Protected ranking: Brooksby (52)

📉 R.O.I. Outsiders (if we had bet on all the outsiders):

🔹 2022: 0.26%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Munar beats Ruud at 4.9
🔹 2023: 45.32%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Mochizuki beats Fritz at 9.05
🔹 2024: 19.10%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Fils beats Fritz at 3.43

📈 R.O.I. Favorites (if we had bet on all the favorites):

🔹 2022: -19.16%
🔹 2023: -17.94%
🔹 2024: -23.35%

🏠 Story time: Japanese players have always been a strong presence at the Japan Open in Tokyo, with Kei Nishikori leading the charge as a two-time champion in 2012 and 2014. Over the years, Japanese players have shown flashes of brilliance, with several reaching deep stages of the tournament, but none have managed to secure the title in recent years. The home crowd continues to support their players, and while no Japanese player has reached the final since Nishikori's last appearance, there have been impressive runs, such as Mochizuki’s semifinal appearance in 2023, where he upset some of the tournament’s favorites.

2024: 3 Japanese players engaged, 2 outperformed

> Nishioka beats Auger Aliassime at 3.08
> Nishikori beats Thompson at 2.43

2023: 4 Japanese players engaged, 1 outperformed

> Mochizuki beats Etcheverry at 3.55, Fritz at 9.05, Popyrin at 3.44

2022: 8 Japanese players engaged, 0 outperformed

🇫🇷 Best performances by French players:
> Arthur Fils winner in 2024
> Jo-Wilfried Tsonga winner in 2009

🔥 Records:
> Most Titles: Stefan Edberg with 4

🏆Recent Champions:
> 2024: Arthur Fils defeated Ugo Humbert 5–7, 7–6, 6–3
> 2023: Ben Shelton defeated Aslan Karatsev 7–5, 6–1
> 2022: Taylor Fritz defeated Frances Tiafoe 7–6, 7–6

Liked it ?

Leave us a little ❤ for more content like that ☺​

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👉 As usual, all main draw matches will be analyzed with @Marcos_Betting @EsotericValue and I, and accessible on our app @Tennis_Metrics along with forecasts and bets !
​
Go take a look 👀

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💥 SPECIAL OFFER !

We have created a special promo code so you can discover our work during the rest of the season.

👉 50€ instead of 90€ for the 3 last months

> offer that expires on the 1st of October
> offer that allows you to receive notifications for each bet @Marcos_Betting and I take for our Next Gen tracker, and all our ATP previews and stats

To access to this offer, follow the secure Stripe payment link in the comment below, and enter the promo code 2025FINISHLINE

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Take care !

🤙

#japanopentennis #TeamParieur #TeamParieurs #TennisBets #bettingtips #BettingX #TennisPicks #TennisBetting #BettingX #bettingpicks

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

🔚 End of the ATP tennis season ? 👇

I hear many tennis bettors saying season is over. Let's have a closer look 👀

Rest of the season figures:

👉 16 tournaments (ATP main tour)
👉 517 matches
👉 290 bets from @Tennis_Metrics team last year in this period
👉 +15.9u generated

Details:

▪ Chengdu, 250, 17-23 September, 27 matches, +1.4u (in running...)
▪ Hangzhou, 250, 17-23 September, 27 matches, -0.5u (in running...)
▪ Tokyo, 500, 24-30 September, 31 matches, +0.5u
▪ Beijing, 500, 25 Sept - 1 Nov, 31 matches, +5.4u
▪ Shanghai, 1000, 1-12 October, 95 matches, -1.5u
▪ Almaty, 250, 13-19 October, 27 matches, +2.1u
▪ Brussels, 250, 13-19 October, 27 matches, +1.7u
▪ Stockholm, 250, 13-19 October, 27 matches, +4.9u
▪ Vienna, 500, 20-26 October, 31 matches, +1u
▪ Basel, 500, 20-26 October, 31 matches, -0.4u
▪ Paris, 1000, 27 Oct - 2 Nov, 55 matches, +9.3u
▪ Athens, 250, 2-8 November, 🆕, 27 matches, +2.5u (Belgrade 2024)
▪ Metz, 250, 2-8 November, 27 matches, +4.1u
▪ Nitto ATP Finals, 9-16 November, 15 matches, +2.1u
▪ Davis Cup Finals, 18-23 November, 24 matches, -0.8u
▪ Next Gen ATP Finals, 17-21 December, 15 matches

So, the answer is no guys.

Despite not having anymore Grand Slams, season is clearly not over ! There is still at least 25% to come to optimize your stats. More if you add WTA and Challengers ;).

---------------------------------------------------------

💥 SPECIAL OFFER !💥

So for those who still want to fight to generate units for the ending season, we have created a special promo code so you can discover our work during the rest of the year.

👉 50€ instead of 90€ for the 3 last months

> offer that expires on the 1st of October
> offer that allows you to receive notifications for each bet @Marcos_Betting and I take for our Next Gen tracker, and all our ATP previews and stats

To access to this offer, follow the Stripe link in the comment below, and enter the promo code 2025FINISHLINE

---------------------------------------------------------

So excited to see what's next.

Our season has been really successful so far, with around 1400 bets and +62u generated on the Next Gen tracker (figures available on our website / app).

Let's finish strong !

#TennisBetting #TennisPicks #ATPChengdu #tennis #bettingpicks #TeamParieurs @EsotericValue

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

.
💥 Hangzhou tournament preview ! 👇

The rainiest tournament of the season ? 🤭

🎙Hijikata 2025: “As an Aussie, we're used to the heat but it's very hot and humid here"

🎙Cilic 2024: “We both served incredibly well today. There were not too many rallies, but that can happen on a fast court.

🎙Kukushkin 2024: “It’s tough conditions, with the high humidity. I like the court and the conditions. I’m enjoying my time here.”

⛷️ Surface: while the high humidity can sometimes make conditions challenging, the medium-fast surface encourages quick points without sacrificing too many long rallies. Players appreciate the balance between speed and control, making for an exciting and dynamic tournament.

After the 12 matches in qualies :
▪ Service holds : 79%
▪ 1st serve points won : 71%
▪ Aces per games : 0.62
▪ Games per set : 9.31
▪ Tie-break per set : 0.14

☀️ Weather: hot (~28°C), humid and rain risk above 30% everyday

🗻 Altitude: ~ 10 meters

🔍 Facilities: the tournament is hosted at the Hangzhou Olympic Sports Expo Center, featuring 1 centre court with 5,000 seats and 2 show courts

🎾 Category: ATP 250

🤯 Tournament highlights: the Hangzhou Open was added to the ATP Tour in 2024, replacing the Zhuhai Championships. This marks a new chapter in Chinese tennis as the city of Hangzhou becomes a key stop on the ATP calendar

🤑 Director: Leon Sun

🆚 Draw: 28 players (27 games played over 7 days in main draw)

✂ Cut: Vukic n°93 ATP

🐒 Wild Cards: Zhang (192), Wu (196), Sun (236)

🔚 Withdrawals: Khachanov, Agut, Bellucci, Djere

📆 Dates: 17-23 September

📉 R.O.I. Outsiders (if we had bet on all the outsiders):
🔹 2024: 5.44%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Uchiyama beats Rune at 4.36

📈 R.O.I. Favorites (if we had bet on all the favorites):
🔹 2024: -11.93%

🏠 Story time: last year, three Chinese players participated in the Hangzhou Open, marking notable performances, especially from Zhang, who made a remarkable run to the final. Despite his impressive journey, he was unable to secure the title. This highlights the growing strength and potential of Chinese players...

2024 : 3 Chinese players engaged, 2 outperformed
▪ Yunchaokete beats Khachanov at 2.61
▪ Zhang beats Bellucci at 2.08

🏆Recent Champions:
▪ 2024: Marin Čilić defeated Zhang Zhizhen 7–6, 7–6

Liked it ?!

Leave me a ❤ if you want more content like this !

As usual, all main draw matches will analysed with forecasts by @Marcos_Betting @EsotericValue and I.

Go take a look !

🤙

#TennisBetting #HangzhouOpen #TennisBets #bettingtips #BettingX #Tennis

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

.
💥 Chengdu tournament preview 👇

Bit late, but let's go !

🎙Shang 2024: “The conditions suit me, with the fast court and slight altitude.”

🎙Khachmazov 2024: “It was very hot. I couldn't hit a lot of balls because it's very tough to move. But today was my day. It was very important to win the first set, this made it tough for him. Then I was hitting the balls perfectly, but these are very tough conditions. I don't know how many degrees it is now?!”

🎙Tennis TV 2024: “It’s brutally hot in Chengdu, and is likely to be even hotter in the coming days. Blistering conditions that are really tough for the players, who are going to have to be prepared to battle.”

⛷️ Surface: Outdoor Hard Courts – Chengdu features high-quality DecoTurf hard courts. These courts offer a medium-paced playing surface with a consistent bounce, allowing for aggressive baseline rallies and favoring strong servers. The combination of Chengdu’s mild altitude and humid conditions can slightly increase ball speed, creating dynamic but balanced match play.

☀️ Weather: around 25°C with high probability of rain everyday, slight wing and high humidity

🗻 Altitude: ~ 500 meters

👉Ranked 7ᵗʰ out of 38 hard court tournaments with 74.8% of points won after the first serve on average, and 9ᵗʰ with 83.7% of service games held. It is also ranked 4ᵗʰ with a 0.72 Aces/Game ratio.

🔍 Facilities: The tournament is hosted at the E Sichuan International Tennis Center, featuring 1 centre court with 4,000 seats and more 2 courts.

🎾 Category: ATP 250

🤯 Tournament highlights:
🔹Debuted in 2016, the Chengdu Open is part of the ATP 250 series and a key stop on the ATP Asian swing. It replaced the Malaysian Open in Kuala Lumpur.
🔹 The first-ever Chengdu champion was Karen Khachanov (2016), who secured his first ATP title in a thrilling final.
🔹 The Chengdu Open is one of the few ATP events that has weathered the pandemic disruption, making its successful return in 2023 after a three-year hiatus.

🤑 Director: Luiz Procopio Carvalho

🆚 Draw: 28 players (27 games played over 7 days beginning on Wednesday)

📆 Dates: 17 - 23 September

✂ Cut: Dino Prizmic, n°124

🐒 Wild Cards: Shang (138), Wong (149), Zhou (304)

📉 R.O.I. Outsiders (if we had bet on all the outsiders):
🔹 2023: -52.12%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Sekulic beats Borges at 4.34
🔹 2024: 5.15%
👉 Biggest Surprise: Zhou beats Tseng at 4.04

📈 R.O.I. Favorites (if we had bet on all the favorites):
🔹 2023: 17.81%
🔹 2024: -13.37%

🏠 Story time: since the debut of the Chengdu Open in 2016, no Chinese player has managed to win the title, with deep runs remaining elusive. However, in 2024, Shang Juncheng broke that trend, capturing the title and securing a historic victory for China. While other Chinese players have participated over the years, none have made it far into the tournament's later stages. Still, there have been some standout performances, highlighting the growing presence of Chinese talent in the ATP circuit. Shang's breakthrough victory marks a significant milestone for Chinese tennis at the Chengdu Open.

2024: 2 Chinese Players engaged, 1 outperformed
💨 Zhou beats Tseng at 4.04
💨 Shang beats Musetti at 1.91

2023: 2 Chinese Players engaged, 0 outperformed

🏆Recent Champions:
💨 2024: Shang Juncheng defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7–6, 6–1
💨 2023: Alexander Zverev defeated Roman Safiullin 6–7, 7–6, 6–3

And there you have it!

A little ❤ if you find this kind of post useful ☺​

As usual, all main draw matches will be analyzed and predicted with @Marcos_Betting and @EsotericValue ,
and accessible on our app @Tennis_Metrics

Cheers!

#ChengduOpen #TennisBetting #TeamParieur #TeamParieurs #TennisBets #bettingtips #BettingX #Tennis

[Elie | Tennis Metrics 📈 @Tennis_Metrics]

.
#USOpen2025 recap at @Tennis_Metrics 🚀

👉 Next Gen tracker : +24.4u
👉 High Volume tracker : +8.6u
👉 WTA tracker : +2.8u

Really proud of the team : @Marcos_Betting @EsotericValue @WTAntho

👏 Special big up to @Marcos_Betting being the best better this month, generating +15.8u !

⚠ If you belong to this betting industry, you'd know that generating +35.8u in three weeks with an average yield per bet superior to 30% is something amazing and should not represent the reality of day to day betting investors.

However, these stats are also the result of a daily work that began 3 years ago with @Marcos_Betting , analysing 95% of ATP matches throughout Tennis Metrics' app, watching nearly 80% of each season's ATP matches, and debating each day.

In betting, as in any other department of life, real value lyes in the dedication you put into developing your own skills.

Betting has, somehow, made us evolve as human beings. And I really hope that our discipline and communication have led some bettors to a more reasonable way of approaching this activity.

See you at the Asian Swing !

🤙

#TennisBetting #TennisTips #TennisPicks #bettingtips #USOpenFinal #USOpen2025 #Tennis #AlcarazVsSinner #sinnervsalcaraz

[EsotericValue @EsotericValue]

@gasparlanca @ATPChallenger Definitely deserved it with the way he played this week!

[EsotericValue @EsotericValue]

@damiankust Was really fun to watch him this week.

[EsotericValue @EsotericValue]

@MikeCTennis @TallyChallenger Enjoyed it, great commentary as always!